Answer (base case, 2 MWp EU rooftop PV, 25-year horizon, EUR, evidence 2026-09-22): NPV = 5,336,546.67 EUR, IRR = 24.59 %, LCOE = 0.0856 EUR/kWh, simple payback = 4.31 yr, discounted payback = 5.02 yr. Limitation: figures are scenario-generic; site-specific irradiance, retail tariff, self-consumption ratio and national HS duty must be re-validated before procurement.
| Metric | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| NPV (EUR) | 5,336,546.67 | Discounted benefits − discounted costs, WACC 5.50 %, 25 yr |
| IRR | 24.59 % | Over 25 yr, nominal |
| LCOE (EUR/kWh) | 0.0856 | PV of costs ÷ discounted lifetime kWh |
| Simple payback (yr) | 4.31 | Undiscounted |
| Discounted payback (yr) | 5.02 | Cumulative discounted net reaches CAPEX |
| Verdict | VIABLE | Positive NPV at WACC 5.5 %, LCOE ≈ 33 % of EU retail 0.26 EUR/kWh |
A mid-to-large EU hospital with continuous daytime baseload (HVAC, sterilization, lighting, IT, medical refrigeration) operates the rooftop PV plant primarily for self-consumption. Surplus generation is exported under feed-in or spot-market arrangements during low-load periods (weekends, summer shoulder months). The system is a reference design anchored to publicly marketed components; final BoS selection is confirmed at RFQ.
| Component | Reference family | OEM | Public source |
|---|---|---|---|
| PV modules | Jinko Solar Tiger Neo N-type TOPCon (e.g. JKM-N-54HL4R-V series) — module family, exact model locked at RFQ per roof layout | JinkoSolar | JinkoSolar product pages (model page JS-rendered; full datasheet revision confirmed at RFQ) |
| String inverters | Huawei SUN2000-(100–125)KTL-M2 commercial/MV family OR Sungrow SG125HV / SG110CX (family-level; site stringing locks exact SKU at RFQ) | Huawei FusionSolar / Sungrow | Huawei FusionSolar · Sungrow (model sub-pages JS-rendered; datasheet rev confirmed at RFQ) |
| Mounting (flat/low-slope) | K2 Systems S-Dome 6.10 ballast / SpeedRail family | K2 Systems | K2 Systems (downloads bot-walled; manual rev confirmed at RFQ) |
Family-level references are intentional: the TCO arithmetic is insensitive to the specific SKU within each family because the per-kWp CAPEX and per-kWh yield bands are held constant. Final datasheet revisions (incl. Voc limits, torque values, max system voltage) are produced at the RFQ stage.
| Input | Value | Unit | Source URL |
|---|---|---|---|
| System size | 2,000 | kWp DC | Use-case definition (this page) |
| Specific yield (Year 1) | 1,100 | kWh/kWp/yr | JRC EU PVGIS interactive dataset — typical rooftop yield for Central/Western EU |
| Module degradation (d) | 0.5 % | per year | IEA PVPS Task 13 — Performance, Reliability and Durability of PV: 2024 review of manufacturer warranties and field data (see IEA programmes index; report identifier confirmed at RFQ) |
| CAPEX (turnkey) | 950 | EUR/kWp | SolarPower Europe — Global Market Outlook for Solar Power 2024–2028 (median utility/industrial rooftop band 850–1,050 EUR/kWp, 2024 H1 data) |
| OPEX (fixed O&M) | 12 | EUR/kWp/yr | SolarPower Europe 2024 O&M benchmark (same report above) |
| Insurance | 3 | EUR/kWp/yr | Industry estimate based on European PV insurance survey 2023 (no single computed URL; cited as bounded model assumption) |
| Self-consumption ratio (SCR) | 70 % | fraction of generation | Hospital load-profile estimate (24/7 baseload share high); see Fraunhofer ISE publications on commercial load profiles: Fraunhofer ISE Energy Charts (German commercial load/generation profiles) |
| Retail electricity price | 0.26 | EUR/kWh | Eurostat — Electricity prices for industrial consumers, consumption band 2,000–20,000 MWh (EU-27 weighted average, H2 2024) |
| Export / feed-in tariff | 0.08 | EUR/kWh | Range varies widely by EU member state; 0.08 EUR/kWh represents a conservative mid-range for unsubsidized rooftop exports per the European Commission, "Clean Energy For All Europeans" package (2019) as implemented nationally (no single computed URL for cross-EU export band; cited as bounded model assumption) |
| Tariff escalation (nominal) | 3.0 % | per year | European Central Bank — Inflation Expectations survey (medium-term anchor ~2 %) plus real tariff growth premium (no single computed URL; cited as bounded model assumption) |
| OPEX inflation (nominal) | 2.5 % | per year | Bounded model assumption, consistent with ECB inflation expectations |
| WACC (discount rate) | 5.50 % | per year | Weighted average of debt (4 % pre-tax) and equity (8 % required), 70/30 structure, hospital quasi-public financing |
| Residual / decommissioning | 0 | EUR | Conservative assumption; no end-of-life credit assumed |
CAPEX band 850–1,050 EUR/kWp reflects 2024 turnkey industrial/utility rooftop systems reported by SolarPower Europe. Inflation assumptions are nominal; WACC is applied to nominal cash flows consistently.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | EUR |
| Horizon (years) | 25 |
| Discount rate | 5.50 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (EUR) | 2,924,732.92 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (EUR) | 2,413,833.37 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (EUR) | 15,450,258.66 |
| Total discounted benefit (EUR) | 7,750,380.04 |
| NPV (EUR) | 5,336,546.67 |
| IRR | 0.2459 |
| Simple payback (year) | 4.31 |
| Discounted payback (year) | 5.02 |
| LCOE (EUR/kWh) | 0.0856 |
| Year | Cost (EUR) | Benefit (EUR) | Net (EUR) | Discount factor | Discounted net (EUR) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1,900,000.00 | 0.0000 | -1,900,000.00 | 1.00 | -1,900,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 30,000.00 | 453,200.00 | 423,200.00 | 0.9479 | 401,137.44 | 2,200,000.00 |
| 2 | 30,750.00 | 464,462.02 | 433,712.02 | 0.8985 | 389,669.61 | 2,189,000.00 |
| 3 | 31,518.75 | 476,003.90 | 444,485.15 | 0.8516 | 378,529.63 | 2,178,055.00 |
| 4 | 32,306.72 | 487,832.60 | 455,525.88 | 0.8072 | 367,708.12 | 2,167,164.73 |
| 5 | 33,114.39 | 499,955.24 | 466,840.85 | 0.7651 | 357,195.97 | 2,156,328.90 |
| 6 | 33,942.25 | 512,379.13 | 478,436.88 | 0.7252 | 346,984.35 | 2,145,547.26 |
| 7 | 34,790.80 | 525,111.75 | 490,320.94 | 0.6874 | 337,064.67 | 2,134,819.52 |
| 8 | 35,660.57 | 538,160.77 | 502,500.20 | 0.6516 | 327,428.56 | 2,124,145.42 |
| 9 | 36,552.09 | 551,534.07 | 514,981.98 | 0.6176 | 318,067.94 | 2,113,524.70 |
| 10 | 37,465.89 | 565,239.69 | 527,773.80 | 0.5854 | 308,974.92 | 2,102,957.07 |
| 11 | 38,402.54 | 579,285.90 | 540,883.36 | 0.5549 | 300,141.86 | 2,092,442.29 |
| 12 | 39,362.60 | 593,681.15 | 554,318.55 | 0.5260 | 291,561.31 | 2,081,980.08 |
| 13 | 40,346.66 | 608,434.13 | 568,087.46 | 0.4986 | 283,226.07 | 2,071,570.18 |
| 14 | 41,355.33 | 623,553.72 | 582,198.39 | 0.4726 | 275,129.12 | 2,061,212.32 |
| 15 | 42,389.21 | 639,049.03 | 596,659.81 | 0.4479 | 267,263.65 | 2,050,906.26 |
| 16 | 43,448.94 | 654,929.39 | 611,480.45 | 0.4246 | 259,623.03 | 2,040,651.73 |
| 17 | 44,535.17 | 671,204.39 | 626,669.22 | 0.4024 | 252,200.85 | 2,030,448.47 |
| 18 | 45,648.55 | 687,883.82 | 642,235.27 | 0.3815 | 244,990.86 | 2,020,296.23 |
| 19 | 46,789.76 | 704,977.73 | 658,187.97 | 0.3616 | 237,986.99 | 2,010,194.75 |
| 20 | 47,959.51 | 722,496.43 | 674,536.92 | 0.3427 | 231,183.34 | 2,000,143.78 |
| 21 | 49,158.49 | 740,450.47 | 691,291.97 | 0.3249 | 224,574.20 | 1,990,143.06 |
| 22 | 50,387.46 | 758,850.66 | 708,463.20 | 0.3079 | 218,154.00 | 1,980,192.34 |
| 23 | 51,647.14 | 777,708.10 | 726,060.96 | 0.2919 | 211,917.35 | 1,970,291.38 |
| 24 | 52,938.32 | 797,034.14 | 744,095.82 | 0.2767 | 205,858.99 | 1,960,439.92 |
| 25 | 54,261.78 | 816,840.44 | 762,578.66 | 0.2622 | 199,973.83 | 1,950,637.72 |
The base-case computed figures are the only computed numbers on this page. The cells below show the direction and rough magnitude of single-variable moves; they are illustrative directional indicators, not recomputed outputs. For procurement-grade figures request a custom run via the RFQ.
| Variable | Move | Direction (NPV vs base) | Likely payback shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX | −10 % (855 EUR/kWp) | ↑ ~+860 k EUR | −0.3 yr undiscounted |
| CAPEX | +10 % (1,045 EUR/kWp) | ↓ ~−860 k EUR | +0.4 yr undiscounted |
| Specific yield | −10 % (990 kWh/kWp) | ↓ — sensitivity disclosed as illustrative; recompute at RFQ | +0.5–0.7 yr (illustrative) |
| Specific yield | +10 % (1,210 kWh/kWp) | ↑ — illustrative; recompute at RFQ | −0.4 yr (illustrative) |
| Self-consumption | 50 % | ↓ — illustrative; recompute at RFQ | +0.5 yr (illustrative) |
| Self-consumption | 90 % | ↑ — illustrative; recompute at RFQ | −0.4 yr (illustrative) |
| Retail price | 0.20 EUR/kWh | ↓ — illustrative; recompute at RFQ | +0.7 yr (illustrative) |
| Retail price | 0.32 EUR/kWh | ↑ — illustrative; recompute at RFQ | −0.4 yr (illustrative) |
| WACC | 4.0 % | ↑ NPV (illustrative) | discounted payback − |
| WACC | 7.5 % | ↓ NPV (illustrative) | discounted payback + |
| Degradation | 0.7 %/yr | ↓ NPV (illustrative) | marginal |
Why LCOE is shown as constant in directional cells: LCOE divides discounted lifetime costs by discounted lifetime kWh; a uniform yield shock scales numerator and denominator by roughly the same factor. This is a structural property of the ratio, not a recomputation.
| Scenario | Verdict | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Base case | VIABLE | computed NPV 5.34 M EUR; LCOE 0.0856 EUR/kWh vs EU retail 0.26 EUR/kWh; discounted payback 5.02 yr. |
| Low yield (990 kWh/kWp) | VIABLE (sensitivity illustrative) | NPV remains positive under the same WACC; payback extends modestly. Recompute at RFQ for a project-specific number. |
| Low self-consumption (50 %) | VIABLE (sensitivity illustrative) | Export revenue offsets the loss of self-consumed kWh value; margin tightens. Recompute at RFQ. |
| High CAPEX (1,045 EUR/kWp) | VIABLE (sensitivity illustrative) | NPV falls by ~860 k EUR vs base; still well above zero. Recompute at RFQ. |
| Low retail price (0.20 EUR/kWh) | VIABLE (sensitivity illustrative) | NPV falls materially; payback extends but stays inside horizon. Recompute at RFQ. |
| Combined stress (low yield + low SCR + high CAPEX) | MARGINAL — recompute required | Project NPV and payback must be recomputed against actual site irradiance, tariff schedule and self-consumption profile before commitment. |
| Applicable standards (typical) | IEC 61215 (modules), IEC 61730 (safety), IEC 62446 (documentation), EN 50549 (grid connection). See IEC Webstore catalogue — cite full designation + edition in procurement documents. |
| Recommended certifications | ISO 9001 (EPC), ISO 14001 (environmental), ISO 45001 (safety). See ISO standards search — cite ISO number + title + year in procurement documents. |
| Module warranty (typical) | 25-year linear power output, ≥ 85 % Year-25 — confirm against specific Jinko Tiger Neo datasheet rev at RFQ. |
| Inverter warranty (typical) | 10–12 years, extendable — confirm against specific Huawei SUN2000 or Sungrow SG datasheet rev at RFQ. |
| EU regulatory framework | RED II (Directive (EU) 2018/2001), recast RED III (Directive (EU) 2023/2413), EPBD recast (Directive 2024/1275). For batteries (if added later): Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 — see EUR-Lex 2023/1542. |
| Lithium battery transport (if applicable) | UN Manual of Tests and Criteria, UN 38.3 (ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7) — see UNECE UN Manual of Tests and Criteria. |
| HS code | Description | EU status | Lookup path |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8541.43 | Photovoltaic cells assembled in modules or made up into panels | PENDING — verify via TARIC | EC TARIC consultation |
| 8504.40 | Static converters (inverters) | PENDING — verify via TARIC | EC TARIC consultation |
| 7610.90 | Aluminium structures (mounting) | PENDING — verify via TARIC | EC TARIC consultation |
| 8544.49 | Other electric conductors (cabling) | PENDING — verify via TARIC | EC TARIC consultation |
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Datasheet bundle is produced at RFQ intake and is not a public download on this page.
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