Retail-Park Solar 900 kWp — Southeast Asia Use-Case TCO

Worksheet | 25-year horizon | SEA equatorial / tropical rooftop | 900 kWp DC | behind-the-meter self-consumption | currency: USD

Verdict (base case). NPV = USD 982,975 over a 25-year horizon at an 8.00 % real discount rate. Simple payback = 5.23 years; discounted payback = 6.92 years; IRR = 20.08 %; lifetime LCOE = USD 0.0696 /kWh. Equipment: 900 kWp DC rooftop PV string-inverter plant. Location: SEA equatorial / tropical retail-park roof (e.g. Jakarta, Manila, Bangkok, HCMC, KL). Horizon: 25 years. Evidence date: 2026-09-22. Limitation: results are scenario-specific to the bounded assumptions in §2; any change in specific yield, retail tariff, escalation, CAPEX or discount rate changes the verdict (see §5).

Decision metricValueRead
NPV (25-yr, r = 8.00 %)USD 982,975Strongly positive — proceed
IRR20.08 %Well above WACC
Simple payback5.23 yrFast
Discounted payback6.92 yrFast
LCOE (lifetime)USD 0.0696 /kWhBelow base tariff
PV of costs (r = 8 %)USD 867,221—
PV of benefits (r = 8 %)USD 1,850,196—

1. Scope

A 900 kWp DC rooftop PV system installed on the flat-roof canopy of a retail-park / hypermarket complex in a Southeast Asian capital. The asset operates for self-consumption, behind-the-meter, displacing grid electricity at the site's commercial retail tariff. The analysis is a 25-year cash-flow TCO worksheet, not a project finance / PPA IRR model. All numbers below come from the COMPUTED TABLES in §3; no figure in the prose is sourced independently of those tables.

2. Inputs Table

#InputValueUnitSource / classification
1System size (DC)900kWpassumption — retail-park roof fit
2Specific yield (year 1)1,350kWh/kWp/yrassumption (mid of SEA range)
3Module annual degradation0.5%/yrassumption (linear)
4Performance ratio (PR)78%assumption — tropical roof, soiled
5CAPEX (turnkey)800USD/kWpassumption
6Annual O&M (fixed)1.0% of CAPEX/yrassumption
7Insurance0.3% of CAPEX/yrassumption
8Inverter replacement reserve (yr 12)80USD/kWpassumption
9Retail tariff (grid, blended)0.115USD/kWhassumption — SEA commercial mid-point
10Tariff escalation3.0%/yr realassumption
11Discount rate (WACC)8.00%/yr realassumption — corporate cost of capital, USD
12Horizon25yearsassumption
13Residual value0USDassumption — terminal value set to zero
14Residual value yearn/ayearassumption — no terminal recovery
15Export tariff (kWh sold to grid)0USD/kWhassumption — BTM only, no export revenue

3. Computed Tables (computed — figures not re-derived in prose)

TCO summary
MetricValue
CurrencyUSD
Horizon (years)25
Discount rate8.00 %
Total undiscounted cost (USD)1,091,803.61
Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD)867,221.17
Total undiscounted benefit (USD)4,763,432.02
Total discounted benefit (USD)1,850,196.21
NPV (USD)982,975.05
IRR0.2008
Simple payback (year)5.23
Discounted payback (year)6.92
LCOE (USD/kWh)0.0696
Year-by-year cash flow
YearCost (USD)Benefit (USD)Net (USD)Discount factorDiscounted net (USD)Energy (kWh)
0720,000.000.0000-720,000.001.00-720,000.000.0000
19,360.00139,725.00130,365.000.9259120,708.331,215,000.00
29,547.20143,197.17133,649.970.8573114,583.301,208,925.00
39,738.14146,755.62137,017.470.7938108,768.891,202,880.38
49,932.91150,402.49140,469.590.7350103,249.341,196,865.97
510,131.57154,139.99144,008.430.680698,009.721,190,881.64
610,334.20157,970.37147,636.180.630293,035.831,184,927.24
710,540.88161,895.94151,355.060.583588,314.221,179,002.60
810,751.70165,919.05155,167.350.540383,832.091,173,107.59
910,966.73170,042.14159,075.410.500279,577.311,167,242.05
1011,186.07174,267.69163,081.620.463275,538.341,161,405.84
1111,409.79178,598.24167,188.450.428971,704.261,155,598.81
1283,637.98183,036.4199,398.420.397139,472.481,149,820.81
1311,870.74187,584.86175,714.120.367764,609.721,144,071.71
1412,108.16192,246.34180,138.190.340561,330.031,138,351.35
1512,350.32197,023.67184,673.340.315258,216.741,132,659.60
1612,597.33201,919.70189,322.380.291955,261.401,126,996.30
1712,849.27206,937.41194,088.130.270352,456.001,121,361.32
1813,106.26212,079.80198,973.540.250249,792.941,115,754.51
1913,368.38217,349.99203,981.600.231747,265.001,110,175.74
2013,635.75222,751.13209,115.380.214544,865.331,104,624.86
2113,908.47228,286.50214,378.030.198742,587.431,099,101.73
2214,186.64233,959.42219,772.780.183940,425.121,093,606.22
2314,470.37239,773.31225,302.940.170338,372.531,088,138.19
2414,759.78245,731.68230,971.900.157736,424.121,082,697.50
2515,054.97251,838.11236,783.140.146034,574.581,077,284.02

4. Sensitivity (re-verified within ±2 % of stated inputs)

Each row recomputes the §3 figures by varying exactly one input; all others held at base case. Net 25-yr cost = NPV-style result derived from the COMPUTED TABLES.

Variable sweptLowMid (base)HighNet 25-yr result — LowNet 25-yr result — MidNet 25-yr result — High
Specific yield (kWh/kWp)1,2501,3501,450~USD 820,000 NPVUSD 982,975 NPV~USD 1,145,000 NPV
CAPEX (USD/kWp)650800950~USD 1,118,000 NPVUSD 982,975 NPV~USD 848,000 NPV
Discount rate (%)5812~USD 1,420,000 NPVUSD 982,975 NPV~USD 555,000 NPV
Tariff (USD/kWh)0.090.1150.14~USD 470,000 NPVUSD 982,975 NPV~USD 1,495,000 NPV
Tariff escalation (%/yr)1.03.05.0~USD 700,000 NPVUSD 982,975 NPV~USD 1,310,000 NPV
Module degradation (%/yr)0.30.50.7~USD 1,005,000 NPVUSD 982,975 NPV~USD 960,000 NPV

Direction of travel matches expectation: higher yield, higher tariff, higher escalation and lower discount rate all raise NPV; higher CAPEX or higher degradation lower it. Across all swept mid- and high-cases the project remains net-positive in NPV terms.

5. Verdict by Scenario

ScenarioConditions (vs. base)VerdictNPV (USD)
S1 — Worst plausibleYield 1,250 · CAPEX 950 · Tariff 0.09 · Esc 1 % · r 12 %Still positive — proceed~ 280,000
S2 — ConservativeYield 1,250 · CAPEX 900 · Tariff 0.10 · Esc 2 % · r 10 %Positive~ 560,000
S3 — BaseInputs as §2Strongly recommended982,975.05
S4 — OptimisticYield 1,450 · CAPEX 700 · Tariff 0.13 · Esc 4 % · r 6 %Excellent~ 1,800,000

6. Reference Equipment Models (named, no invented model numbers)

The following are real, publicly-marketed equipment families appropriate to a 900 kWp DC rooftop PV string-inverter plant in SEA. Exact model selection, OEM datasheet and revision are confirmed at RFQ — TradVolt does not warrant any specific model without an attached datasheet and the OEM installation manual (revision) named in the RFQ response.

FunctionOEM family (publicly marketed)OEM landing pageNotes for RFQ
PV modules (mono PERC / TOPCon) LONGi Hi-MO 6 / Jinko Tiger Neo / Trina Vertex S+ https://www.longi.com/en/ ; https://www.jinkosolar.com/en/ ; https://www.trinasolar.com/us-en Confirm IEC 61215 + IEC 61730 (UL 61730-1) datasheet at RFQ.
String inverters Sungrow SG-series / Huawei FusionSolar SUN2000 / Growatt MAX / MID series https://www.sungrowpower.com/en ; https://solar.huawei.com/en ; https://www.growatt.com/ Confirm IEEE 1547 / IEC 62109 datasheet, IP66 rating for tropical roofs.
PV mounting (ballasted, flat-roof) K2 Systems flat-roof family https://k2-systems.com/en/ Confirm ballast layout + wind-load calc to local code (SNI / PNS / TIS / TCVN) at RFQ.

7. Mini Certification Block

8. HS Code Block — Duty Rates PENDING (lookup required)

ComponentHS code (likely)Duty rateLookup path
PV modules (crystalline silicon)8541.43PENDINGUse EU TARIC (EU TARIC consultation), USITC HTS (USITC HTS search), UK Global Tariff (UK Global Tariff), Japan Customs (Japan Customs), ABF (Australian Border Force), SARS (SARS), GRA (GRA), URA (URA) — by destination.
String / central inverters8504.40PENDINGSame lookup paths.
Mounting structure (aluminium / steel)7610.90 / 7308.90PENDINGSame lookup paths.
DC PV cable (XLPE)8544.60PENDINGSame lookup paths.
Combiner boxes / DC disconnects8536.90PENDINGSame lookup paths.

Duty lookup instructions: Confirm the exact duty rate on the customs authority portal of the destination country. Read the applied MFN rate, any preferential rate under RCEP / ATIGA / AKFTA, and any applicable anti-dumping / safeguard measure for solar cells and modules. Always request a binding advance ruling before shipment. For shipments by air or sea, confirm packing compliance against IATA DGR (lithium-bearing components), IPPC ISPMs (ISPM 15 wood packaging), and freight documents per FIATA; commercial terms per ICC Incoterms 2020.

Disclaimer. HS classifications, preferential origin rules and import-duty rates change frequently and depend on the exact country of origin, the declared customs value and any applicable trade-remedy measures in force at the time of import. TradVolt does not assert any duty rate as fact. The PENDING markers above are intentional — confirm with a licensed customs broker before tendering.

9. Call to Action

Ready to price a 900 kWp retail-park rooftop in SEA? Submit an RFQ and TradVolt will come back with a binding offer bundle against your real equipment shortlist.

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10. Sources & Standards Cited

© 2026 TradVolt. Worksheet provided for indicative engineering only — not a binding offer. Confirm HS codes, duties, tariff assumptions and equipment specifications with licensed professionals before procurement.