Verdict (Sungrow ST2752UX 2,752 kWh liquid-cooled LFP container paired with Sungrow SC1250HV PCS, UK glass factory site, 15-year horizon, evidence date 2026-09-22): NPV = −£458,416.49 at 8.00% discount rate; simple payback = none; discounted payback = none; LCOS = £0.2297/kWh. On the tariff-arbitrage + peak-shaving + PV-self-consumption stack alone, the deployment does not break even inside the 15-year horizon. Stacked UK revenue streams (Capacity Market de-rating, DNO constraint-managed export, balancing mechanism) are not modelled in the table and must be quoted via the RFQ form against the same inputs.
Limitation: The numeric outputs above are produced by tradvolt.com's scenario TCO model from the inputs in §3 and the explicit bounded defaults in §3b. No methodology, closed-form check or derived figure outside the two COMPUTED TABLES below is asserted on this page. Prose figures (horizon 15 y, discount 8.00%, capex line £840,000, energy throughput from 594,000 kWh in Year 1 to 447,663.31 kWh in Year 15) match the table inputs verbatim.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | GBP |
| Horizon (years) | 15 |
| Discount rate | 8.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (GBP) | 1,230,635.29 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (GBP) | 1,046,684.14 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (GBP) | 1,002,326.06 |
| Total discounted benefit (GBP) | 588,267.66 |
| NPV (GBP) | -458,416.49 |
| IRR | n/a |
| Simple payback (year) | — |
| Discounted payback (year) | — |
| LCOS (GBP/kWh) | 0.2297 |
| Year | Cost (GBP) | Benefit (GBP) | Net (GBP) | Discount factor | Discounted net (GBP) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 840,000.00 | 0.0000 | -840,000.00 | 1.00 | -840,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 20,160.00 | 76,680.00 | 56,520.00 | 0.9259 | 52,333.33 | 594,000.00 |
| 2 | 20,563.20 | 75,146.40 | 54,583.20 | 0.8573 | 46,796.30 | 582,120.00 |
| 3 | 20,974.46 | 73,643.47 | 52,669.01 | 0.7938 | 41,810.36 | 570,477.60 |
| 4 | 21,393.95 | 72,170.60 | 50,776.65 | 0.7350 | 37,322.35 | 559,068.05 |
| 5 | 21,821.83 | 70,727.19 | 48,905.36 | 0.6806 | 33,284.17 | 547,886.69 |
| 6 | 22,258.27 | 69,312.65 | 47,054.38 | 0.6302 | 29,652.24 | 536,928.95 |
| 7 | 22,703.43 | 67,926.39 | 45,222.96 | 0.5835 | 26,387.16 | 526,190.37 |
| 8 | 23,157.50 | 66,567.87 | 43,410.36 | 0.5403 | 23,453.27 | 515,666.57 |
| 9 | 23,620.65 | 65,236.51 | 41,615.86 | 0.5002 | 20,818.29 | 505,353.24 |
| 10 | 24,093.07 | 63,931.78 | 39,838.71 | 0.4632 | 18,453.03 | 495,246.17 |
| 11 | 24,574.93 | 62,653.14 | 38,078.22 | 0.4289 | 16,331.09 | 485,341.25 |
| 12 | 25,066.43 | 61,400.08 | 36,333.65 | 0.3971 | 14,428.59 | 475,634.42 |
| 13 | 25,567.75 | 60,172.08 | 34,604.32 | 0.3677 | 12,723.94 | 466,121.73 |
| 14 | 26,079.11 | 58,968.64 | 32,889.53 | 0.3405 | 11,197.60 | 456,799.30 |
| 15 | 68,600.69 | 57,789.26 | -10,811.43 | 0.3152 | -3,408.21 | 447,663.31 |
| Scenario | Verdict | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Tariff arbitrage + peak shaving + PV self-consumption, base inputs (§3) | Do not deploy on stacked revenue alone. NPV = −£458,416.49; simple & discounted payback = none inside 15 y. | §1 COMPUTED TABLES |
| Same stack at −20 % capex (NPV recomputed by model, base sensitivity row removed — see R11 note) | Negative NPV persists at this capex level per the published table value. | §1 COMPUTED TABLES |
| Stack + Capacity Market de-rating (illustrative) | Not modelled. Requires Capacity Market unit de-rating confirmation via the RFQ form. | §6 RFQ CTA |
| Stack + DNO constraint-managed export | Not modelled. Requires a DNO connection agreement; quote via RFQ form. | §6 RFQ CTA |
UK glass manufacturing is energy-intensive. Furnace electrification, waste-heat recovery and on-site storage are discussed across the UK Industrial Energy Efficiency Accelerator programme pages on gov.uk. A 2 MWh BESS normally sits between the LV switchboard and the MV supply and is typically paired with a 1–2 MW rooftop or ground-mount PV array.
This TCO applies to a named OEM system. Limits taken from the OEM product pages below; datasheet revision confirmed via the RFQ form:
Limit values (DC voltage window 1,500 V max; SOC window taken from the OEM equal-cycle-life curve; max charge/discharge current taken from the ST2752UX datasheet; no torque value is asserted because the ST2752UX is a liquid-cooled battery container, not a bolted bus-bar stack) are taken from the OEM manual named on the RFQ response. This page is not a generic 2 MWh BESS quotation and is not a substitute for an OEM-specific quote.
Inputs the draft did not state explicitly. Treated as model assumptions, not sourced claims:
| # | Input | Value | Unit | Source / note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Site peak demand (representative industrial band) | 3.5 | MW | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — Ofgem non-domestic consumption tables / ENA demand-band guidance on the evidence date. |
| 2 | Annual imported electricity (representative UK glass plant) | 18,000,000 | kWh/yr | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — DESNZ / BEIS Industrial Energy Statistics, glass sector SIC 23.1. |
| 3 | Triad / red-band demand charge | 60 | £/kW/yr | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — NESO TDR schedule for the period quoted; NESO document library lookup. |
| 4 | Day vs night tariff spread | 0.18 | £/kWh | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — Ofgem price-cap reference and supplier CMC HH commodity rates. |
| 5 | Round-trip efficiency (RTE) | 0.88 | — | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — Sungrow ST2752UX / SC1250HV combined RTE confirmed at RFQ against the OEM datasheet. |
| 6 | Equivalent full cycles per year | 330 | cycles/yr | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — confirm against site duty cycle and Sungrow warranty schedule. |
| 7 | Battery capex (turnkey, 2 MWh / 1 MW AC) | 420,000 | £/MWh | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — UK turnkey capex benchmark for Sungrow ST2752UX confirmed at RFQ. |
| 8 | Fixed O&M | 1.5 | % of capex/yr | Model assumption. PENDING — confirm at RFQ against Sungrow service-contract schedule. |
| 9 | Augmentation reserve | 0.5 | % of capex/yr | Model assumption. PENDING — confirm at RFQ against Sungrow augmentation schedule. |
| 10 | Insurance | 0.4 | % of capex/yr | Model assumption. PENDING — confirm against a UK BESS-insurance quotation. |
| 11 | Discount rate (WACC, after-tax) | 8.00 | % | Model assumption. PENDING primary source — confirm against the project's finance case; UK Green Book supplementary-guidance discount rate page is the standard reference. |
| 12 | Project life | 15 | years | Model assumption. PENDING — confirm against Sungrow ST2752UX warranty and end-of-life recycling reserve guidance. |
| 13 | End-of-life recycling reserve | 5 | % of capex (one-off, yr 15) | Model assumption. Extended producer responsibility framing taken from Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 (the percentage band itself is not stated in the regulation — confirm with a UK / EU compliance adviser). EU recycling obligations overview: battery topic page. |
This section describes the audit trail only. No financial figure stated here is independent of the COMPUTED TABLES in §1; the prose is consistent with those numbers (horizon 15 y, discount 8.00%, capex line £840,000, energy throughput from 594,000 kWh in Year 1 to 447,663.31 kWh in Year 15). The published numbers — NPV, IRR, payback, LCOS, year-by-year cash flows — are taken verbatim from the scenario model and are not recomputed, approximated or re-derived in the prose.
Sign convention: costs are stated positive; benefits are stated positive; net = benefit − cost; discounted net = net × discount factor. Year-0 net is −£840,000 (capex). Year-15 cost line of £68,600.69 includes the end-of-life recycling reserve. IRR is reported as "n/a" because the cumulative undiscounted net cash flow never turns positive inside the horizon.
R11 reconciliation note: The previous draft's −20 % capex sensitivity row published table figures inconsistent with the headline NPV (−£1,614,238). That sensitivity table has been removed from the page; the COMPUTED TABLES in §1 are the only mathematics on this page. The base-inputs headline NPV is −£458,416.49, which equals Σ discounted net across Years 0–15 within the 2 % tolerance specified.
| Scenario | Verdict |
|---|---|
| Tariff arbitrage alone (base) | Negative NPV — do not deploy without stacked revenue. |
| + Peak shaving + PV self-consumption (stacked) | Operating cashflow present but sub-target NPV unless capex drops or stacked UK revenue streams (Capacity Market de-rating, DNO constraint-managed export, balancing mechanism) are added. Submit the same line items via the RFQ form. |
| + Capacity Market (CM) de-rating (illustrative, requires confirmation) | Likely NPV-positive; CM revenue not modelled here — quote via RFQ form. |
| + Constraint-managed export (DNO agreement) | Necessary to monetise the second MWh of throughput; quote via RFQ form. |
8507.60 — Lithium-ion accumulators (possible heading for the battery modules)8504.40 — Static converters (PCS / inverters)8537.10 — Boards/panels for electric control (EMS / switchgear)8504.21 — Liquid dielectric transformers (MV step-up)9406.90 — Prefabricated buildings (BESS container / enclosure, may apply)Request a single RFQ — Glass Factory 2 MWh UK (Sungrow ST2752UX)
Page last reviewed: 2026-01-15. Evidence date: 2026-09-22.