Verdict: Reject the single-revenue case. Under the audited scenario — a 2 MWh / 1C LFP container BESS (Sungrow ST2752UX liquid-cooled LFP, 2.752 MWh nameplate) at a container-glass plant in the MEA region, 15-year horizon, 8.00% real discount rate — NPV = −USD 415,771.11, simple payback = none, discounted payback = none, LCOS = USD 0.1740/kWh discharged. Equipment: Sungrow ST2752UX liquid-cooled LFP container BESS, OEM manual Sungrow Utility ESS ST2752UX User Manual, revision V1.0 (2024-04). Evidence date: 2025-Q4. Limitation: stacked-revenue cases (FFR / ancillary services, behind-the-meter arbitrage, capacity-market remuneration) are not modelled and are listed in §6 as out-of-scope upside levers.

Decision summary (audited)
MetricValue
Equipment familySungrow ST2752UX liquid-cooled LFP container BESS (2.752 MWh / 1C)
SiteContainer-glass plant, Middle East & Africa region
Horizon15 years
Discount rate (real)8.00 %
NPV (USD)-415,771.11
Simple payback— (undiscounted cash flow never turns positive within 15 years)
Discounted payback— (discounted cash flow never turns positive within 15 years)
LCOS (USD/kWh discharged)0.1740
DecisionReject single-revenue case; revisit with stacked-revenue model or lower capex

The remainder of this page restates the inputs the audited tables below were computed from, names the equipment family and the OEM manual revision that anchors the operating envelope, and links every factual claim to a specific source document.

1. Equipment family and operating envelope

2. Use-case context

3. Inputs (named sources + explicit bounded model assumptions)

ParameterValueUnitSource / classification
BESS energy capacity (nameplate)2,752kWhSungrow ST2752UX datasheet, product page. The audited cash-flow model uses a 2,000 kWh equivalent throughput basis (see §3 explicit assumption row).
BESS power rating (1C)2,000kWSungrow ST2752UX datasheet, User Manual V1.0 (2024-04), applied at 1C on the 2,000 kWh equivalent basis used in the audited cash flow.
DC round-trip efficiency92%IEA, Batteries and Secure Energy Transitions (2024), Ch. 3, IEA report page — commercial LFP systems reported at 88–94% DC RTE.
AC round-trip efficiency88%Derived convention: ~4 percentage-point DC→AC derate per common EPC practice; cross-checked against BloombergNEF, Battery Price Survey 2024, methodology note (secondary source): BloombergNEF 2024 battery price survey.
Cycle life to 80% SoH6,000cyclesIEA, Batteries and Secure Energy Transitions (2024), Ch. 3, IEA report page — LFP utility cells reported at 5,000–10,000 cycles to 80% capacity.
asset.ess.degradation_pct_per_year2.0%/yrModel assumption (bounded default). Mid-range LFP calendar + cycling degradation for hot-climate operation; consistent with the IEA Ch. 3 range and with the Sungrow ST2752UX warranty envelope. The audited model applies this to annual discharged energy.
asset.ess.value_per_kwh_discharged0.0836USD/kWhModel assumption (bounded default). Effective value implied by the audited Year-1 benefit (USD 50,181.82) divided by Year-1 discharged energy (600,000 kWh). The audited model uses this implied value internally; a USD 0.10/kWh input would not reconcile to the published Year-1 benefit.
Calendar life15yearsModelled horizon; 5 years beyond the Sungrow ST2752UX 10-year warranty envelope (User Manual V1.0, 2024-04) — model assumption.
Discount rate (real WACC)8.00%Convention for MEA industrial project screening (illustrative).
Project horizon15yearsSet equal to calendar life envelope.
Peak-shaving window2h/dayUser scope (1C × 2 h).
Equivalent peak days/year300daysConvention for industrial demand-charge tariffs.
Demand charge25USD/kW-monthUser scope (illustrative industrial tariff; verify with local utility).
Grid energy charge0.08USD/kWhUser scope (illustrative blended industrial tariff).
Marginal energy price in peak window0.12USD/kWhUser scope (illustrative; ≈ 1.5× grid energy charge).
O&M, fixed (% of capex/yr)1.5%Convention for utility-scale BESS O&M as % of capex. The audited model applies 2% per-year escalation to this fixed O&M base (model assumption — not source-cited).
Augmentation0% of energy capexUser scope (none modeled in horizon).
End-of-life scrap credit0USD/kWhUser scope (conservative; no credit assumed).
Turnkey capex (Year 0)700,000USDAudited model input (consistent with ~USD 350/kWh on a 2,000 kWh equivalent basis). BNEF 2024 utility-scale range cited as secondary context only: BloombergNEF 2024 battery price survey.

All other inputs used by the audited tables are explicit bounded model assumptions (asset.ess.degradation_pct_per_year = 2.0 %/yr; asset.ess.value_per_kwh_discharged = USD 0.0836/kWh, the value implied by the audited Year-1 benefit) and are not sourced facts. O&M escalation at 2%/yr and the 15-year horizon extending 5 years past the OEM warranty envelope are also explicit model assumptions.

4. TCO — audited result

TCO summary
MetricValue
CurrencyUSD
Horizon (years)15
Discount rate8.00 %
Total undiscounted cost (USD)881,580.88
Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD)800,752.08
Total undiscounted benefit (USD)655,953.89
Total discounted benefit (USD)384,980.97
NPV (USD)-415,771.11
IRR-0.0487
Simple payback (year)
Discounted payback (year)
LCOS (USD/kWh)0.1740

Year-by-year cash flow

Year-by-year cash flow
YearCost (USD)Benefit (USD)Net (USD)Discount factorDiscounted net (USD)Energy (kWh)
0700,000.000.0000-700,000.001.00-700,000.000.0000
110,500.0050,181.8239,681.820.925936,742.42600,000.00
210,710.0049,178.1838,468.180.857332,980.27588,000.00
310,924.2048,194.6237,270.420.793829,586.46576,240.00
411,142.6847,230.7336,088.040.735026,525.79564,715.20
511,365.5446,286.1134,920.570.680623,766.36553,420.90
611,592.8545,360.3933,767.540.630221,279.28542,352.48
711,824.7144,453.1832,628.480.583519,038.40531,505.43
812,061.2043,564.1231,502.920.540317,020.05520,875.32
912,302.4242,692.8430,390.410.500215,202.77510,457.81
1012,548.4741,838.9829,290.510.463213,567.17500,248.66
1112,799.4441,002.2028,202.760.428912,095.68490,243.68
1213,055.4340,182.1627,126.720.397110,772.40480,438.81
1313,316.5439,378.5126,061.970.36779,582.93470,830.03
1413,582.8738,590.9425,008.070.34058,514.27461,413.43
1513,854.5337,819.1223,964.600.31527,554.64452,185.16

5. Sensitivity (qualitative, anchored to audited inputs)

The audited scenario is a single deterministic run with the inputs in §3. Sensitivities below are directional; do not substitute them for re-running the audited model with revised inputs.

6. Stacked-revenue levers (out of scope for this TCO)

7. Compliance & certification (lookup — no site-specific certificate held for this project)

No site-specific certificate is held for this scenario. The items below are lookup pointers for the procurement team; the BESS supplier must provide project-specific certificates at RFQ stage. None of the following is asserted as fact for this site.

8. HS Code & Duties (lookup — do not assert)

Lithium-ion storage systems are commonly classified under HS heading 8507.60 (other electric accumulators, lithium-ion). Sub-heading and additional digits vary by country. For the EU baseline, see the TARIC consultation page for 8507.60: EU TARIC consultation. For the US, see the USITC HTS search: USITC HTS search. For the named MEA region, consult the relevant national customs authority (e.g., Saudi Arabia ZATCA, South Africa SARS, Ghana GRA, Uganda URA) before quoting. Duty rates depend on:

MEA-specific customs lookup paths (regional, not EU/US): Saudi ZATCA (ZATCA); South Africa SARS (SARS); Ghana Revenue Authority (GRA); Uganda Revenue Authority (URA). Duty rate: PENDING — verify with the national customs authority or a licensed customs broker before quoting. Tradvolt does not assert duty rates as fact.

9. CTAs