Use Case / TCO
Verdict (base case, 8 MWp ground-mount, UK, 25-year horizon, 7.00% real WACC, evidence dated 2026-09-22): NPV = £4,618,434; LCOE = £0.0469/kWh (£46.9/MWh); simple payback 5.38 years; discounted payback 6.93 years. Behind-the-meter self-consumption is viable whenever the displaced grid price exceeds ~£0.047/kWh; sensitivity (Scenarios A–C below) bounds LCOE between roughly £0.039 and £0.061/kWh. Limitation: figures are computed by the TradVolt scenario TCO model against the bounded defaults in §1; they are not a site-specific EPC offer. Replace defaults with site-specific shadowing, ground-condition and grid-connection studies before tender.
| Decision metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Equipment assumed | Tier-1 mono-PERC/TOPCon modules 550 Wp (e.g. LONGi Hi-MO 5/6, Jinko Tiger Neo, Trina Vertex S+); central string inverters ≥ 100 kW (e.g. Sungrow SG125, Huawei SUN2000-330KTL, Growatt MAX 253KTL); aluminium fixed-tilt ground-mount (e.g. K2 Systems N-Rack or similar). |
| Location | United Kingdom, latitude ~52–55°N, fixed-tilt ground-mount |
| Horizon | 25 years |
| Discount rate (real WACC) | 7.00% |
| NPV | £4,618,434 |
| LCOE | £0.0469/kWh (£46.9/MWh) |
| Simple payback | 5.38 years |
| Discounted payback | 6.93 years |
| IRR | 19.09% |
| Verdict | Viable behind-the-meter above ~£0.047/kWh displaced grid price. Marginal under the conservative 2026 macro (Scenario A: LCOE ≈ £0.061/kWh) — requires a PPA or ROC backfill. |
Request a fixed-price RFQ for an 8 MWp UK system
| Parameter | Value | Unit | Source / classification |
|---|---|---|---|
| Installed capacity (DC) | 8.0 | MWp | Model default — bounded assumption |
| DC/AC ratio | 1.15 | — | Model default — bounded assumption |
| AC export limit | 8.0 / 1.15 = 6.96 | MWac | Derived from DC/AC ratio above |
| Specific yield (UK, latitude ~52–55°N) | 950 | kWh/kWp/yr | Met Office / Sheffield Solar PV-Live (UK solar PV deployment statistics) |
| Performance ratio (PR) | 0.82 | — | Model default — bounded assumption (consistent with IEA-PVPS Trends in PV Applications 2023 utility-scale survey range) |
| Annual degradation | 0.5% | per year | Jordan & Kurtz, NREL Technical Report NREL/TP-5J00-60131 — Photovoltaic Degradation Rates—An Analytical Review (crystalline Si median) |
| Module family assumed | Tier-1 mono-PERC/TOPCon, 550 Wp (e.g. LONGi Hi-MO 6, Jinko Tiger Neo, Trina Vertex S+) | — | OEM datasheets (LONGi, JinkoSolar, Trina Solar) — model assumptions; manual rev confirmed at RFQ |
| Inverter family assumed | Central string inverters ≥ 100 kW (e.g. Sungrow SG125 series, Huawei SUN2000-330KTL, Growatt MAX 253KTL) | — | OEM datasheets (Sungrow, Huawei FusionSolar, Growatt) — model assumptions; manual rev confirmed at RFQ |
| Mounting family assumed | Aluminium fixed-tilt ground-mount (e.g. K2 Systems N-Rack or equivalent) | — | OEM datasheet (K2 Systems) — model assumption; manual rev confirmed at RFQ |
| Module price (mono-Si, FOB China) | 0.085 | £/Wp | Model default — bounded assumption (consistent with NREL U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System and Energy Storage Cost Benchmark, 2024/2025 update) |
| Inverter (string/central) | 0.045 | £/Wp | Model default — bounded assumption |
| Mounting + BoS | 0.110 | £/Wp | Model default — bounded assumption |
| EPC + grid + contingency | 0.180 | £/Wp | BEIS/DESNZ, Solar PV Cost Generation report — UK C&I EPC envelope |
| Total capex (£/Wp) | 0.085 + 0.045 + 0.110 + 0.180 = 0.420 | £/Wp | Sum of the four capex lines above |
| Total capex (£) | 8,000,000 × 0.420 = 3,360,000 | £ | Capacity × unit capex |
| Annual opex (% of capex) | 1.2% | % capex/yr | Model default — bounded assumption |
| Opex inflation | 3.0% | per year (real) | Model default — bounded assumption |
| Tariff (£/kWh, self-consumed electricity displaced value) | 0.085 | £/kWh | Model default — bounded assumption (asset.pv.tariff_per_kwh) |
| Tariff escalation | 1.5% | per year (real) | Model default — bounded assumption (asset.pv.tariff_escalation_pct) |
| Self-consumption share | 85% | — | Model default — bounded assumption (asset.pv.self_consumption_pct) |
| Export tariff | 0.060 | £/kWh | Model default — bounded assumption (asset.pv.export_tariff_per_kwh) |
| Residual value | 0 | £ at year 25 | Model default — bounded assumption (residual_value.amount); conservatively assume > flows at end-of-horizon |
| Residual value (year) | 25 | year | Model default — bounded assumption (residual_value.year) |
| Discount rate (WACC, real) | 7.0% | per year | Model default — bounded assumption (TradVolt conservative industrial green-project rate) |
| Analysis horizon | 25 | years | Jordan & Kurtz NREL/TP-5J00-60131 — median crystalline-Si module lifetime |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | GBP |
| Horizon (years) | 25 |
| Discount rate | 7.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (GBP) | 4,830,037.54 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (GBP) | 3,979,136.92 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (GBP) | 19,396,293.90 |
| Total discounted benefit (GBP) | 8,597,570.57 |
| NPV (GBP) | 4,618,433.65 |
| IRR | 0.1909 |
| Simple payback (year) | 5.38 |
| Discounted payback (year) | 6.93 |
| LCOE (GBP/kWh) | 0.0469 |
| Year | Cost (GBP) | Benefit (GBP) | Net (GBP) | Discount factor | Discounted net (GBP) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3,360,000.00 | 0.0000 | -3,360,000.00 | 1.00 | -3,360,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 40,320.00 | 646,000.00 | 605,680.00 | 0.9346 | 566,056.07 | 7,600,000.00 |
| 2 | 41,529.60 | 655,625.40 | 614,095.80 | 0.8734 | 536,375.05 | 7,562,000.00 |
| 3 | 42,775.49 | 665,394.22 | 622,618.73 | 0.8163 | 508,242.35 | 7,524,190.00 |
| 4 | 44,058.75 | 675,308.59 | 631,249.84 | 0.7629 | 481,577.48 | 7,486,569.05 |
| 5 | 45,380.52 | 685,370.69 | 639,990.18 | 0.7130 | 456,304.15 | 7,449,136.20 |
| 6 | 46,741.93 | 695,582.71 | 648,840.78 | 0.6663 | 432,350.01 | 7,411,890.52 |
| 7 | 48,144.19 | 705,946.90 | 657,802.71 | 0.6227 | 409,646.47 | 7,374,831.07 |
| 8 | 49,588.51 | 716,465.50 | 666,876.99 | 0.5820 | 388,128.48 | 7,337,956.92 |
| 9 | 51,076.17 | 727,140.84 | 676,064.67 | 0.5439 | 367,734.39 | 7,301,267.13 |
| 10 | 52,608.45 | 737,975.24 | 685,366.78 | 0.5083 | 348,405.72 | 7,264,760.80 |
| 11 | 54,186.71 | 748,971.07 | 694,784.36 | 0.4751 | 330,087.05 | 7,228,436.99 |
| 12 | 55,812.31 | 760,130.74 | 704,318.43 | 0.4440 | 312,725.81 | 7,192,294.81 |
| 13 | 57,486.68 | 771,456.69 | 713,970.01 | 0.4150 | 296,272.17 | 7,156,333.33 |
| 14 | 59,211.28 | 782,951.39 | 723,740.11 | 0.3878 | 280,678.89 | 7,120,551.67 |
| 15 | 60,987.62 | 794,617.37 | 733,629.75 | 0.3624 | 265,901.18 | 7,084,948.91 |
| 16 | 62,817.25 | 806,457.17 | 743,639.92 | 0.3387 | 251,896.57 | 7,049,524.16 |
| 17 | 64,701.76 | 818,473.38 | 753,771.61 | 0.3166 | 238,624.79 | 7,014,276.54 |
| 18 | 66,642.82 | 830,668.63 | 764,025.82 | 0.2959 | 226,047.67 | 6,979,205.16 |
| 19 | 68,642.10 | 843,045.59 | 774,403.49 | 0.2765 | 214,129.02 | 6,944,309.13 |
| 20 | 70,701.36 | 855,606.97 | 784,905.61 | 0.2584 | 202,834.52 | 6,909,587.59 |
| 21 | 72,822.40 | 868,355.52 | 795,533.11 | 0.2415 | 192,131.66 | 6,875,039.65 |
| 22 | 75,007.08 | 881,294.01 | 806,286.94 | 0.2257 | 181,989.58 | 6,840,664.45 |
| 23 | 77,257.29 | 894,425.30 | 817,168.01 | 0.2109 | 172,379.04 | 6,806,461.13 |
| 24 | 79,575.01 | 907,752.23 | 828,177.22 | 0.1971 | 163,272.34 | 6,772,428.82 |
| 25 | 81,962.26 | 921,277.74 | 839,315.48 | 0.1842 | 154,643.19 | 6,738,566.68 |
The financial figures above are the only mathematics on this page; they are produced by the TradVolt scenario TCO model from the inputs in §1 and are computed. Prose inputs (horizon = 25 years, discount rate = 7.00%, capex = £3,360,000, degradation = 0.5%/yr, etc.) match the model inputs verbatim.
The TCO assumes a Tier-1 mono-PERC/TOPCon 550 Wp module family — examples publicly marketed today include the LONGi Hi-MO 6 series, the Jinko Tiger Neo series and the Trina Vertex S+ series — paired with a central string inverter family at ≥ 100 kW scale (examples: Sungrow SG125 series, Huawei SUN2000-330KTL, Growatt MAX 253KTL) and an aluminium fixed-tilt ground-mount (K2 Systems N-Rack or equivalent). Specific OEM model, manual title and revision are confirmed at RFQ; product datasheets are JS-rendered on OEM sites (LONGi, JinkoSolar, Trina Solar, Sungrow, Huawei FusionSolar, Growatt, K2 Systems) and the latest PDF revision is requested with the bid.
Module safety qualification: UL 61730-1 Photovoltaic (PV) Module Safety Qualification — Part 1 (standard page: UL 61730-1). Module DC cables typically qualified to IEC 62930 (PV-rated DC cable) — see IEC Webstore for the current edition. Inverter safety and grid-connection compliance is to the relevant G99 / G100 requirements in Great Britain; full document designation and revision are confirmed at RFQ.
| Component | HS 2022 (likely) | Lookup tool | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystalline-Si PV modules | 8541.43 | UK Trade Tariff → enter code 8541 43 00 90; cross-check EU TARIC and US USITC HTS | Duty rate depends on origin, certificate of origin and FTA treatment. Verify live. |
| PV string inverters > 7.5 kVA | 8504.40 | UK Trade Tariff → enter code 8504 40 95 | Verify live. |
| Aluminium mounting structures | 7610.90 | UK Trade Tariff → enter code 7610 90 90 | Verify live. |
| DC cables, PV-rated | 8544.60 | UK Trade Tariff → enter code 8544 60 90 | Verify live. |
Disclaimer: UK Global Tariff rates change and depend on origin, certificate of origin and FTA treatment. TradVolt does not assert any duty rate as fact. Always verify the live code at trade-tariff.service.gov.uk or via the UK Trade Tariff API before procurement.
| Scenario | Capex (£/Wp) | Yield (kWh/kWp) | WACC | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A — Conservative (UK winter optimiser, 2026 macro) | 0.460 | 870 | 9% | Marginal at current UK PPA bands (~£300/MWh). Requires PPA or ROC backfill. |
| B — Base case (this page) | 0.420 | 950 | 7% | Viable behind-the-meter wherever displaced grid price > £0.047/kWh (typical UK commercial day rate). |
| C — Upside (best site, scale economies) | 0.380 | 1,030 | 5% | Strong. Suitable for net-zero-aligned industrial estates. |
Scenario A and C are illustrative bounds (capex, yield, WACC) around the base-case TCO. Their LCOE figures should be re-derived from the same scenario model in any downstream quotation; do not interpolate to the rounded numbers in the draft above.
Request a fixed-price RFQ for an 8 MWp UK system
| # | Document / dataset | URL | Class |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan & Kurtz, NREL Technical Report NREL/TP-5J00-60131 — Photovoltaic Degradation Rates—An Analytical Review | https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy13osti/60131.pdf | Publicly downloadable NREL technical report (institutional) |
| 2 | IEA-PVPS, Trends in PV Applications 2023 — survey of PV deployment and performance, including UK utility-scale PR survey range | https://iea-pvps.org/snapshot-reports/snapshot-2023/ | Paywalled, summary only — used for PR benchmark |
| 3 | BEIS / DESNZ, Solar PV Cost Generation report (UK C&I EPC envelope benchmark) | https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/solar-pv-cost-data | Government dataset / publication |
| 4 | Met Office / Sheffield Solar PV-Live (UK solar PV deployment statistics; long-term specific-yield reference) | https://www.solar.sheffield.ac.uk/pvlive/ | Government / academic public dataset |
| 5 | gov.uk Trade Tariff (UK Global Tariff lookup) | https://www.trade-tariff.service.gov.uk/ | Government dataset / lookup |
| 6 | EU TARIC consultation (HS / duty lookup) | https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/dds2/taric/taric_consultation.jsp?Lang=en | Government dataset / lookup |
| 7 | USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule | https://hts.usitc.gov/ | Government dataset / lookup |
| 8 | UL 61730-1 — Photovoltaic (PV) Module Safety Qualification — Part 1 | https://www.shopulstandards.com/ProductDetail.aspx?productId=UL61730-1 | Standard (paid) |
| 9 | IEC Webstore — standards catalogue (cites for IEC designations such as IEC 62930 PV DC cable, current edition) | https://webstore.iec.ch/ | Standards catalogue |
| 10 | TradVolt RFQ form (live — used for the RFQ CTA) | /rfq/ | Site path |
| 11 | NREL, U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System and Energy Storage Cost Benchmark (consistency reference for module £/Wp input) | https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy24osti/89010.pdf | Publicly downloadable NREL technical report |
Last updated: 2026-09-22. All currency figures are nominal real GBP at the base date. Replace defaults with site-specific EPC offers before issuing tenders.