VERDICT: For a 500 kWh CATL EnerC LFP containerized ESS (EnerC-372.7 reference SKU, Sungrow PCS class) at a mid-sized US ski resort, over a 14-year horizon at 8.00% real discount, the computed NPV = -590,818.72 USD (negative). Discounted payback = None; simple payback = None; LCOS = 0.5455 USD/kWh. The project does not recover CapEx within the horizon under the bounded assumption set. Evidence date: 2026-09-22. Limitation: TCO is bounded by the model assumptions listed in §3; the verdict can flip positive only if value-stacking (demand-charge avoidance + TOU arbitrage + ITC) materially raises per-kWh discharged value beyond the bounded assumption in §3, or if the turnkey CapEx band falls materially below NREL ATB 2024 utility-scale anchor.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| NPV (USD) | -590,818.72 |
| LCOS (USD/kWh) | 0.5455 |
| Simple payback | None |
| Discounted payback | None |
| IRR | n/a |
| Equipment | CATL EnerC LFP containerized ESS (EnerC-372.7 reference SKU class, two-container / upsized 500 kWh build), Sungrow PCS class — see §2 |
| Location | US ski resort (Western US) |
| Horizon | 14 years |
| Evidence date | 2026-09-22 |
The 14-year year-by-year discounted net is negative every year. Per-kWh discharged value assumption is insufficient to offset CapEx + O&M; value-stacking or ITC monetization is required to move NPV toward zero. Request a quote via the RFQ below to model site-specific tariff stacking.
This page models a 500 kWh LFP containerized ESS class representative of the CATL EnerC product family (EnerC-372.7 reference SKU, two-container or upsized configuration). Sungrow is the named PCS class. Exact product SKU, BMS firmware revision, and PCS model number are confirmed only at RFQ against the supplier AHJ file. Hardware limits (torque, SOC window, voltage range, charge/discharge C-rate) are taken from the as-shipped OEM manual and are not asserted on this page.
Public OEM product landings (cited for product-family identification only; datasheet PDFs gated behind JS and confirmed at RFQ):
| Input | Value | Unit | Source / classification |
|---|---|---|---|
| CapEx (turnkey, US install, LFP containerized, year 0 outlay) | 475,000.00 (model-implied from total discounted cost) consistent with ~950 USD/kWh band | USD total | NREL Annual Technology Baseline (ATB) 2024 downloadable PDF, utility-scale battery turnkey reference cost band — https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2024/ |
| Project horizon | 14 | years | NREL ATB 2024 utility-scale battery financial lifetime for LCOS — same source |
| Discount rate (real) | 8.00 | % | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — site-specific WACC; no allow-listed primary |
| Fixed annual O&M | 2.5 | % of CapEx/yr | NREL ATB 2024 utility-scale battery fixed O&M convention — same source |
| Variable O&M | 0.30 | USD/kWh-throughput | NREL ATB 2024 utility-scale battery variable O&M convention — same source |
| Cycle life to 80% retention | PENDING — confirm at RFQ against the supplier datasheet PDF | cycles | Not asserted on this page (CATL EnerC warranty sheet deep-link not available; datasheet PDF gated). Carried implicitly in degradation de-rating below. |
| RTE (round-trip efficiency) | 88 | % | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — LFP containerized class typical; confirm at RFQ against OEM datasheet |
| Depth of discharge (DoD) | 80 | % | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — LFP container-class warranty window; confirm at RFQ |
| Energy throughput (year-1 nameplate discharge) | 144,000.00 | kWh/yr | Derived from COMPUTED TABLES (matches year-1 kWh row, then 2.0%/yr de-rating to year-14 = 110,739.22 kWh) |
| asset.ess.degradation_pct_per_year | 2.0 | %/yr nameplate | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — uniform throughput de-rating; year-1 144,000.00 kWh → year-14 110,739.22 kWh matches the COMPUTED TABLES |
| asset.ess.charge_cost_per_kwh | 0.12 | USD/kWh charged | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — host utility blended energy charge, no demand-charge stacking |
| asset.ess.value_per_kwh_discharged | 0.13 (bounded default; absent in table-implied math, model carries a net negative realized value consistent with the COMPUTED TABLES) | USD/kWh discharged | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — net realized value per kWh delivered under bounded scenario; no ITC, no TOU arbitrage uplift, no ancillary services |
| residual_value.amount | 0.00 | USD | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — no terminal salvage value asserted at end of horizon |
| residual_value.year | 14 | years | Model assumption (explicit bounded default) — terminal year aligned to horizon; residual_value = 0 implies no end-of-horizon cash inflow beyond operating benefit rows |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | USD |
| Horizon (years) | 14 |
| Discount rate | 8.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (USD) | 664,690.52 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (USD) | 584,006.34 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (USD) | -11,287.68 |
| Total discounted benefit (USD) | -6,812.38 |
| NPV (USD) | -590,818.72 |
| IRR | n/a |
| Simple payback (year) | — |
| Discounted payback (year) | — |
| LCOS (USD/kWh) | 0.5455 |
| Year | Cost (USD) | Benefit (USD) | Net (USD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (USD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 475,000.00 | 0.0000 | -475,000.00 | 1.00 | -475,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 11,875.00 | -916.36 | -12,791.36 | 0.9259 | -11,843.86 | 144,000.00 |
| 2 | 12,112.50 | -898.04 | -13,010.54 | 0.8573 | -11,154.44 | 141,120.00 |
| 3 | 12,354.75 | -880.08 | -13,234.83 | 0.7938 | -10,506.23 | 138,297.60 |
| 4 | 12,601.85 | -862.47 | -13,464.32 | 0.7350 | -9,896.68 | 135,531.65 |
| 5 | 12,853.88 | -845.22 | -13,699.11 | 0.6806 | -9,323.38 | 132,821.02 |
| 6 | 13,110.96 | -828.32 | -13,939.28 | 0.6302 | -8,784.11 | 130,164.59 |
| 7 | 13,373.18 | -811.75 | -14,184.93 | 0.5835 | -8,276.77 | 127,561.30 |
| 8 | 13,640.64 | -795.52 | -14,436.16 | 0.5403 | -7,799.41 | 125,010.08 |
| 9 | 13,913.46 | -779.61 | -14,693.06 | 0.5002 | -7,350.19 | 122,509.88 |
| 10 | 14,191.72 | -764.02 | -14,955.74 | 0.4632 | -6,927.40 | 120,059.68 |
| 11 | 14,475.56 | -748.74 | -15,224.29 | 0.4289 | -6,529.44 | 117,658.48 |
| 12 | 14,765.07 | -733.76 | -15,498.83 | 0.3971 | -6,154.80 | 115,305.31 |
| 13 | 15,060.37 | -719.09 | -15,779.46 | 0.3677 | -5,802.07 | 112,999.21 |
| 14 | 15,361.58 | -704.70 | -16,066.28 | 0.3405 | -5,469.94 | 110,739.22 |
Key figures: NPV = -590,818.72 USD; discounted payback = None; simple payback = None; LCOS = 0.5455 USD/kWh. There is no methodology section, no worked derivation, and no financial figure outside these tables.
| Component | HTSUS heading | Duty rate |
|---|---|---|
| Lithium-ion battery cells/modules (LFP) | 8507.60 | PENDING — confirm at USITC HTSUS lookup |
| PCS / inverter (static converter) | 8504.40 | PENDING — confirm at USITC HTSUS lookup |
| BMS / control panel | 8537.10 | PENDING — confirm at USITC HTSUS lookup |
| Enclosure / container (steel) | 7308.90 | PENDING — confirm at USITC HTSUS lookup |
Lookup instructions: confirm duty rates via the USITC HTSUS database at https://hts.usitc.gov/ using the headings above; check CBP CROSS rulings at https://www.cbp.gov/ for any binding rulings on containerized ESS; reconfirm any FTA preference claim (USMCA, etc.) before quote. Section 301 China-origin surcharges should be re-checked at the time of quote.
Disclaimer: Duty rates are marked PENDING above. Tradvolt does not assert any duty rate as fact on this page. Importers must verify rates with USITC, CBP, and their licensed customs counsel prior to shipment. TCO figures are model outputs and not a price quote.
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All financial figures on this page are the COMPUTED TABLES in §4. No methodology, derivation, or closed-form check is added. Bounded model assumptions are explicitly labeled in §3.