Verdict (15-year horizon, US campsite, evidence date 2026-01-15): NPV = −42,835 USD; simple payback = none; discounted payback = none; LCOS = 0.3460 USD/kWh (34.6 ¢/kWh). On cost-of-energy alone the build does not pay back — limit value rests on silent-night operation, generator-hour displacement, and outage resilience, which the cash-flow model does not monetize.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Equipment class | 80 kWh LFP cabinet BESS + bidirectional PCS + BMS |
| Location | US campsite (hybrid PV + storage + genset) |
| Horizon | 15 years |
| Discount rate (real) | 5.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost | USD 79,500.00 |
| PV of costs | USD 69,601.09 |
| Total undiscounted benefit | USD 37,986.34 |
| PV of benefits | USD 26,766.04 |
| NPV | USD −42,835.05 |
| IRR | n/a |
| Simple payback | — |
| Discounted payback | — |
| LCOS | USD 0.3460 / kWh (34.6 ¢/kWh) |
This page is scoped to a real, publicly marketed equipment combination suitable for a US campsite microgrid. Substitutes of equivalent class are acceptable; the TCO model assumes one DC battery cabinet, one AC bidirectional PCS, and a UL 9540 system listing.
| Function | Reference product (real, publicly marketed) | Public reference |
|---|---|---|
| Battery cabinet (LFP, ~80 kWh usable, DC) | CATL EnerC 215 kWh liquid-cooled LFP cabinet (scaled to 80 kWh usable per §1 inputs) — cell chemistry LFP, modular 51.2 V / 280 Ah packs | CATL EnerC product page |
| Cell-level chemistry supplier (alternate) | EVE Energy LF280K prismatic LFP cell, 280 Ah, 3.2 V nominal | EVE Energy LF280K product page |
| Bidirectional PCS / hybrid inverter | Sungrow SH5.0/6.0/8.0/10RT hybrid inverter (residential / light-commercial, 5–10 kW AC) | Sungrow SH RT datasheet page |
| String inverter (alternate for PV side) | Huawei SUN2000-6/8/10KTL-M1 hybrid-ready string inverter | Huawei SUN2000-6/8/10KTL-M1 product page |
| Module reference for PV side (model family) | LONGi Hi-MO 6 Explorer LR5-54HTH 415–440 W mono module | LONGi Hi-MO 6 Explorer product page |
| System-level safety listing (US) | UL 9540 (system), UL 1973 (cell/module), UL 9540A (thermal runaway test method) | UL 9540 catalog page (UL Standards & Engagement webstore); UL 1973 catalog page; UL 9540A catalog page |
| Siting standard | NFPA 855 (stationary ESS installation) | NFPA 855 catalog page (NFPA) |
| US NEC installation article | NEC Article 706 (Energy Storage Systems) | NFPA 70 (NEC) catalog page |
| UN transport standard | UN Manual of Tests and Criteria, Section 38.3 (UN 38.3) | UN Manual of Tests and Criteria (UNECE) |
| Parameter | Value | Source / classification |
|---|---|---|
| Site type | US campsite, hybrid PV + storage + genset | Tradvolt use-case profile |
| Usable battery capacity | 80 kWh | Project requirement (model input) |
| Depth of discharge (DoD) | 90% | NREL ATB 2024 — utility-scale battery storage cost & performance assumptions (PDF) |
| Round-trip efficiency (DC) | 92% | NREL ATB 2024 — utility-scale battery storage RTE assumption |
| Cycle life to 80% capacity | 6,000 cycles | EVE Energy LF280K product page: ≥6,000 cycles @ 80% DoD, 25 °C, 0.5 C/0.5 C (EVE LF280K datasheet) |
| Calendar life | 15 years | Project horizon |
| Average daily load served by ESS | 60 kWh/day | Tradvolt illustrative campsite load profile (model assumption) |
| Operating days per year | 365 | Continuous operation |
| Annual energy throughput | 60 × 365 = 21,900 kWh/yr | Derived |
| Turnkey CapEx (battery + PCS + BMS + enclosure + install) | USD 50,000 | Tradvolt assumption (see CapEx breakdown) |
| Annual O&M | USD 1,200/yr | Tradvolt assumption (model default) |
| Insurance adder | USD 300/yr | Tradvolt assumption (model default) |
| Augmentation reserve (year 10) | USD 5,000 | Tradvolt assumption (model default) |
| Disposal / recycling reserve (end of life) | USD 2,000 | Tradvolt assumption (model default) |
| Discount rate (real) | 5.00 % | Tradvolt assumption (model default) |
| Line item | USD | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Battery cabinet (LFP modules + BMS) | 32,000 | 64% |
| PCS / hybrid inverter (bidirectional) | 9,000 | 18% |
| Enclosure, thermal mgmt, fire suppression | 4,000 | 8% |
| Shipping, install, commissioning | 4,000 | 8% |
| Soft costs (engineering, permitting, interconnect) | 1,000 | 2% |
| Total | 50,000 | 100% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon (years) | 15 |
| Discount rate | 5.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (USD) | 79,500.00 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD) | 69,601.09 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (USD) | 37,986.34 |
| Total discounted benefit (USD) | 26,766.04 |
| NPV (USD) | -42,835.05 |
| IRR | n/a |
| Simple payback (year) | — |
| Discounted payback (year) | — |
| LCOS (USD/kWh) | 0.3460 |
| Year | Cost (USD) | Benefit (USD) | Net (USD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (USD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50,000.00 | 0.0000 | -50,000.00 | 1.00 | -50,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 1,500.00 | 2,906.03 | 1,406.03 | 0.9524 | 1,339.08 | 21,842.73 |
| 2 | 1,500.00 | 2,847.91 | 1,347.91 | 0.9070 | 1,222.60 | 21,405.88 |
| 3 | 1,500.00 | 2,790.95 | 1,290.95 | 0.8638 | 1,115.17 | 20,977.76 |
| 4 | 1,500.00 | 2,735.13 | 1,235.13 | 0.8227 | 1,016.15 | 20,558.20 |
| 5 | 1,500.00 | 2,680.43 | 1,180.43 | 0.7835 | 924.90 | 20,147.04 |
| 6 | 1,500.00 | 2,626.82 | 1,126.82 | 0.7462 | 840.85 | 19,744.10 |
| 7 | 1,500.00 | 2,574.29 | 1,074.29 | 0.7107 | 763.48 | 19,349.22 |
| 8 | 1,500.00 | 2,522.80 | 1,022.80 | 0.6768 | 692.27 | 18,962.23 |
| 9 | 1,500.00 | 2,472.35 | 972.35 | 0.6446 | 626.78 | 18,582.99 |
| 10 | 6,500.00 | 2,422.90 | -4,077.10 | 0.6139 | -2,502.99 | 18,211.33 |
| 11 | 1,500.00 | 2,374.44 | 874.44 | 0.5847 | 511.27 | 17,847.10 |
| 12 | 1,500.00 | 2,326.95 | 826.95 | 0.5568 | 460.48 | 17,490.16 |
| 13 | 1,500.00 | 2,280.41 | 780.41 | 0.5303 | 413.87 | 17,140.36 |
| 14 | 1,500.00 | 2,234.80 | 734.80 | 0.5051 | 371.13 | 16,797.55 |
| 15 | 3,500.00 | 2,190.11 | -1,309.89 | 0.4810 | -630.08 | 16,461.60 |
Reading the table: Year-0 CapEx is the USD 50,000 turnkey cost. Years 1–9 and 11–14 carry USD 1,500 of annual fixed OpEx (O&M + insurance). Year 10 carries USD 6,500 (USD 1,500 OpEx + USD 5,000 augmentation reserve). Year 15 carries USD 3,500 (USD 1,500 OpEx + USD 2,000 disposal reserve). Benefits represent avoided genset runtime at the bounded USD/kWh_discharged assumption, declining with cell degradation. Discounted payback is — because the cumulative discounted net never crosses zero over the 15-year horizon.
LCOS = PV(costs) ÷ Σ energy discharged over horizon
LCOS = 69,601.09 USD ÷ 201,176.43 kWh = 0.3460 USD/kWh (34.6 ¢/kWh).
Σ energy discharged over the 15-year horizon equals 201,176.43 kWh (sum of the "Energy (kWh)" column above). This denominator reflects annual throughput declining at the bounded ~1.7%/yr degradation assumption rather than the undiscounted 328,500 kWh used in the prior draft.
Each row holds all base-case inputs constant and varies only the named driver. Sensitivities below are illustrative — they do not regenerate the authoritative computed tables above.
| Driver | Low | Base | High | Indicative LCOS (¢/kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily ESS throughput (kWh/day, base 60) | 45 | 60 | 75 | Lower daily throughput raises LCOS (utilization-dominated); higher throughput lowers it. |
| Turnkey CapEx (USD, base 50,000) | 42,000 | 50,000 | 60,000 | CapEx movements of ±20% shift LCOS by only ±3–4 ¢/kWh. |
| Discount rate r (real, base 5%) | 3% | 5% | 8% | Higher discount rate compresses PV(OpEx) and modestly lowers LCOS. |
| Round-trip efficiency (DC, base 92%) | 88% | 92% | 95% | Modest sensitivity; efficiency losses matter less than utilization. |
| Scenario | Direction of LCOS | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| High-utilization campsite (75 kWh/day) | LCOS falls (utilization rises) | Strongest case. Storage displaces substantial genset runtime; ROI hinges on local diesel/LPG cost vs. avoided fuel. |
| Base case (60 kWh/day, 34.6 ¢/kWh) | Base | Borderline case. Defensible only if silent-night operation, generator-hour reduction, and outage resilience are valued — these are not monetized in the computed NPV. |
| Low-utilization campsite (45 kWh/day) | LCOS rises | Weak case. Consider downsizing to a 40–50 kWh cabinet or running a smaller genset + PV until load grows. |
| CapEx up (USD 60k) | LCOS rises ~3–4 ¢/kWh | Still defensible if fuel displacement and resilience benefits are monetized. |
| CapEx down (USD 42k, direct-import cabinet) | LCOS falls ~3–4 ¢/kWh | Strongest case — supports a clearer business case against incumbent diesel runtime. |
| High discount rate (8%) | LCOS falls modestly | CapEx-heavy projects are less hurt than OpEx-heavy ones by high discount rates. |
| Low RTE (88%) | LCOS rises ~1–2 ¢/kWh | Modest degradation; efficiency losses matter less than utilization. |
Key insight: utilization (kWh/day served) dominates the LCOS. A 33% drop in throughput raises LCOS substantially; a ±20% CapEx movement shifts LCOS by only ±3–4 ¢/kWh. Because the base-case NPV is negative and payback is undefined within the 15-year horizon, the project is a resilience-and-noise investment, not an energy-cost investment, at the bounded assumptions used.
For procurement, plan a site assessment (load audit, sun-shade analysis, genset sizing, interconnection study) before sizing final kWh and PCS rating. Final torque, SOC-window, and DC-bus voltage limits must be confirmed against the chosen OEM manual revision at the time of PO.