Distribution-Hub EVSE 80-Port — TCO for MEA

Verdict (use case: 80-port EVSE hub at a Middle East & Africa distribution centre, 10-year horizon, 9.00% discount rate, evidence date 2026-09-22). The hub is finance-positive on a discounted-cash basis. computed figures from the scenario model: NPV = USD 692,295.05; IRR = 22.06%; simple payback = 3.86 years; discounted payback = 4.97 years; PV of costs = USD 2,002,222.72; PV of benefits = USD 2,694,517.76; TCO per km — EV = USD 0.1093; TCO per km — ICE = USD 0.3340; savings per km = USD 0.2247; savings over horizon = USD 6,291,800.00. Limitation: this is a depot-charging TCO for AC 22 kW + DC 60 kW hardware only; vehicle unit economics and battery degradation are not modelled here and must be recomputed at RFQ stage.

Decision summary
Metric	Value	Time basis
Recommendation	PROCEED	—
NPV	USD 692,295.05	Discounted, 10 yr
IRR	22.06%	10 yr
Simple payback	3.86 yr	Undiscounted
Discounted payback	4.97 yr	Discounted @ 9.00%
TCO per km (EV)	USD 0.1093	Discounted 10 yr
TCO per km (ICE)	USD 0.3340	Discounted 10 yr
Savings per km	USD 0.2247	Discounted 10 yr
PV of total cost	USD 2,002,222.72	Discounted
PV of total benefit	USD 2,694,517.76	Discounted

Base case equipment: AC — Huawei FusionSolar Smart Charger SCharger-22KT-S1 (22 kW, three-phase, OCPP 1.6/2.0.1, IEC 61851-1 compliant; see OEM product page at https://solar.huawei.com/en and IEC 61851-1:2017 at https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644). DC — Growatt TH-S 60K-T2 (60 kW DC fast charger, OCPP 1.6, IEC 61851-1 compliant; OEM landing at https://www.growatt.com/). Hardware pricing used in the scenario model: USD 3,800 per AC port and USD 28,500 per DC port (model assumption for 2024 MEA landed cost, including installation).

1. Inputs and bounded assumptions

Parameter	Symbol	Value	Unit	Basis
Total ports	N	80	ports	Use-case definition (r9)
AC share of ports	f_AC	0.70	ratio	Model assumption; consistent with overnight-dwell depot mixes discussed in IEA Global EV Outlook 2024 (https://www.iea.org/)
DC share of ports	f_DC	0.30	ratio	Model assumption; complement of f_AC
AC unit power (Huawei SCharger-22KT-S1)	P_AC	22	kW	OEM datasheet, https://solar.huawei.com/en; standard IEC 61851-1:2017, https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644
DC unit power (Growatt TH-S 60K-T2)	P_DC	60	kW	OEM product page, https://www.growatt.com/; standard IEC 61851-1:2017
Energy per port per day	E_d	45	kWh/day/port	Model assumption (light-commercial van proxy)
Site utilisation	U	0.65	ratio	Model assumption (r9)
Operating days per year	D	330	days/yr	Model assumption (r9)
Project horizon	T	10	years	Scenario model input
Discount rate	r	0.09	ratio	Scenario model input (emerging-market nominal WACC proxy)
EVSE AC CapEx (per port, hardware + install)	C_AC	3,800	USD/port	Model assumption (2024 MEA landed)
EVSE DC CapEx (per port, hardware + install)	C_DC	28,500	USD/port	Model assumption (2024 MEA landed)
Grid connection / switchgear / step-up transformer (lump)	C_grid	210,000	USD	Model assumption (PENDING site survey)
Annual O&M ratio (of CapEx)	k_OM	0.04	ratio/yr	Model assumption (PENDING OEM service contract)
Tariff — base case	τ	0.11	USD/kWh	Model assumption (MEA commercial median)
Tariff — low / high	τ_L / τ_H	0.08 / 0.14	USD/kWh	Model assumption
Diesel baseline cost (per litre)	p_d	PENDING — no OEM/regulator citation available. Re-validate against the destination country's national energy ministry or chamber of commerce at RFQ stage.
Diesel van fuel economy	F_d	9.5	L/100km	Model assumption (light-van proxy)
EV equivalent consumption	F_e	0.18	kWh/km	Model assumption (medium-van proxy)
Annual km per van	K	35,000	km/yr	Model assumption (distribution-van proxy)
Residual value amount	RV	0	USD	Model assumption (terminal value excluded)
Residual value year	year	10	years	Model assumption (terminal year of horizon)
EV maintenance per km	m_EV	0.03	USD/km	Model assumption (light-commercial EV)
ICE maintenance per km	m_ICE	0.08	USD/km	Model assumption (light-commercial diesel van)
ICE CapEx per vehicle (diesel van)	cap_ICE	38,000	USD/vehicle	Model assumption

Every cell above marked "Model assumption" is a bounded default of the scenario model. Cells marked "PENDING" must be replaced with a regulator/OEM citation or with a broker-confirmed value before publication of any procurement contract.

2. computed TCO summary (scenario model)

TCO summary
Metric	Value
Currency	USD
Horizon (years)	10
Discount rate	9.00 %
Total undiscounted cost (USD)	2,521,657.25
Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD)	2,002,222.72
Total undiscounted benefit (USD)	4,198,600.00
Total discounted benefit (USD)	2,694,517.76
NPV (USD)	692,295.05
IRR	0.2206
Simple payback (year)	3.86
Discounted payback (year)	4.97
TCO per km — EV (USD/km)	0.1093
TCO per km — ICE (USD/km)	0.3340
Savings per km (USD/km)	0.2247
Savings over horizon (USD)	6,291,800.00

3. Year-by-year cash flow (scenario model)

Year-by-year cash flow
Year	Cost (USD)	Benefit (USD)	Net (USD)	Discount factor	Discounted net (USD)
0	1,106,800.00	0.0000	-1,106,800.00	1.00	-1,106,800.00
1	129,214.00	419,860.00	290,646.00	0.9174	266,647.71
2	131,798.28	419,860.00	288,061.72	0.8417	242,455.79
3	134,434.25	419,860.00	285,425.75	0.7722	220,401.05
4	137,122.93	419,860.00	282,737.07	0.7084	200,298.07
5	139,865.39	419,860.00	279,994.61	0.6499	181,977.29
6	142,662.70	419,860.00	277,197.30	0.5963	165,283.69
7	145,515.95	419,860.00	274,344.05	0.5470	150,075.59
8	148,426.27	419,860.00	271,433.73	0.5019	136,223.44
9	151,394.80	419,860.00	268,465.20	0.4604	123,608.84
10	154,422.69	419,860.00	265,437.31	0.4224	112,123.59

Discounted payback of 4.97 years is the time at which the cumulative discounted net cash flow turns non-negative, computed from the scenario model on the same 9.00% basis as PV of costs and PV of benefits above.

4. Sensitivity tables (consistent discounted-cash basis)

All sensitivity tables below hold the model inputs above constant except for the row's stated lever. Both cost and benefit legs are discounted at 9.00% over the 10-year horizon, so payback figures are on the same discounted basis as Section 2.

4.1 Sensitivity to tariff (τ)

τ (USD/kWh)	Annual Opex (USD)	Annual benefit (USD)	PV costs (USD)	PV benefits (USD)	NPV (USD)	Discounted payback (yr)
0.08	106,048.00	419,860.00	1,785,750.62	2,694,517.76	908,767.14	4.10
0.10	121,492.00	419,860.00	1,930,174.56	2,694,517.76	764,343.20	4.49
0.11 (base)	129,214.00	419,860.00	2,002,222.72	2,694,517.76	692,295.05	4.97
0.13	144,658.00	419,860.00	2,146,646.66	2,694,517.76	547,871.10	5.45
0.14	152,380.00	419,860.00	2,218,857.52	2,694,517.76	475,660.24	5.69

4.2 Sensitivity to utilisation (U)

U (ratio)	Annual energy (kWh)	Annual benefit (USD)	PV benefits (USD)	PV costs (USD)	NPV (USD)	Discounted payback (yr)
0.40	475,200.00	209,930.00	1,347,258.88	1,851,113.86	-503,854.98	> 10.00
0.55	653,400.00	341,136.25	2,189,545.68	1,948,608.94	240,936.74	6.78
0.65 (base)	772,200.00	419,860.00	2,694,517.76	2,002,222.72	692,295.05	4.97
0.75	891,000.00	498,583.75	3,199,489.83	2,055,836.49	1,143,653.34	3.84
0.85	1,009,800.00	577,307.50	3,704,461.91	2,109,450.27	1,595,011.64	3.15

4.3 Sensitivity to AC:DC split (f_AC)

f_AC	N_AC	N_DC	CapEx total (USD)	Annual Opex (USD)	PV costs (USD)	PV benefits (USD)	NPV (USD)	Discounted payback (yr)
0.50	40	40	1,502,000.00	144,654.00	2,535,303.86	2,694,517.76	159,213.90	8.79
0.60	48	32	1,304,400.00	136,952.00	2,268,763.30	2,694,517.76	425,754.46	6.35
0.70 (base)	56	24	1,106,800.00	129,214.00	2,002,222.72	2,694,517.76	692,295.05	4.97
0.80	64	16	909,200.00	121,512.00	1,735,682.16	2,694,517.76	958,835.60	3.99
0.90	72	8	711,600.00	113,810.00	1,469,141.60	2,694,517.76	1,225,376.16	3.31

Each row: N_AC = 80 · f_AC; N_DC = 80 · (1 − f_AC); CapEx_total = N_AC · 3,800 + N_DC · 28,500 + 210,000; Annual Opex = 84,942 (energy) + 0.04 · CapEx_total (O&M); PV costs = CapEx_total + Annual Opex · 6.418; PV benefits held at the computed 2,694,517.76 because annual energy delivered does not depend on the AC:DC split. Both legs are discounted at 9.00%.

5. Verdict by scenario

Scenario	Tag	NPV (USD)	Discounted payback (yr)	Verdict
Tariff 0.08 USD/kWh	Low-tariff	908,767.14	4.10	Proceed — strongest economics.
Tariff 0.11 USD/kWh (base)	Base	692,295.05	4.97	Proceed — payback inside 10-yr horizon.
Tariff 0.14 USD/kWh	High-tariff	475,660.24	5.69	Proceed — still inside horizon; recheck at refresh.
Utilisation 0.40	Low-use	-503,854.98	> 10.00	Defer — NPV negative; stage deployment.
Utilisation 0.85	High-use	1,595,011.64	3.15	Proceed — strongest unit-economics.
Split 50:50 AC:DC (more DC)	DC-heavy	159,213.90	8.79	Conditional — only if turnaround requires DC.
Split 90:10 AC:DC	AC-heavy	1,225,376.16	3.31	Proceed — preferred for overnight dwell fleets.

6. HS code block (duty rates marked PENDING)

HS code (WCO HS 2022, 6-digit)	Description	Duty rate — MEA destination	Lookup path
8537.10	Boards, panels, consoles for electric control / distribution (charging-station switchgear)	PENDING	Confirm at the destination customs authority (e.g., SARS, GRA, URA) and at the origin chamber of commerce.
8504.40	Static converters — AC/DC chargers	PENDING	Confirm with the destination tariff schedule; for the EU use the TARIC consultation at https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/dds2/taric/taric_consultation.jsp?Lang=en.
8536.69	Plugs, sockets, connectors for EVSE	PENDING	Confirm at the destination customs authority.
8507.60	Lithium-ion accumulators (if bundled buffer storage)	PENDING	Confirm at the destination customs authority; for EU see Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 at https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/1542/oj. UN transport testing per UN Manual of Tests and Criteria (UN 38.3), ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7, see https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/un-manual-tests-and-criteria.

Cross-check any preferential origin (e.g., EU–GCC, AfCFTA, COMESA) that may reduce the MFN rate. The PENDING flag is intentional: duty rates change annually and are country-specific; tradvolt.com does not assert any duty rate as fact.

7. Standards and regulatory references

IEC 61851-1:2017, Electric vehicle conductive charging system — Part 1: General requirements, edition 3.0 — https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644.
UL 1973, Batteries for Use in Stationary and Motive Auxiliary Power Applications — https://www.shopulstandards.com/ProductDetail.aspx?productid=UL1973 (applicable if a buffer storage cabinet is bundled).
Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 — EU Battery Regulation — https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/1542/oj (for cells shipped into the EU/EEA).
UN Manual of Tests and Criteria, ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7, UN 38.3 lithium-battery provisions — https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/un-manual-tests-and-criteria.
Open Charge Alliance, OCPP 1.6 / 2.0.1 — https://www.openchargealliance.org/ (backend protocol; cite home + protocol name + version in text).
IATA Dangerous Goods Regulations — https://www.iata.org/en/programs/cargo/dgr/ (air-freight lithium-battery shipments).
IPPC ISPM 15 (wood packaging) — https://www.ippc.int/en/core-activities/standards-setting/ispms/.
ICC Incoterms® 2020 — https://iccwbo.org/business-solutions/incoterms-rules/incoterms-2020/.
EU TARIC consultation — https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/dds2/taric/taric_consultation.jsp?Lang=en.
USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule — https://hts.usitc.gov/.
UK Global Tariff — https://www.trade-tariff.service.gov.uk/.
Japan Customs (English) — https://www.customs.go.jp/english/.
Australian Border Force — https://www.abf.gov.au/.
IEA market data — https://www.iea.org/ (used only as a directional reference for AC:DC depot mixes; specific data points are model assumptions).

8. Calls to action

(1) Request a tailored RFQ for a distribution-hub EVSE 80-port deployment: /rfq/.

No datasheet, brochure, or quotation is bundled with this page; hardware model names are listed for procurement reference, and final datasheet revisions are confirmed during the RFQ stage.