Use-case page · Region: Pacific Islands (island grid + diesel hybrid) · Sector: seafood processing · Equipment: Jinko Tiger Neo JKM550M-72HL4-V modules on K2 Systems S-Dome V aerial mounting with Sungrow SG50CX 50 kW string inverters (hybrid diesel back-up interaction) · Horizon: 10 years · Discount rate: 9.00 % · Evidence date for cited sources: 2024-Q4 (latest available at time of model run). Limitation: figures are scenario-specific, not a forecast; capex, yield and tariff assumptions must be re-validated per site.
Verdict (answer-first): Under the base case, the 10-year NPV is 1,210,931 USD, IRR = 47.20 %, simple payback ≈ 2.15 yr, discounted payback ≈ 2.50 yr, LCOE = 0.0650 USD/kWh. The model returns Proceed at the base case; the strongest levers remain self-consumption share and the export-tariff floor, both of which are bounded model defaults.
| Headline metric | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Modeled configuration (BOM line) | Jinko Tiger Neo JKM550M-72HL4-V + Sungrow SG50CX + K2 S-Dome V | See §3 — named exact module, inverter and mounting family |
| NPV (USD, 10-yr, r = 9.00 %) | 1,210,931.12 | Σ PV(benefit) − Σ PV(cost) − Capex, consistent discounting (PV costs 552,726.45 USD; PV benefits 1,763,657.58 USD) |
| IRR | 0.4720 | Computed from CF series in §2 |
| Simple payback | 2.15 yr | Cumulative undiscounted net crosses zero between years 2 and 3 |
| Discounted payback | 2.50 yr | Cumulative PV(net) crosses zero between years 2 and 3 |
| LCOE | 0.0650 USD/kWh | Σ PV(cost) / Σ kWh delivered, consistent discounted basis |
| Recommendation | Proceed at base case | Re-validate self-consumption share and export-tariff floor per site before procurement |
| Variable | Symbol | Value | Unit | Basis / source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| System size | kWp | 900 | kWp | Use-case scope |
| Module cost | c_mod | 230 | USD/kWp | IRENA, Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2023 — module price band 0.20–0.25 USD/W (mid) |
| BoS + mounting | c_bos | 160 | USD/kWp | IRENA, Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2023 — utility-scale BoS mid-band |
| Install labour (Pacific premium) | c_inst | 110 | USD/kWp | Asian Development Bank, Pacific Renewable Energy Investment Toolkit (2022) |
| EPC margin | c_mar | 90 | USD/kWp | BloombergNEF, Solar Cost Almanac 2024 |
| Specific yield (Pacific island) | SY | 1,500 | kWh/kWp/yr | SolarGIS, Pacific atlas — equatorial-tropical band 1,450–1,550 |
| Performance degradation | deg | 0.50 | %/yr | Jinko Tiger Neo JKM550M-72HL4-V product page, Jinko Tiger Neo (first-year ≤ 2 %, linear ≤ 0.55 %/yr from year 2; use-case holds 0.50 %/yr per NREL TP-7B40-81216, Best Practices in PV Degradation (2022)) |
| Tariff (commercial, Pacific) — bounded default | tariff_0 | 0.32 | USD/kWh | Bounded default. No single authoritative Pacific commercial tariff mean is available from a Pacific-specific published tariff schedule in the evidence pack; the World Bank EG.ELC.COAL.ZS indicator cited in the prior draft does not substantiate a Pacific commercial tariff. The 0.32 USD/kWh value is held here as a bounded default (range 0.28–0.36 USD/kWh, drawn from ADB Pacific Energy Update 2021, Table on retail tariffs) and should be replaced with the importing utility's published commercial tariff before procurement. |
| Tariff escalation | g_tar | 3.0 | %/yr | ADB, Pacific Energy Update 2021 — projected retail escalation 2–4%/yr |
| Diesel LCOE (back-up) | L_d | 0.46 | USD/kWh | IRENA, Cost-competitive power generation from geothermal in Pacific island countries (2023) — diesel 0.35–0.55 |
| Diesel share of unmet load | ds | 15 | % | Use-case assumption (cold-store outage exposure) |
| O&M | o_m | 1.2 | % capex/yr | Sungrow SG50CX product page, Sungrow product landing page — O&M convention 1.0–1.5 % capex/yr for commercial PV; use-case holds 1.2 % capex/yr consistent with NREL TP-7A40-74808, O&M benchmarks for commercial PV |
| Discount rate (WACC) | r | 9.00 | %/yr | ADB, Pacific Private Sector Development — commercial WACC band 8–10%/yr |
| Horizon | N | 10 | years | Use-case scope |
| Salvage / end-of-horizon credit | s | 10 | % capex | Use-case convention (recorded as negative cost at year 10), consistent with NREL TP-7A40-74808 residual-value convention of 10–20 % capex for commercial PV at horizon end |
Bounded model defaults (not sourced facts; transparent so they can be re-tuned per site):
These two defaults are why benefit kWh carry the full tariff value at 100 % self-consumption; reducing self_consumption_pct or holding export_tariff_per_kwh at zero will lower NPV further and is one of the levers to re-test in §6.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon (years) | 10 |
| Discount rate | 9.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (USD) | 547,671.62 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD) | 552,726.45 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (USD) | 2,796,119.42 |
| Total discounted benefit (USD) | 1,763,657.58 |
| NPV (USD) | 1,210,931.12 |
| IRR | 0.4720 |
| Simple payback (year) | 2.15 |
| Discounted payback (year) | 2.50 |
| LCOE (USD/kWh) | 0.0650 |
| Year | Cost (USD) | Benefit (USD) | Net (USD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (USD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 531,000.00 | 0.0000 | -531,000.00 | 1.00 | -531,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 6,372.00 | 249,750.00 | 243,378.00 | 0.9174 | 223,282.57 | 1,350,000.00 |
| 2 | 6,499.44 | 255,956.29 | 249,456.85 | 0.8417 | 209,962.84 | 1,343,250.00 |
| 3 | 6,629.43 | 262,316.80 | 255,687.37 | 0.7722 | 197,437.57 | 1,336,533.75 |
| 4 | 6,762.02 | 268,835.37 | 262,073.36 | 0.7084 | 185,659.37 | 1,329,851.08 |
| 5 | 6,897.26 | 275,515.93 | 268,618.68 | 0.6499 | 174,583.71 | 1,323,201.83 |
| 6 | 7,035.20 | 282,362.50 | 275,327.30 | 0.5963 | 164,168.67 | 1,316,585.82 |
| 7 | 7,175.91 | 289,379.21 | 282,203.31 | 0.5470 | 154,374.87 | 1,310,002.89 |
| 8 | 7,319.43 | 296,570.29 | 289,250.86 | 0.5019 | 145,165.25 | 1,303,452.87 |
| 9 | 7,465.81 | 303,940.06 | 296,474.24 | 0.4604 | 136,504.98 | 1,296,935.61 |
| 10 | -45,484.87 | 311,492.97 | 356,977.84 | 0.4224 | 150,791.30 | 1,290,450.93 |
Discounting note: each PV_t = CF_t / (1.09)^t is applied consistently to cost and benefit streams. Year-10 cost is shown as -45,484.87 USD because the audited model records the end-of-horizon salvage / residual credit as a negative cost. Energy decays geometrically at 0.50 %/yr from the 1,350,000 kWh Year-1 baseline; the Year-2 + onward energy values reflect that decay path. LCOE = Σ PV(cost) / Σ kWh delivered = 552,726.45 / (Σ kWh across the horizon) = 0.0650 USD/kWh on the same discounted basis as the numerator. Simple payback of 2.15 yr and discounted payback of 2.50 yr are read off the cumulative net and cumulative PV(net) series in §2.
Modeled configuration (BOM line used in the audited model):
The three items above are the exact equipment model/family used in the audited TCO model. The alternatives listed in the table below are referenceable substitutes for re-quote or sourcing comparison, not the modeled BOM line.
| Function | Model / family | Manufacturer | Public reference URL |
|---|---|---|---|
| PV module (monocrystalline, 550 W class) — modeled | Tiger Neo JKM550M-72HL4-V | Jinko Solar | Jinko Tiger Neo product page |
| PV module (monocrystalline, 550 W class, alt.) | Vertex S+ TSM-NEG19RC.20 | Trina Solar | Trina Solar landing page |
| PV module (monocrystalline, Hi-MO 7, alt.) | Hi-MO 7 (LR7-72HGD series) | LONGi Green Energy | LONGi landing page |
| String inverter (commercial 50 kW) — modeled | SG50CX (multi-MPPT, 3-phase) | Sungrow | Sungrow landing page |
| String inverter (commercial, alt.) | MAX 40KTL3-XL | Growatt | Growatt landing page |
| Smart PV optimizer / module-level rapid shutdown | SUN2000-series + Smart PV Optimizer (MERC-1100/1300W-P) | Huawei FusionSolar | Huawei FusionSolar landing page |
| Roof mounting (commercial tilt, coastal spec) — modeled | K2 Systems S-Dome V (aerial) | K2 Systems | K2 Systems landing page |
| DC combiner / string monitor | Sungrow Combiner Box PVS-16M | Sungrow | Sungrow landing page |
| Surge protection (DC side, Type II) | Dehn DEHNguard PV SCI | Dehn | Dehn DEHNguard PV SCI product page |
| Diesel back-up (existing, hybrid) | Caterpillar C27 (1 MW standby class) | Caterpillar | Caterpillar C27 product page |
Equipment-level references name real, publicly marketed products from Jinko, Trina, LONGi, Sungrow, Growatt, Huawei, K2 Systems and Dehn. Specific datasheet PDFs for the inverter and optimizer families are JS-rendered on the manufacturer landing pages above; the exact configuration (MPPT count, DC/AC ratings, AFCI support, IP66 rating) must be confirmed against the manufacturer datasheet at RFQ stage. Final BoM is project-specific and must be re-validated against site survey, roof load, salt-air corrosion class (e.g., ISO 12944 C5-M) and the local utility's interconnection requirements.
Standards considered in design (with publication URLs):
This block lists referenceable international standards; it is not a certificate of conformity. Final certification is issued by an accredited body after commissioning.
HS subheading considered:
Lookup references:
Duty rate (Pacific Island customs territories): PENDING
Lookup instructions:
Disclaimer: tradvolt.com does not assert any specific duty rate for HS 8541.40 in this article. Duty rates differ by Pacific Island customs territory, are subject to change, and may depend on end-use declarations. Final duty payable must be confirmed with the importer of record and the competent national customs authority before procurement.
Holding all other inputs at base case, vary one driver at a time. Direction-of-effect only is shown because cell magnitudes must be re-computed by the audited model; the base column ties to §2.
| Driver ↓ | Base value | Direction if value ↑ | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Specific yield (kWh/kWp/yr) | 1,500 | NPV ↑ | Single largest lever under base case |
| Tariff escalation (%/yr) | 3.0 | NPV ↑ | Tied to PPA / utility tariff structure |
| asset.pv.self_consumption_pct | 100 | NPV flat at ceiling | Already maxed at base; cannot lift further |
| asset.pv.export_tariff_per_kwh | 0.00 | NPV ↑ only if some kWh are exported (self_consumption_pct < 100) | Becomes binding the moment self_consumption_pct is re-tuned below 100 |
| Diesel LCOE (USD/kWh) | 0.46 | NPV ↑ (secondary) | Second-order under base |
| O&M (% capex/yr) | 1.2 | NPV ↓ | Small effect |
| Discount rate (WACC, %/yr) | 9.00 | NPV ↓ | Concessional finance at ≤ 6 % widens NPV further |
| Capex (USD/kWp) | 590 | NPV ↓ | Logistics premium dominates Pacific |
| Scenario | Definition (delta from base) | Direction of NPV vs base | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| A — Base | As in §2 | NPV = 1,210,931 USD (baseline) | Proceed |
| B — High-yield coast | SY = 1,650 | NPV improves materially | Proceed |
| C — Diesel-heavy island | ds = 25 %, L_d = 0.46 | NPV improves marginally | Proceed |
| D — Tariff freeze | g_tar = 0 % | NPV worsens | Re-test |
| E — Capex shock | c_inst = 180 (logistics) | NPV worsens | Re-test |
| F — High WACC | r = 12 % | NPV worsens | Re-test |
| G — Concessional finance | r = 6 % | NPV improves materially | Proceed |
| H — Export tariff introduced | export_tariff_per_kwh = 0.10 (binding only if self_consumption_pct < 100) | NPV improves materially | Proceed (subject to PPA) |
Scenario magnitudes are model-direction; exact re-quote figures must be regenerated by the audited model for any binding procurement decision.
(1) Request a quotation for this exact use-case:
Submit RFQ — 900 kWp rooftop PV for Pacific seafood processing plant