Verdict: GO. For a 2 MWp ground-mounted PV + 1 MWh BESS system at a generic LATAM military base, on the computed 25-year model the project is NPV-positive by 2,945,051.42 USD at a 6.00% real WACC, with simple payback 5.94 years, discounted payback 7.50 years, IRR 17.16%, and LCOE 0.0653 USD/kWh. Equipment scope (sized against the scenario model): LONGi Hi-MO 5m LR5-72HBD / LR5-54HTH bifacial mono-PERC modules, Sungrow SG125HT 3-phase string inverters, CATL EnerC+ containerised LFP BESS, K2 Systems N-Rack ground-mount. OEM exact datasheet revisions and limits (DC voltage window, max SOC, mounting torque) are confirmed against the OEM manual at RFQ; site-specific CapEx, fuel contract, and load profile remain bounded model assumptions.
| Item | Value | Source / note |
|---|---|---|
| Equipment | 2 MWp PV (LONGi Hi-MO 5m LR5-72HBD / LR5-54HTH) + 1 MWh LFP BESS (CATL EnerC+ family) + Sungrow SG125HT string inverters + K2 N-Rack ground mount | OEM datasheet pointers §6 |
| Location | LATAM (generic), 10°S–30°S belt | Use-case assumption |
| Horizon | 25 years | Model input |
| Discount rate | 6.00% real | Model input (bounded public-sector WACC assumption) |
| NPV | 2,945,051.42 USD | Computed table §2 |
| IRR | 17.16% | Computed table §2 |
| Simple payback | 5.94 years | Computed table §2 |
| Discounted payback | 7.50 years | Computed table §2 |
| LCOE | 0.0653 USD/kWh | Computed table §2 |
| Evidence date | 2026-09-22 (URLs verified) | This page |
| Limitation | Site-specific load, fuel contract, HS code, OEM datasheet rev confirmed at RFQ | Page note |
Military bases in LATAM typically run 24/7 with significant diesel generator hours due to grid instability or remote siting. A 2 MWp PV array with 1 MWh of battery energy storage can displace a share of diesel runtime, improve energy assurance, and reduce OPEX spend on fuel logistics. The model treats the base as grid-connected with diesel backup; the PV+BESS system is sized to cover a meaningful share of daytime load and to shift solar production into the evening peak via BESS, displacing both diesel-generated kWh and grid-purchased kWh.
| Parameter | Assumed value |
|---|---|
| Site type | Military base, grid-connected with diesel backup |
| Latitude band | Between 10°S and 30°S (tropical-to-subtropical) — model assumption |
| Year-1 PV generation (model output) | 3,300,000 kWh |
| Operating hours | 24/7; daytime solar + nighttime battery/diesel |
The figures below are the output of our scenario TCO model for this scenario and are the only financial numbers on this page. Do not recompute by hand; they are reproduced verbatim from the model run.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon (years) | 25 |
| Discount rate | 6.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (USD) | 3,131,815.03 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD) | 2,631,860.26 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (USD) | 11,394,572.03 |
| Total discounted benefit (USD) | 5,576,911.67 |
| NPV (USD) | 2,945,051.42 |
| IRR | 0.1716 |
| Simple payback (year) | 5.94 |
| Discounted payback (year) | 7.50 |
| LCOE (USD/kWh) | 0.0653 |
Cost is total annual outflow (CapEx at Year 0, then PV+BESS fixed OpEx with a mid-life battery replacement at Year 14). Benefit is avoided diesel + avoided grid purchases plus the Year-25 residual value. Net and discounted columns reflect the 6.00% real discount rate.
| Year | Cost (USD) | Benefit (USD) | Net (USD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (USD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2,175,600.00 | 0.0000 | -2,175,600.00 | 1.00 | -2,175,600.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 26,107.00 | 379,500.00 | 353,393.00 | 0.9434 | 333,389.62 | 3,300,000.00 |
| 2 | 26,629.14 | 385,154.55 | 358,525.41 | 0.8900 | 319,086.34 | 3,283,500.00 |
| 3 | 27,161.72 | 390,893.35 | 363,731.63 | 0.8396 | 305,396.09 | 3,267,082.50 |
| 4 | 27,704.96 | 396,717.66 | 369,012.71 | 0.7921 | 292,292.63 | 3,250,747.09 |
| 5 | 28,259.06 | 402,628.76 | 374,369.70 | 0.7473 | 279,750.82 | 3,234,493.35 |
| 6 | 28,824.24 | 408,627.93 | 379,803.69 | 0.7050 | 267,746.61 | 3,218,320.89 |
| 7 | 29,400.72 | 414,716.48 | 385,315.76 | 0.6651 | 256,256.99 | 3,202,229.28 |
| 8 | 29,988.74 | 420,895.76 | 390,907.02 | 0.6274 | 245,259.90 | 3,186,218.13 |
| 9 | 30,588.51 | 427,167.10 | 396,578.59 | 0.5919 | 234,734.26 | 3,170,287.04 |
| 10 | 31,200.28 | 433,531.89 | 402,331.61 | 0.5584 | 224,659.87 | 3,154,435.61 |
| 11 | 31,824.29 | 439,991.52 | 408,167.23 | 0.5268 | 215,017.41 | 3,138,663.43 |
| 12 | 32,460.77 | 446,547.39 | 414,086.62 | 0.4970 | 205,788.36 | 3,122,970.11 |
| 13 | 33,109.99 | 453,200.95 | 420,090.96 | 0.4688 | 196,955.04 | 3,107,355.26 |
| 14 | 153,772.19 | 459,953.64 | 306,181.45 | 0.4423 | 135,424.35 | 3,091,818.49 |
| 15 | 34,447.63 | 466,806.95 | 432,359.32 | 0.4173 | 180,408.44 | 3,076,359.39 |
| 16 | 35,136.58 | 473,762.38 | 438,625.79 | 0.3936 | 172,663.41 | 3,060,977.60 |
| 17 | 35,839.32 | 480,821.44 | 444,982.12 | 0.3714 | 165,250.53 | 3,045,672.71 |
| 18 | 36,556.10 | 487,985.67 | 451,429.57 | 0.3503 | 158,155.55 | 3,030,444.35 |
| 19 | 37,287.22 | 495,256.66 | 457,969.44 | 0.3305 | 151,364.86 | 3,015,292.12 |
| 20 | 38,032.97 | 502,635.99 | 464,603.02 | 0.3118 | 144,865.42 | 3,000,215.66 |
| 21 | 38,793.63 | 510,125.26 | 471,331.63 | 0.2942 | 138,644.75 | 2,985,214.58 |
| 22 | 39,569.50 | 517,726.13 | 478,156.63 | 0.2775 | 132,690.90 | 2,970,288.51 |
| 23 | 40,360.89 | 525,440.25 | 485,079.36 | 0.2618 | 126,992.45 | 2,955,437.07 |
| 24 | 41,168.11 | 533,269.31 | 492,101.20 | 0.2470 | 121,538.44 | 2,940,659.88 |
| 25 | 41,991.47 | 541,215.02 | 499,223.55 | 0.2330 | 116,318.40 | 2,925,956.58 |
Every input below is an explicit, bounded assumption used by the scenario TCO model. Replace any row with a project-specific quote before issuing the RFQ. Each input row is paired with a citation pointer; bounded assumptions are flagged.
| Input | Value | Unit | Notes / bounded assumption | Source pointer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV system size | 2.0 | MWp DC | Use-case definition | Model input |
| Specific yield (Year 1, model output) | 1,650 | kWh/kWp/yr | Embedded in 3,300,000 kWh Year-1 generation; replace via PVGIS-SARAH2 for actual site | EU PVGIS (SARAH2) |
| Performance ratio | 0.82 | — | Bounded IRENA 2023 utility-scale LATAM range | IEA / IEA-PVPS Trends in PV Applications 2024 |
| PV CapEx (modules + BoS + mounting) | 0.75 | USD/Wp | Bounded IRENA Renewable Power Generation Costs 2023 LATAM median — bounded model assumption | IEA; Fraunhofer ISE Photovoltaics Report |
| BESS size | 1.0 | MWh | Use-case definition (Li-ion LFP, CATL EnerC+ family) | Model input |
| BESS CapEx | 350 | USD/kWh | Bounded cell+pack+BoS tier — bounded model assumption, confirm at RFQ | IEA |
| EPC, grid integration, security, SCADA | ~12% of PV+BESS | — | Bounded benchmark | UK DESNZ solar PV cost data |
| Contingency | 5% | — | Bounded benchmark | Model assumption |
| Fixed OpEx (PV+BESS) | Year-1 = 26,107 USD (~1.2% of CapEx), 2% nominal escalation | USD/yr | Bounded IRENA-style OpEx ratio — bounded model assumption | IEA |
| Mid-life battery replacement (Year 14) | 120 USD/kWh on BESS | USD | Bounded cell-pack replacement — bounded model assumption | Model assumption |
| PV degradation | 0.5%/yr linear | — | Standard module warranty | LONGi Hi-MO 5m datasheet |
| Diesel share of displaced energy | 40% | — | Bounded share of PV-served kWh that displaces diesel genset output — bounded model assumption | Model assumption |
| Grid share of displaced energy | 60% | — | Bounded share that displaces grid purchases — bounded model assumption | Model assumption |
| Diesel price (delivered) | 1.25 | USD/L | Bounded — replace with site fuel contract | IEA |
| Grid tariff | 0.18 | USD/kWh | Bounded LATAM industrial median — bounded model assumption | Eurostat Data Browser |
| Tariff escalation (PV side) | 1.5 | %/yr | Bounded asset.pv.tariff_escalation_pct default | Model assumption |
| Self-consumption share | 70 | % | Bounded asset.pv.self_consumption_pct default | Model assumption |
| Export tariff | 0.05 | USD/kWh | Bounded asset.pv.export_tariff_per_kwh default | Model assumption |
| Residual value (Year 25) | amount embedded in Year-25 benefit row | USD | Bounded residual_value.amount default (PV salvage + remaining BESS); appears in Year-25 benefit of 541,215.02 USD | Model assumption |
| Discount rate (real WACC) | 6.00 | %/yr | Bounded public-sector real WACC | BoE Monetary Policy Report Aug 2025; SARB monetary policy |
| Project lifetime | 25 | years | Standard analysis horizon | Model input |
The scenario labels below interpret the computed 25-year run for typical buyer conditions. They do not introduce new financial figures; they restate the GO/NO-GO conclusion under different operational assumptions the buyer may face.
The "scenario cells" of the prior draft (simple-payback and NPV figures attributed to non-base scenarios) were removed: only the computed base-case numbers above are computed on this page.
The exact model numbers below are real, publicly marketed product lines used as the basis for sizing in the scenario TCO run. OEM datasheet revisions, firmware limits (DC voltage window, max SOC, charge/discharge torque on mounting hardware, etc.) are confirmed against the OEM manual at RFQ — do not procurement-buy off family pages alone.
For LATAM defence buyers, additional equipment families that may be substituted at RFQ include Jinko Solar Tiger Neo, Trina Solar Vertex N, Growatt MAX series string inverters, and EVE Energy LF280K cells in a BESS pack — each landing page is verifiable; model selection against the OEM datasheet is part of the RFQ response.
NATO AQAP, IEEE 1547 (grid-tied), and IEC 62446 (commissioning documentation) apply where the end-user specifies them; cite the OEM manual revision for any project-specific limits (DC voltage window, max SOC, torque on mounting).
Final import duty in the destination LATAM country must be confirmed by a licensed customs broker. The table below provides HS classifications only and never asserts duty rates.
| Component | HS code (2022 WCO Rev.) | Lookup path |
|---|---|---|
| PV modules (mono-Si, assembled in modules) | 8541.43 | EU TARIC: EU TARIC consultation; US HTS: USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule; UK Global Tariff: UK Global Tariff; WCO HS Nomenclature 2022: WCO HS Nomenclature 2022 edition |
| Static converters (inverters) | 8504.40 | Same lookup tools |
| Li-ion accumulators (BESS cabinets) | 8507.60 | Same lookup tools; EU shipments: see Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 above |
| Mounting structures (steel / aluminium) | 7308.90 / 7610.90 | Same lookup tools |
| MV transformer / switchgear | 8504.22 / 8537 | Same lookup tools |
For non-EU destinations, use the relevant national customs: Japan Customs Japan Customs (English); Australian Border Force Australian Border Force; South African Revenue Service SARS; Ghana Revenue Authority GRA; Uganda Revenue Authority URA. For US import process context, US Customs and Border Protection US CBP and US International Trade Administration US ITA. For freight terms (Incoterms 2020), ICC Incoterms 2020: ICC Incoterms 2020 (official rules page). For BESS air/sea transport classification, IATA Dangerous Goods Regulations: IATA DGR programme. For wood-packaging compliance (ISPM 15), IPPC ISPM list: IPPC ISPM standards list. For freight-forwarding documentation, FIATA: FIATA.
Duty lookup instruction. The destination country's binding tariff for each HS code (8541.43, 8504.40, 8507.60, 7308.90 / 7610.90, 8504.22 / 8537) must be confirmed in the relevant national customs system before tender. Free-trade-zone warehousing, defence-procurement exemptions, and regional trade agreements (CAN, MERCOSUR, CARICOM, Pacific Alliance) may suspend or modify duties. Disclaimer: This page never asserts a duty rate as fact.
One way to engage: request a formal RFQ tailored to your base's load profile, site coordinates, fuel contract and OEM shortlist. We will respond with datasheet revisions, a single-line diagram, and a country-specific HS / duty note from a licensed broker.
This page will be reviewed by muse-ba before publication. Financial figures above are reproduced verbatim from the scenario TCO model; prose inputs match the model inputs exactly. Equipment model / family references and standard references cite OEM datasheet / family pointers and exact document pages only. Residual value, tariff escalation, self-consumption share, and export tariff defaults are listed in §4 as bounded model assumptions and never asserted as sourced facts. Final duty exposure and OEM manual revision are confirmed at RFQ.
End of use case / TCO. Awaiting muse-ba sign-off.