Scenario ID: landfill-ess-750kwh-sea-r9 · Geography: North Sea coastal LFG site · Equipment: CATL EnerC cabinet (2 paralleled) + Huawei SUN2000-330KTL-H1 + Sungrow SG125HT · Horizon: 20 years · Discount rate: 7.00 % real · Evidence date: 2026-09-22
| Decision metric | Value | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| NPV (USD, real, 20 yr, r=7%) | −140,958.38 | No |
| IRR | −6.15% | No (below hurdle) |
| Simple payback (year) | — | No |
| Discounted payback (year) | — | No |
| LCOS (USD/kWh) | 0.1773 | Above 14 ¢/kWh screen |
A 750 kWh / 375 kW lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) battery storage system is colocated with a 1.6 MW landfill-gas (LFG) reciprocating engine. The BESS smooths engine output, stores daytime surplus for evening grid feed-in, and provides frequency-response services to the TSO. The site sits roughly 800 m from the high-water line; the cabinet enclosure is specified to IP66 with ISO 9223 C4 (salt-fog) coating class, both treated as scenario assumptions bounded by the inputs in §2.
The equipment stack referenced in this scenario, with manufacturer pages used for capacity and topology confirmation:
All three references are to OEM product or family pages that confirm the model designations cited above. Specific OEM manual titles and revisions (BMS torque, SoC window, DC voltage limits) are issued by the OEM under NDA and are confirmed at RFQ; at publication the numeric operating envelope is bounded by the scenario assumptions listed in §2.
The scenario model used the inputs in the table below. Sourced rows cite the specific document; bounded defaults are explicit model assumptions (not sourced facts).
| Parameter | Value | Unit | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nameplate energy | 750 | kWh | Scenario spec (2 × CATL EnerC 372 kWh) |
| Nameplate power | 375 | kW (0.5C) | Scenario spec |
| Initial CapEx (year 0) | 240,000.00 | USD | Scenario spec (320 USD/kWh × 750 kWh) |
| Annual O&M (year 1) | 4,800.00 | USD/yr | Scenario spec (2.0% of CapEx, escalated 2% p.a.) |
| Replacement event (year 12) | 144,000.00 | USD nominal | Scenario spec (60% of initial CapEx) |
| Horizon | 20 | years | Scenario spec |
| Discount rate (real) | 7.00 | % | Scenario spec |
| Annual energy (year 1) | 222,750.00 | kWh/yr | Scenario spec (330 cycles × 675 kWh/cycle) |
| Degradation (energy) | −2.0 | %/yr | Model assumption (bounded default) — applied to annual energy |
| ESS usable fraction (asset.ess.usable_pct) | 90 | % | Model assumption (bounded default) — nameplate-to-usable conversion |
| Round-trip efficiency (asset.ess.round_trip_eff) | 92 | % | Model assumption (bounded default) — charge/discharge round-trip |
| Value per kWh discharged (year 1) | 0.133 | USD/kWh discharged | Model assumption (bounded default) — grid-service overlay; declined 2% p.a. |
| Charge cost per kWh (year 1) | 0.0216 | USD/kWh charged | Model assumption (bounded default) — embedded in O&M schedule |
| Residual value (amount) | 0 | USD | Model assumption (bounded default) — zero at horizon end |
| Residual value (year) | 20 | year | Model assumption (bounded default) |
| Operating profile reference | Frequency response + arbitrage | — | Scenario spec; UK reference: Ofgem retail market indicators |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon (years) | 20 |
| Discount rate | 7.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (USD) | 500,627.38 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD) | 363,074.01 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (USD) | 401,500.49 |
| Total discounted benefit (USD) | 222,115.62 |
| NPV (USD) | -140,958.38 |
| IRR | -0.0615 |
| Simple payback (year) | — |
| Discounted payback (year) | — |
| LCOS (USD/kWh) | 0.1773 |
| Year | Cost (USD) | Benefit (USD) | Net (USD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (USD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 240,000.00 | 0.0000 | -240,000.00 | 1.00 | -240,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 4,800.00 | 24,158.25 | 19,358.25 | 0.9346 | 18,091.82 | 222,750.00 |
| 2 | 4,896.00 | 23,675.08 | 18,779.08 | 0.8734 | 16,402.38 | 218,295.00 |
| 3 | 4,993.92 | 23,201.58 | 18,207.66 | 0.8163 | 14,862.88 | 213,929.10 |
| 4 | 5,093.80 | 22,737.55 | 17,643.75 | 0.7629 | 13,460.33 | 209,650.52 |
| 5 | 5,195.67 | 22,282.80 | 17,087.13 | 0.7130 | 12,182.88 | 205,457.51 |
| 6 | 5,299.59 | 21,837.14 | 16,537.56 | 0.6663 | 11,019.67 | 201,348.36 |
| 7 | 5,405.58 | 21,400.40 | 15,994.82 | 0.6227 | 9,960.77 | 197,321.39 |
| 8 | 5,513.69 | 20,972.39 | 15,458.70 | 0.5820 | 8,997.11 | 193,374.96 |
| 9 | 5,623.97 | 20,552.95 | 14,928.98 | 0.5439 | 8,120.38 | 189,507.46 |
| 10 | 5,736.44 | 20,141.89 | 14,405.44 | 0.5083 | 7,323.00 | 185,717.31 |
| 11 | 5,851.17 | 19,739.05 | 13,887.88 | 0.4751 | 6,598.03 | 182,002.97 |
| 12 | 149,968.20 | 19,344.27 | -130,623.93 | 0.4440 | -57,998.59 | 178,362.91 |
| 13 | 6,087.56 | 18,957.38 | 12,869.82 | 0.4150 | 5,340.52 | 174,795.65 |
| 14 | 6,209.31 | 18,578.24 | 12,368.92 | 0.3878 | 4,796.88 | 171,299.74 |
| 15 | 6,333.50 | 18,206.67 | 11,873.17 | 0.3624 | 4,303.38 | 167,873.74 |
| 16 | 6,460.17 | 17,842.54 | 11,382.37 | 0.3387 | 3,855.60 | 164,516.27 |
| 17 | 6,589.37 | 17,485.69 | 10,896.31 | 0.3166 | 3,449.49 | 161,225.94 |
| 18 | 6,721.16 | 17,135.97 | 10,414.81 | 0.2959 | 3,081.37 | 158,001.42 |
| 19 | 6,855.58 | 16,793.25 | 9,937.67 | 0.2765 | 2,747.85 | 154,841.39 |
| 20 | 6,992.69 | 16,457.39 | 9,464.69 | 0.2584 | 2,445.86 | 151,744.57 |
Cost and benefit discounting are reported on the same real, end-of-year basis at r = 7%. The PV of costs (363,074.01 USD) is the sum of the discounted Cost column over years 1–20 plus the year-0 capex of 240,000 USD (discount factor 1.00); PV of benefits (222,115.62 USD) is the sum of the discounted Benefit column over years 1–20. NPV is PV(benefits) − PV(costs) = 222,115.62 − 363,074.01 = −140,958.38 USD.
The year-12 line carries the replacement capex (144,000 USD nominal) plus that year's O&M (5,968.20 USD), totalling 149,968.20 USD — a single-year net outflow (−130,623.93 USD nominal, −57,998.59 USD discounted) that drives the cumulative discounted balance to its deepest point.
Because the cumulative discounted net cash flow never crosses zero, neither simple nor discounted payback occurs within the 20-year horizon. IRR is therefore negative (−6.15%), below any positive hurdle rate.
LCOS = PV(costs) / PV(throughput). With PV(throughput) = Σ kWh_t × 1/(1.07)^t over years 1–20, LCOS = 363,074.01 / PV(throughput) = 0.1773 USD/kWh.
Illustrative point estimates only; not in the COMPUTED TABLES block. Use the RFQ form to obtain a binding re-run through the scenario model.
| Item | Status | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| HS sub-heading (EU import) | PENDING — lookup via EU TARIC consultation; cross-check against WCO HS Nomenclature 2022 edition: WCO HS 2022 | EU TARIC + WCO HS 2022 |
| HS sub-heading (US import) | PENDING — lookup via USITC HTS search | USITC HTS |
| HS sub-heading (UK import) | PENDING — lookup via UK Global Tariff | UK Global Tariff |
| EU Battery Regulation | Applies to LFP BESS placed on the EU market — carbon footprint, recycled-content and due-diligence obligations under Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 (EUR-Lex 2023/1542); passport labelling and BMS requirements in force from staged dates | EUR-Lex 2023/1542 |
| Incoterms (shipment to site) | Use ICC Incoterms 2020 DAP or DDP for BESS cabinets — ICC Incoterms 2020 | ICC Incoterms 2020 |
| Dangerous goods (lithium batteries, sea freight) | UN 38.3 test summary required; ship under IMDG Class 9, see IATA DGR for the modal programme and UN Manual of Tests and Criteria (ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7) for the test provisions | UN ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7 |
| Wood packaging (ISPM 15) | Heat-treated / marked pallets required — IPPC ISPMs | IPPC ISPM 15 |
| Cargo insurance | Institute Cargo Clauses (A) recommended — IUA clauses library | ICC (A) 2009 |
UN 38.3 (UN ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7) IEC 62619:2022 ed2 — Safety requirements for secondary lithium cells and batteries for use in industrial applications incl. stationary/ESS (IEC 62619:2022) IEC 62485-5:2020 — Safety requirements for stationary lithium-ion batteries (IEC 62485-5:2020) IEC 62109-1:2010 — PCE safety general requirements (IEC 62109-1:2010) UL 1973 (UL 1973) UL 9540A NFPA 855 ISO 9223 C4 IEC 61851-1:2017 (IEC 61851-1:2017) if EV bi-directional charging is added
HS 2025: PENDING — exact sub-heading to be confirmed at RFQ via EU TARIC consultation (link), USITC HTS (link) and UK Global Tariff (link), cross-referenced against WCO HS Nomenclature 2022 edition (link). Section heading likely candidates: 8507 (electric accumulators) with lithium-ion preference. Dual-use (EU): not listed. Export-control (US): ECCN 3A991 (mass-market batteries).
Evidence date: 2026-09-22. Tradvolt editorial. computed figures are limited to the COMPUTED TABLES in §3 and §4; all other quantitative commentary is illustrative.