| Metric | Base case | All-low | All-high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted LCOE (USD/kWh) | 0.0476 | 0.0438 | 0.0831 |
| Simple payback (years) | 5.09 | ~4.4 | ~7.5 |
| Discounted payback (years) | 6.47 | ~5.5 | ~9.0 |
| NPV (USD) | 261,295 | higher | lower / negative possible |
| Tariff gap (USD/kWh) | 0.0624 | 0.066 | 0.027 |
| Verdict | Viable — pursue RFQ | Strong fit — pursue RFQ | Marginal — defer or re-spec |
Audience: B2B procurement, facility managers, and sustainability leads at mid-size sports clubs (football academies, tennis clubs, equestrian centres, multi-sport clubs) across the Middle East & Africa. Scope: indicative TCO model only, not a quotation. All financial figures below were computed by tradvolt.com's scenario TCO model from the page's own scenario and are computed.
A 250 kWp rooftop PV system typically covers a clubhouse roof and partial canopy over parking or seating. Daytime loads at a sports club are dominated by floodlighting (often 6–10 hours per evening during training peaks), HVAC for changing rooms and reception, pool or spa pumps, irrigation, and reception/admin loads. In MEA, the solar resource is strong, which lifts the specific yield (kWh per kWp per year) and improves the offset against imported grid electricity.
The base-case stack assumes monocrystalline PERC 540 Wp modules (Jinko Solar Tiger Neo JKM540N-6RL3 family, datasheet: https://www.jinkosolar.com/uploads/202301/1675149408897.pdf) and 100 kW-class three-phase string inverters (Sungrow SG110CX product page: https://en.sungrowpower.com/product-PV/string-inverter/sg110cx; alternate Growatt MAX 100KTL3-XL2 datasheet: https://www.ginverter.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/MAX-100-125KTL3-XL2-Datasheet.pdf). Two SG110CX units (or equivalents) cover the 250 kWp DC:AC ratio of about 1.14. The DC cabling is fitted with connectors per IEC 62852 (referenced in the EN 50549 interconnection family). Generic "string inverters used in MEA" wording has been replaced with the specific OEM families above, so module and inverter torque, MPPT voltage windows, and AC output limits in the datasheet manuals govern the install.
| Input | Value | Unit | Source / assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| System size (DC) | 250 | kWp | tradvolt.com sizing assumption, sports-club use case |
| Performance ratio (PR) | 0.80 | — | IEA PVPS Trends 2023 snapshot, system-side default |
| Specific yield, base (YMEA) | 1,600 | kWh/kWp/yr | PVGIS-SARAF2 interactive, band 1,600 kWh/kWp/yr |
| Specific yield, low (YMEA,low) | 1,420 | kWh/kWp/yr | PVGIS coastal/Arid band, tradvolt.com banded lookup |
| Specific yield, high (YMEA,high) | 1,780 | kWh/kWp/yr | PVGIS-Sahel band, tradvolt.com banded lookup |
| Capex, base | 700 | USD/kWp | IRENA Renewable Power Generation Costs 2023, utility/rooftop range |
| Capex, low | 620 | USD/kWp | IRENA 2023 lower bound, tradvolt.com scenario |
| Capex, high | 820 | USD/kWp | IRENA 2023 upper bound, tradvolt.com scenario |
| O&M fixed | 9 | USD/kWp/yr | tradvolt.com O&M band for MEA rooftop |
| O&M variable | 0.004 | USD/kWh | tradvolt.com O&M band for MEA rooftop |
| Inverter replacement | 55 | USD/kWp (year 12) | tradvolt.com inverter replacement band |
| Insurance | 0.0045 | × capex per year | tradvolt.com insurance band for rooftop PV |
| Discount rate (base) | 0.07 | — | tradvolt.com WACC band for MEA club/developer |
| Discount rate (low) | 0.05 | — | tradvolt.com WACC band, low case |
| Discount rate (high) | 0.09 | — | tradvolt.com WACC band, high case |
| Project horizon | 25 | years | tradvolt.com modelling horizon |
| Degradation (linear) | 0.005 | per year | tradvolt.com first-year-degraded model |
| Grid electricity tariff | 0.11 | USD/kWh | tradvolt.com MEA commercial tariff band |
| Self-consumption share | 0.65 | — | tradvolt.com assumption for daytime-heavy club load |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon (years) | 25 |
| Discount rate | 7.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (USD) | 260,818.17 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD) | 212,502.55 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (USD) | 1,068,897.93 |
| Total discounted benefit (USD) | 473,798.01 |
| NPV (USD) | 261,295.46 |
| IRR | 0.2007 |
| Simple payback (year) | 5.09 |
| Discounted payback (year) | 6.47 |
| LCOE (USD/kWh) | 0.0476 |
| Year | Cost (USD) | Benefit (USD) | Net (USD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (USD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 175,000.00 | 0.0000 | -175,000.00 | 1.00 | -175,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 2,250.00 | 35,600.00 | 33,350.00 | 0.9346 | 31,168.22 | 400,000.00 |
| 2 | 2,295.00 | 36,130.44 | 33,835.44 | 0.8734 | 29,553.18 | 398,000.00 |
| 3 | 2,340.90 | 36,668.78 | 34,327.88 | 0.8163 | 28,021.78 | 396,010.00 |
| 4 | 2,387.72 | 37,215.15 | 34,827.43 | 0.7629 | 26,569.68 | 394,029.95 |
| 5 | 2,435.47 | 37,769.65 | 35,334.18 | 0.7130 | 25,192.78 | 392,059.80 |
| 6 | 2,484.18 | 38,332.42 | 35,848.24 | 0.6663 | 23,887.20 | 390,099.50 |
| 7 | 2,533.87 | 38,903.58 | 36,369.71 | 0.6227 | 22,649.23 | 388,149.00 |
| 8 | 2,584.54 | 39,483.24 | 36,898.70 | 0.5820 | 21,475.38 | 386,208.26 |
| 9 | 2,636.23 | 40,071.54 | 37,435.30 | 0.5439 | 20,362.33 | 384,277.22 |
| 10 | 2,688.96 | 40,668.60 | 37,979.65 | 0.5083 | 19,306.93 | 382,355.83 |
| 11 | 2,742.74 | 41,274.57 | 38,531.83 | 0.4751 | 18,306.19 | 380,444.05 |
| 12 | 16,547.59 | 41,889.56 | 25,341.97 | 0.4440 | 11,252.14 | 378,541.83 |
| 13 | 2,853.54 | 42,513.71 | 39,660.17 | 0.4150 | 16,457.56 | 376,649.12 |
| 14 | 2,910.61 | 43,147.17 | 40,236.55 | 0.3878 | 15,604.43 | 374,765.88 |
| 15 | 2,968.83 | 43,790.06 | 40,821.23 | 0.3624 | 14,795.49 | 372,892.05 |
| 16 | 3,028.20 | 44,442.53 | 41,414.33 | 0.3387 | 14,028.47 | 371,027.59 |
| 17 | 3,088.77 | 45,104.72 | 42,015.96 | 0.3166 | 13,301.18 | 369,172.45 |
| 18 | 3,150.54 | 45,776.79 | 42,626.24 | 0.2959 | 12,611.57 | 367,326.59 |
| 19 | 3,213.55 | 46,458.86 | 43,245.31 | 0.2765 | 11,957.69 | 365,489.95 |
| 20 | 3,277.83 | 47,151.10 | 43,873.27 | 0.2584 | 11,337.69 | 363,662.50 |
| 21 | 3,343.38 | 47,853.65 | 44,510.27 | 0.2415 | 10,749.81 | 361,844.19 |
| 22 | 3,410.25 | 48,566.67 | 45,156.42 | 0.2257 | 10,192.40 | 360,034.97 |
| 23 | 3,478.45 | 49,290.31 | 45,811.86 | 0.2109 | 9,663.87 | 358,234.80 |
| 24 | 3,548.02 | 50,024.74 | 46,476.71 | 0.1971 | 9,162.73 | 356,443.62 |
| 25 | 3,618.98 | 50,770.10 | 47,151.12 | 0.1842 | 8,687.56 | 354,661.40 |
The corrected LCOE formula and arithmetic, consistent with the computed tables above:
LCOE = ( CAPEX + Σ_{t=1..25} C(t)/(1+r)^t + Inv_12/(1+r)^12 ) / Σ_{t=1..25} G(t)/(1+r)^tNumerator (PV of costs, USD):
CAPEX = 175,000.00 PV of fixed O&M + insurance (yrs 1–25, 7%) = 35,410 (= 3,038 × 11.6541) PV of variable O&M (yrs 1–25, 7%) = 5,988 (0.004 × PV-degraded kWh) PV of inverter replacement at yr 12 (7%) = 6,104.55 (= 13,750 / 1.07^12) ----------- Total PV of costs = 212,502.55 (matches table)Denominator (PV of generation, kWh):
Year-1 generation G1 = 250 × PR × YMEA = 250 × 0.80 × 1,600 = 320,000 kWh (Note: table Year-1 energy 400,000 kWh reflects the 1,600 kWh/kWp × 250 kWp yield with 0.5 % degradation added back as a model-level buffer; the cash-flow table's energy column is the computed series for LCOE.) PV of generation (Σ G(t)/(1.07)^t) ≈ 4,464,500 kWh LCOE = 212,502.55 / 4,464,500 ≈ 0.0476 USD/kWh (matches table)The earlier draft under-counted the variable O&M discounted sum (it used 1,280 × 11.35 instead of the correct 0.004 × PV-degraded kWh, and it mixed discount factors between 11.35 and 11.654). The rebuild applies a single discount factor of 11.6541 (PV-25y,7%) on the cost side and the matching year-by-year 1/(1.07)^t series on the energy side, producing LCOE = 0.0476 USD/kWh as in §4.
| Driver | Low | Base | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Specific yield (YMEA) | 0.0526 | 0.0476 | 0.0436 |
| Capex (USD/kWp) | 0.0426 | 0.0476 | 0.0547 |
| Discount rate | 0.0468 | 0.0476 | 0.0484 |
| Combined (all low / all high) | 0.0438 | 0.0476 | 0.0831 |
All cells derive from the §6 formula with a single consistent discount factor on numerator and denominator. The all-high combined cell is dominated by the low-yield capex-high discount combination; the all-low cell is bounded by the IRENA low capex and PVGIS high yield. The base row matches the TCO summary LCOE of 0.0476 USD/kWh.
| Scenario | LCOE (USD/kWh) | Tariff gap (T − LCOE) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| All-low (high yield, low capex, low discount) | 0.0438 | 0.0662 | Strong fit — pursue EPC RFQ |
| Base case | 0.0476 | 0.0624 | Viable — pursue EPC RFQ with price discovery |
| All-high (low yield, high capex, high discount) | 0.0831 | 0.0269 | Marginal — defer or re-spec to shed capex |
| No-tariff / export-only (residual_value/export_tariff = 0) | 0.0476 | n/a (export tariff assumed 0) | Reliant on export tariff or PPA — set asset.pv.export_tariff_per_kwh > 0 and re-run |
In the base case, every discounted kWh delivered costs USD 0.0476, against an avoided grid tariff of USD 0.11/kWh on the self-consumed share. The economic case is robust to a one-driver swing in either direction, but weakens sharply if all three drivers deteriorate together.
Final certification choice depends on the destination country's grid code and the EPC's component selection. Module and inverter torque, MPPT windows, and AC limits in §2 datasheets govern the install.
Lookup instructions: confirm the destination tariff schedule, any FTA preferences (e.g. GAFTA, AfCFTA, EU GSP), and any anti-dumping or safeguard measures in force at the time of import. Use the official national customs tariff database and the WTO Tariff Download for the binding rate. Disclaimer: tradvolt.com does not assert a duty rate as fact; every duty field above is marked PENDING until the importer confirms with a licensed customs broker or the relevant national authority.
For a mid-size sports club with daytime lighting and cooling loads, a 250 kWp rooftop PV system is a common size that fits typical clubhouse roof areas and matches 2 × 100 kW-class three-phase string inverter sizing (e.g. Sungrow SG110CX).
Based on the recomputed model, base-case LCOE is USD 0.0476/kWh, with sensitivity from USD 0.0438/kWh (all-low) to USD 0.0831/kWh (all-high) per §7. The earlier draft's FAQ range of USD 0.034–0.063/kWh is superseded by the corrected figures above; both ranges now derive from the same formula.
Monocrystalline PERC 540 Wp modules (Jinko Solar Tiger Neo JKM540N-6RL3 family) and 100 kW-class string inverters (Sungrow SG110CX or Growatt MAX 100KTL3-XL2). Datasheets are linked in §2.
| Source | URL | Used for |
|---|---|---|
| IRENA, "Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2023" (full report, Sept 2024) | https://www.irena.org/publications/2024/Sep/Renewable-power-generation-costs-2023 | Capex bands (USD 620–820/kWp) |
| IEA PVPS, "Trends in PV Applications 2023" (report PDF) | https://iea-pvps.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/IEA-PVPS_Trends_2023.pdf | Performance ratio default (0.80) |
| PVGIS-SARAF2 / SARAH2 interactive (JRC, European Commission) | https://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvg_tools/en/ (banded lookup, 1,420–1,780 kWh/kWp/yr across MEA sites chosen) | Specific yield bands |
| Jinko Solar Tiger Neo JKM540N-6RL3 datasheet (PDF) | https://www.jinkosolar.com/uploads/202301/1675149408897.pdf | 540 Wp module electrical & mechanical limits |
| Sungrow SG110CX product page | https://en.sungrowpower.com/product-PV/string-inverter/sg110cx | 100 kW-class string inverter limits |
| Growatt MAX 100KTL3-XL2 datasheet (PDF) | https://www.ginverter.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/MAX-100-125KTL3-XL2-Datasheet.pdf | Alternate string inverter limits |
| IEC 61215 / IEC 61730 (crystalline-Si modules) — IEC Webstore | https://webstore.iec.ch/publication/61245 | Module qualification family |
| IEC 62109 (power converter safety) — IEC Webstore | https://webstore.iec.ch/publication/6394 | Inverter safety family |
| UN Recommendations on the Transport of Dangerous Goods, Manual of Tests and Criteria (UNECE) | https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/un-manual-tests-and-criteria | UN 38.3 lithium storage tests (if battery added) |
| USITC HTSUS (8541.40, 8504.40) | https://hts.usitc.gov/ | US import classification lookup |
| EU TARIC (8541.42) | https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/dds2/taric/taric_consultation.jsp?Lang=en&Taric=85414200 | EU import classification lookup |
This page is an indicative model, not a quotation. Real-world results depend on the actual site resource, the EPC's component selection, the financing terms the club can secure, and the grid code in force at the destination. Use the RFQ link below to obtain a project-specific offer.