Verdict. For a 5 MWp ground-mount PV plant at a US commercial harbor, using LONGi Hi-MO 5m bifacial modules, Sungrow SG125HT 125 kW string inverters, and K2 Systems N-Rack ground-mount rails, the computed 25-year model returns NPV = USD -518,635.76 at a 7.00% nominal discount rate, an LCOE of USD 0.0894/kWh, a simple payback of 13.41 years, and no discounted payback reached within the 25-year horizon (cumulative discounted net remains negative through year 25), with IRR = 6.04%. Equipment: LONGi Hi-MO 5m (LR5-72HBD / LR5-54HTH family) + Sungrow SG125HT + K2 Systems N-Rack. Location: US commercial harbor (coastal). Horizon: 25 years. Evidence date 2026-09-22. Limitation: capex, tariff, self-consumption, export tariff, and tariff-escalation inputs are bounded internal defaults for a US-port coastal location; Section 201 / Section 301 / AD-CVD measures on Chinese crystalline-Si cells and modules are jurisdiction-, exporter-, and time-specific and must be re-verified against the current USITC HTSUS and CBP rulings prior to import.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon | 25 years |
| Discount rate (nominal) | 7.00% |
| Total undiscounted cost | USD 9,474,198.75 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs | USD 7,482,810.43 |
| Total undiscounted benefit | USD 15,448,787.52 |
| Total discounted benefit | USD 6,964,174.67 |
| NPV | USD -518,635.76 |
| IRR | 6.04% |
| Simple payback | 13.41 years |
| Discounted payback | Not reached within 25-year horizon (cumulative discounted net still negative at year 25) |
| LCOE | USD 0.0894/kWh |
| Decision | Not financeable on the computed inputs at a 7.00% nominal WACC; requires lower capex, lower WACC, higher tariff, higher self-consumption, or ITC/PTC stacking to reach NPV ≥ 0. Equipment family and tariff/duty exposure must be re-verified at RFQ stage. |
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| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon (years) | 25 |
| Discount rate | 7.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (USD) | 9,474,198.75 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD) | 7,482,810.43 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (USD) | 15,448,787.52 |
| Total discounted benefit (USD) | 6,964,174.67 |
| NPV (USD) | -518,635.76 |
| IRR | 0.0604 |
| Simple payback (year) | 13.41 |
| Discounted payback (year) | — |
| LCOE (USD/kWh) | 0.0894 |
| Year | Cost (USD) | Benefit (USD) | Net (USD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (USD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6,000,000.00 | 0.0000 | -6,000,000.00 | 1.00 | -6,000,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 90,000.00 | 547,500.00 | 457,500.00 | 0.9346 | 427,570.09 | 7,500,000.00 |
| 2 | 92,250.00 | 552,933.94 | 460,683.94 | 0.8734 | 402,379.19 | 7,462,500.00 |
| 3 | 94,556.25 | 558,421.81 | 463,865.56 | 0.8163 | 378,652.47 | 7,425,187.50 |
| 4 | 96,920.16 | 563,964.14 | 467,043.99 | 0.7629 | 356,305.62 | 7,388,061.56 |
| 5 | 99,343.16 | 569,561.49 | 470,218.33 | 0.7130 | 335,259.17 | 7,351,121.25 |
| 6 | 101,826.74 | 575,214.39 | 473,387.65 | 0.6663 | 315,438.18 | 7,314,365.65 |
| 7 | 104,372.41 | 580,923.39 | 476,550.98 | 0.6227 | 296,772.00 | 7,277,793.82 |
| 8 | 106,981.72 | 586,689.05 | 479,707.33 | 0.5820 | 279,194.04 | 7,241,404.85 |
| 9 | 109,656.26 | 592,511.94 | 482,855.68 | 0.5439 | 262,641.50 | 7,205,197.83 |
| 10 | 112,397.67 | 598,392.62 | 485,994.96 | 0.5083 | 247,055.19 | 7,169,171.84 |
| 11 | 115,207.61 | 604,331.67 | 489,124.06 | 0.4751 | 232,379.32 | 7,133,325.98 |
| 12 | 118,087.80 | 610,329.66 | 492,241.86 | 0.4440 | 218,561.27 | 7,097,659.35 |
| 13 | 521,039.99 | 616,387.18 | 95,347.19 | 0.4150 | 39,565.69 | 7,062,171.05 |
| 14 | 124,065.99 | 622,504.83 | 498,438.83 | 0.3878 | 193,303.17 | 7,026,860.20 |
| 15 | 127,167.64 | 628,683.19 | 501,515.54 | 0.3624 | 181,772.31 | 6,991,725.90 |
| 16 | 130,346.83 | 634,922.87 | 504,576.03 | 0.3387 | 170,917.36 | 6,956,767.27 |
| 17 | 133,605.51 | 641,224.48 | 507,618.97 | 0.3166 | 160,699.17 | 6,921,983.43 |
| 18 | 136,945.64 | 647,588.63 | 510,642.99 | 0.2959 | 151,080.83 | 6,887,373.51 |
| 19 | 140,369.28 | 654,015.95 | 513,646.66 | 0.2765 | 142,027.58 | 6,852,936.65 |
| 20 | 143,878.52 | 660,507.05 | 516,628.54 | 0.2584 | 133,506.63 | 6,818,671.96 |
| 21 | 147,475.48 | 667,062.59 | 519,587.11 | 0.2415 | 125,487.09 | 6,784,578.60 |
| 22 | 151,162.37 | 673,683.18 | 522,520.82 | 0.2257 | 117,939.83 | 6,750,655.71 |
| 23 | 154,941.43 | 680,369.49 | 525,428.06 | 0.2109 | 110,837.41 | 6,716,902.43 |
| 24 | 158,814.96 | 687,122.16 | 528,307.19 | 0.1971 | 104,153.98 | 6,683,317.92 |
| 25 | 162,785.34 | 693,941.84 | 531,156.51 | 0.1842 | 97,865.15 | 6,649,901.33 |
Cash flow uses bounded internal defaults for tariff, self-consumption, export tariff, and tariff escalation (see §4). NPV, IRR, simple payback, LCOE, and discounted payback are taken from the computed summary table above and are not recomputed in prose.
A US commercial harbor operates heavy yard equipment, refrigerated container plugs, lighting towers, and shore-power converters. The site has a large flat paved apron adjacent to berths that receives full sun and is unused during peak solar hours. A 5 MWp ground-mount PV plant offsets a portion of grid import during the daytime peak, reduces demand-charge exposure, and provides a hedge against tariff volatility. Land lease is structured with the port authority on a per-acre per-year basis.
The TCO is computed against the following real, publicly marketed equipment. Each OEM product page is the source of record; final kit composition, BOM quantities, datasheet revision, and mounting-manual revision are confirmed at RFQ stage.
| Subsystem | OEM | Family / model | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| PV module | LONGi Green Energy | Hi-MO 5m bifacial mono-PERC, LR5-72HBD / LR5-54HTH family | https://www.longi.com/en/products/modules/hi-mo-5m/ (family page; exact SKU and datasheet PDF confirmed at RFQ) |
| String inverter | Sungrow Power Supply | SG125HT three-phase string inverter (C&I, 1500 Vdc class) | https://www.sungrowpower.com/en/products/string-inverter (Sungrow string-inverter range; exact SG125HT datasheet PDF confirmed at RFQ) |
| Mounting system | K2 Systems | N-Rack ground-mount system (driven-pile ground mount + S-Rack rail) | https://k2-systems.com/en/product-solutions/k2-n-rack-system/ (N-Rack product page; kit manual revision confirmed at RFQ) |
| DC cabling | n/a (system BOS) | PV-rated 1500 Vdc, IEC 62930 / EN 50618 compliant | https://webstore.iec.ch/ (IEC catalogue; full designation IEC 62930:2019 / EN 50618:2014 cited in text) |
| Module safety cert. | UL Standards | UL 61730-1 / UL 61730-2 (PV module safety qualification, North America) | https://www.shopulstandards.com/ProductDetail.aspx?productId=UL61730-1 |
The TCO depends on family-level cost, yield, and degradation inputs; final kit composition, BOM quantities, and datasheet revisions are confirmed at RFQ stage per OEM websites (LONGi / Sungrow / K2 Systems pages cited above).
| Input | Value | Unit | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Installed capacity | 5.0 | MWp (DC) | Project scope; consistent with utility-scale ground-mount baseline size band >3 MWp. |
| Capex (all-in) | 1.20 | USD/Wdc | Fraunhofer ISE Photovoltaics Report, utility-scale median all-in installed price band >3 MWp ground-mount. See https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publications/studies/photovoltaics-report.html. |
| Specific yield (Year-1) | 1,500 | MWh/MWp/yr | EU PVGIS-SARAH2 typical-year dataset for a US Gulf / Southeast coastal location, fixed 25° tilt, 0.97 inverter efficiency; access the PVGIS calculator at https://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvg_tools/en/. |
| Performance ratio (Year-1) | 0.82 | ratio | IEA PVPS Trends in PV Applications 2024, design guidance for well-engineered utility-scale ground-mount. See https://iea-pvps.org/trends-reports/trends-in-pv-applications-2024/. |
| Module annual degradation | 0.50 | %/yr | Fraunhofer ISE Photovoltaics Report, crystalline-Si median across multiple field studies. See https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publications/studies/photovoltaics-report.html. |
| Year-1 fixed O&M | 18.00 | USD/kWdc/yr | UK DESNZ solar PV cost data, utility-scale median. See https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/solar-pv-cost-data. |
| O&M annual escalation | 2.5 | %/yr | Bank of England Monetary Policy Report Aug 2025, CPI/inflation outlook context (CPI reference, not a forecast). See https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-report/2025/august-2025. |
| Discount rate (WACC, nominal) | 7.0 | %/yr | Internal bounded default, typical US utility-scale PPA sponsor equity-return requirement. Marked below as a model assumption. |
| Analysis horizon | 25 | years | IEA PVPS Trends in PV Applications 2024, standard utility-scale analysis horizon. See https://iea-pvps.org/trends-reports/trends-in-pv-applications-2024/. |
| Inverter replacement (string) | 0.08 | USD/Wdc, Year 13 | UK DESNZ solar PV cost data, string inverter replacement cost share at year 12-13. See https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/solar-pv-cost-data. |
| Land lease | 500 | USD/acre/yr | Internal bounded default; typical US port-authority industrial ground-lease range. |
| Land footprint | 5.0 | acres/MWp | Fraunhofer ISE Photovoltaics Report, ground-mount fixed-tilt low-density class. See https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publications/studies/photovoltaics-report.html. |
Inputs the draft did not state explicitly are presented here as bounded internal defaults. They are model assumptions, not sourced claims, and are the inputs that drive the computed cash flow above.
Items in this block are not sourced facts and must be re-confirmed against the site-specific PPA / offtake agreement prior to procurement. The computed 25-year model on these bounded defaults returns NPV = USD -518,635.76 and no discounted payback within the 25-year horizon.
Indicative classification for trade inquiry (duty rates PENDING; lookup instructions below):
Lookup instructions (computed tools):
Final HS classification and applicable duties must be confirmed by a licensed customs broker against the actual consignment, exporter, country of origin, and entry date.
Standards applied (informational):
Cert list is descriptive of typical US utility-scale ground-mount practice. Final cert selection must follow project EPC, AHJ, and offtaker requirements. Tradvolt does not warrant any specific cert for a given site.
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