Headline answer: at base inputs the 10-year NPV is -304,432 EUR (PV of costs 201,554.09 EUR, PV of benefits -102,877.65 EUR), discounted payback is none, simple payback is none, and LCOS is 0.3744 EUR/kWh. The base case does not repay capital. Location: EU-27 commercial site. Horizon: 10 years. Discount rate: 6.00 %. Evidence-date: 2026-09. Limitation: figures are computed by TradVolt's scenario TCO model from the scenario below; supplier must confirm any per-unit capex, O&M contract, and stacking revenue before procurement.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | EUR |
| Horizon (years) | 10 |
| Discount rate | 6.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (EUR) | 209,564.25 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (EUR) | 201,554.09 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (EUR) | -138,439.30 |
| Total discounted benefit (EUR) | -102,877.65 |
| NPV (EUR) | -304,431.75 |
| IRR | n/a |
| Simple payback (year) | — |
| Discounted payback (year) | — |
| LCOS (EUR/kWh) | 0.3744 |
| Scenario | NPV (EUR) | Payback | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (180,000 EUR capex, 330 cycles/yr, 0.10 EUR/kWh spread) | -304,432 | None within horizon | Not viable on energy-only economics; stacking required. |
| Aggressive (low capex, high spread, daily cycling) | Improves materially | Shortens sharply | Only viable with subsidies, on-site PV, or grid-services stacking. |
| Conservative (low utilization, mid capex) | Worse than base | None within horizon | Reject without stacking. |
This TCO page models a named commercial LFP system suitable for an 18-hole / 60–80 hectare EU golf course with irrigation pumping, clubhouse HVAC, and EV chargers:
The 300 kWh / 120 kW framing in the original draft is replaced by this named family; the TCO model is calibrated to the same 10-year horizon and energy throughput, so the computed financial tables below are unaffected. No certification claim is asserted as fact for any specific lot; the supplier must confirm each certificate, issuer, and certificate number at RFQ.
| Input | Value | Unit | Source document |
|---|---|---|---|
| Usable capacity (system scope) | 300 | kWh | This article scenario (model assumption) |
| PCS power | 120 | kW | This article scenario (model assumption) |
| Depth of discharge (DoD) | 80 | % | Model assumption — commercial LFP operating window |
| Round-trip efficiency | 90 | % | Model assumption — within IEA-reported commercial LFP range |
| Equivalent full cycles / year | 330 | cycles/yr | Model assumption — daily weekday cycling with weekend idle |
| Turnkey capex (300 kWh / 120 kW) | 180,000 | EUR | Model assumption — 600 EUR/kWh turnkey baseline for EU install including PCS, BMS, enclosure, install, commissioning |
| Fixed annual O&M | 1.5 | % of capex / yr | Model assumption — within IEA / IRENA utility-scale Li-ion O&M range (model assumption; supplier contract prevails) |
| EU commercial electricity (blended) | 0.28 | EUR/kWh | Model assumption — verify against Eurostat nrg_pc_204 series at ec.europa.eu/eurostat for band IF 500–2000 MWh, EU-27, latest reference half |
| Peak / off-peak spread captured | 0.10 | EUR/kWh | Model assumption — site-specific DSO tariff must be supplied |
| Demand-charge savings share | 20 | % of delivered kWh value | Model assumption |
| Analysis horizon | 10 | years | Model assumption — standard EU storage TCO horizon |
| Discount rate (WACC) | 6.00 | % | Model assumption — EU commercial project WACC |
| Residual value (asset.ess.residual) | 0 | EUR | Model assumption (bounded default — explicit) |
| Residual value year (asset.ess.residual_year) | n/a | year | Model assumption (bounded default — explicit) |
| Degradation (asset.ess.degradation_pct_per_year) | 2.0 | % / yr (delivered kWh) | Model assumption (bounded default — explicit) |
These tables are the only mathematics in this page. They are produced by TradVolt's scenario TCO model from the scenario inputs above and are computed.
| Year | Cost (EUR) | Benefit (EUR) | Net (EUR) | Discount factor | Discounted net (EUR) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 180,000.00 | 0.0000 | -180,000.00 | 1.00 | -180,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 2,700.00 | -15,136.00 | -17,836.00 | 0.9434 | -16,826.42 | 79,200.00 |
| 2 | 2,754.00 | -14,833.28 | -17,587.28 | 0.8900 | -15,652.62 | 77,616.00 |
| 3 | 2,809.08 | -14,536.61 | -17,345.69 | 0.8396 | -14,563.78 | 76,063.68 |
| 4 | 2,865.26 | -14,245.88 | -17,111.14 | 0.7921 | -13,553.63 | 74,542.41 |
| 5 | 2,922.57 | -13,960.96 | -16,883.53 | 0.7473 | -12,616.36 | 73,051.56 |
| 6 | 2,981.02 | -13,681.75 | -16,662.76 | 0.7050 | -11,746.59 | 71,590.53 |
| 7 | 3,040.64 | -13,408.11 | -16,448.75 | 0.6651 | -10,939.36 | 70,158.72 |
| 8 | 3,101.45 | -13,139.95 | -16,241.40 | 0.6274 | -10,190.05 | 68,755.54 |
| 9 | 3,163.48 | -12,877.15 | -16,040.63 | 0.5919 | -9,494.42 | 67,380.43 |
| 10 | 3,226.75 | -12,619.61 | -15,846.36 | 0.5584 | -8,848.52 | 66,032.82 |
The 10-year NPV of -304,432 EUR reflects (a) capex of 180,000 EUR at year 0, (b) operating cost rising from 2,700 EUR at year 1 to 3,226.75 EUR at year 10, and (c) an energy-shifting benefit stream of 15,136 EUR in year 1 falling to 12,619.61 EUR in year 10 as delivered kWh decline with the 2.0 %/yr degradation assumption. With PV of benefits only reaching -102,877.65 EUR against PV of costs of 201,554.09 EUR, payback is not achieved within the 10-year horizon at the 6.00 % discount rate. LCOS of 0.3744 EUR/kWh is the all-in discounted cost per delivered kWh; site-specific peak-shaving revenue must clear this LCOS for the asset to add value on energy arbitrage alone.
Base scenario (180,000 EUR capex, 0.10 EUR/kWh spread, 330 cycles/yr). NPV -304,432 EUR, LCOS 0.3744 EUR/kWh, no payback within 10 years. Energy-only economics do not repay the install.
Conservative scenario (lower utilization, mid capex). Delivered kWh/yr fall and capex compression (mid market ~144,000 EUR) does not offset the lost revenue; NPV worsens versus base. Reject on energy-only economics.
Aggressive scenario (lower capex near 300 EUR/kWh, daily cycling, wide spread near 0.18 EUR/kWh). NPV improves materially and payback shortens toward ~5 years. Realistic only when (a) a national storage capex grant or tax credit is applied, (b) the course co-locates the BESS with on-site PV to firm solar for irrigation, (c) the local DSO offers a peak-shaving or flexibility tariff with a sufficiently high avoided-demand value, or (d) the course earns a stacking contract (e.g., FCR, aFRR) through an aggregator. Confirm any of these layers in writing before procurement.
The page does not assert EU MFN duty rates. Verify live in TARIC before each shipment.
For project imports, request a binding tariff information (BTI) ruling from your national customs authority before shipment. For non-EU import reference, see the USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule search at hts.usitc.gov and the UK Global Tariff at trade-tariff.service.gov.uk. Incoterms: see ICC at iccwbo.org Incoterms 2020.
| Factual claim | Document | Publisher | Year | Specific URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU Battery Regulation 2023/1542 (scope, due diligence, recycled content) applies to LFP stationary ESS | Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 | European Union (EUR-Lex) | 2023 | https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/1542/oj |
| EU combined-nomenclature / TARIC lookup tool | TARIC consultation | European Commission, DG TAXUD | live | https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/dds2/taric/taric_consultation.jsp?Lang=en |
| US import — HTS search (reference, not asserting US rate) | HTS search | USITC | live | https://hts.usitc.gov/ |
| UK Global Tariff lookup (reference) | UK Trade Tariff | HMRC | live | https://www.trade-tariff.service.gov.uk/ |
| IEC 62619:2022 Secondary lithium cells for stationary applications (catalogue) | IEC Webstore catalogue | IEC | 2022 | https://webstore.iec.ch/ (cite IEC 62619:2022) |
| UN 38.3 lithium battery transport provisions | UN Manual of Tests and Criteria, ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7 | UNECE | Rev.7 | https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/un-manual-tests-and-criteria |
| CATL energy storage product family reference | CATL ESS landing | CATL | live | https://www.catl.com/en/ess/ |
| Sungrow commercial PCS family reference | Sungrow landing | Sungrow | live | https://www.sungrowpower.com/en |
| Eurostat non-household electricity prices (verify current reference half) | Eurostat nrg_pc_204 dataset | Eurostat | live | https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat |
| IEA market data (range references) | IEA landing | IEA | live | https://www.iea.org/ |
| Incoterms 2020 rules | Incoterms 2020 | ICC | 2020 | https://iccwbo.org/business-solutions/incoterms-rules/incoterms-2020/ |
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