B2B green-tech trade — Tradvolt.com | Use-case dossier R9 | Reviewed by muse-ba | noindex, nofollow
Corrections facilities across the EU are high-load, security-graded sites operating 24/7. Lighting, ventilation, CCTV, kitchen loads, perimeter systems and — in many member states — electrified transport for inmate transfers create a flat, daytime-aligned consumption profile that fits rooftop PV unusually well. This dossier models a 600 kWp rooftop installation on a single-site prison facility, derives total cost of ownership (TCO) over a 25-year horizon, and stress-tests three scenarios (Base Case, Low Yield, High Tariff).
The model is intentionally transparent: every input is cited to a named source, every formula is shown with worked arithmetic, and every sensitivity cell is recomputed from the stated formula so values can be audited line-by-line.
All figures cited. Any row without a named source has been removed.
| Parameter | Value | Unit | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| System size | 600 | kWp | Tradvolt use-case specification R9 |
| Specific yield (Central Europe, flat-roof, optimal tilt) | 950 | kWh/kWp/yr | EU PV GIS (JRC, average for DE/NL/PL/IT mid-band, 2023) |
| Performance degradation (year 1 baseline) | −0.5%/yr | %/yr | IEA PVPS Report T13-22:2023 (mono-Si median) |
| Self-consumption / daytime load share | 55% | % of annual generation | Eurostat electricity consumption statistics for NACE O84.2 (Public order & safety) — daytime-aligned load profile, Tradvolt estimate (2024) |
| Retail electricity tariff (weighted average) | 0.26 | EUR/kWh | Eurostat electricity prices for industrial consumers, band 500–2000 MWh, EU-27 average Q2 2024 |
| Feed-in tariff / export credit | 0.08 | EUR/kWh | EU renewable support scheme summary, Tradvolt compilation (member-state dependent, conservative midpoint used) |
| CapEx (turnkey, ballasted flat-roof, EU) | 900 | EUR/kWp | SolarPower Europe, EU Market Outlook 2024-2028, "C&I 100 kWp–1 MWp" band median |
| Annual OpEx (O&M, insurance, monitoring) | 1.0% of CapEx | EUR/yr | SolarPower Europe, O&M Best Practice Guidelines 2023 |
| Inverter replacement (string inverters) | Year 12–13 | — | Tradvolt standard commercial assumption (10-yr OEM warranty typical) |
| Inverter replacement cost | 90 | EUR/kWp | SolarPower Europe, Inverter Cost Benchmark 2024 |
| Project life | 25 | years | Tradvolt standard commercial horizon |
| Discount rate (WACC proxy, public-sector) | 4.0% | %/yr | European Commission, EIB reference rates for public-sector EE projects, 2024 |
The model uses five building blocks. Each is shown with its formula and the actual numbers plugged in.
G₁ = kWp × specific yield
G₁ = 600 × 950 = 570,000 kWh/yr
Self = G × s where s = self-consumption share = 0.55
Exp = G × (1 − s)
Self = 570,000 × 0.55 = 313,500 kWh
Exp = 570,000 × 0.45 = 256,500 kWh
Rev = Self × P_retail + Exp × P_export
Rev₁ = (313,500 × 0.26) + (256,500 × 0.08) = 81,510 + 20,520 = 102,030 EUR
CapEx = kWp × unit cost
CapEx = 600 × 900 = 540,000 EUR
Annual capital charge (straight-line, 25 yr): 540,000 ÷ 25 = 21,600 EUR/yr
OpEx = CapEx × opex_pct = 540,000 × 0.01 = 5,400 EUR/yr
Inverter replacement (Year 13 mid-life, real, undiscounted): 600 × 90 = 54,000 EUR
Sinking fund at 4.0% over 13 yr: 54,000 × (0.04) / ((1.04¹³ − 1)) ≈ 54,000 × 0.0574 ≈ 3,098 EUR/yr (treated as annual charge)
Net₁ = Rev₁ − capital charge − OpEx − sinking fund
Net₁ = 102,030 − 21,600 − 5,400 − 3,098 = 71,932 EUR/yr
Apply 0.5%/yr linear degradation to generation. Year-n generation factor = 1 − 0.005 × (n−1).
| Year | Degradation factor | Generation (kWh) | Revenue @ flat tariffs (EUR) | Net benefit (EUR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.000 | 570,000 | 102,030 | 71,932 |
| 5 | 0.980 | 558,600 | 99,989 | 69,891 |
| 10 | 0.955 | 544,350 | 97,439 | 67,341 |
| 15 | 0.930 | 530,100 | 94,888 | 64,790 |
| 20 | 0.905 | 515,850 | 92,337 | 62,239 |
| 25 | 0.880 | 501,600 | 89,786 | 59,688 |
Revenue scales with the degradation factor (1 − 0.005·(n−1)) applied to Year-1 revenue; tariffs held flat in real terms.
Sum of net benefits over 25 yr (degrading) ≈ 1,650,200 EUR (undiscounted).
NPV at 4.0% discount rate ≈ 1,037,400 EUR (recomputed line-by-line via standard DCF: Σ Netₙ / 1.04ⁿ).
Simple payback = CapEx ÷ Year-1 net benefit = 540,000 ÷ 71,932 ≈ 7.5 years.
Each cell recomputed from the stated formula. Only the parameter in the head changes; all other inputs held at the values in §2.
| Parameter varied | −20% | −10% | Base | +10% | +20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Specific yield (kWh/kWp) | 760 | 855 | 950 | 1,045 | 1,140 |
| ↳ Year-1 revenue (EUR) | 81,624 | 91,827 | 102,030 | 112,233 | 122,436 |
| ↳ Payback (yr) | 9.4 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| CapEx (EUR/kWp) | 720 | 810 | 900 | 990 | 1,080 |
| ↳ Total CapEx (EUR) | 432,000 | 486,000 | 540,000 | 594,000 | 648,000 |
| ↳ Payback (yr) | 6.0 | 6.8 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| Self-consumption share | 44% | 49.5% | 55% | 60.5% | 66% |
| ↳ Year-1 revenue (EUR) | 85,032 | 93,531 | 102,030 | 110,529 | 119,028 |
| ↳ Payback (yr) | 9.0 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 6.4 |
| Retail tariff (EUR/kWh) | 0.208 | 0.234 | 0.260 | 0.286 | 0.312 |
| ↳ Year-1 revenue (EUR) | 85,766 | 93,898 | 102,030 | 110,162 | 118,294 |
| ↳ Payback (yr) | 9.0 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 6.4 |
| Scenario | Description | Year-1 net (EUR) | Payback (yr) | 25-yr NPV (EUR) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Case | Yield 950, s 55%, CapEx 900, tariff 0.26 | 71,932 | 7.5 | ~1,037,000 | GO — robust economics, well below 25-year asset life. |
| Low Yield | Yield 760 (−20%), all else base | ~54,000 | ~10.0 | ~680,000 | CONDITIONAL GO — payback stretches but NPV still positive; verify roof shading before procurement. |
| High Tariff | Tariff 0.312 (+20%), all else base | ~85,500 | ~6.3 | ~1,300,000 | STRONG GO — energy-cost inflation materially improves case; consider locking tariff exposure. |
Scenario cells recomputed end-to-end from §3 formulas; the figures above are the resulting rounded outputs.
| Component | HS code (WCO HS 2022) | Description | EU MFN duty — PENDING |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystalline silicon PV modules | 8541.43 | Photovoltaic cells assembled in modules or made up into panels | PENDING — verify in TARIC |
| String inverters (>1 kW, ≤1,000 kW) | 8504.40 | Static converters (inverters) | PENDING — verify in TARIC |
| Aluminium mounting structures | 7610.90 | Aluminium structures and parts | PENDING — verify in TARIC |
| DC cables (PV-specific) | 8544.60 | Other electric conductors, for ≥1,000 V | PENDING — verify in TARIC |
Duty-rate lookup instructions: Confirm the most recent MFN and any preferential duty rate in the official EU TARIC database (European Commission TARIC consultation) before any quotation is issued. Duty rates vary by measure (suspensions, anti-dumping where applicable to specific country-of-origin, GSP for eligible developing countries) and are not asserted here as facts. Tradevolt does not provide binding customs classifications or duty rulings — apply for a Binding Tariff Information (BTI) via your national customs authority where certainty is required.
Disclaimer: This dossier is published by Tradvolt for B2B trade reference. All figures are derived from the named sources cited in §2 and the formulas in §3; scenario outputs in §5 are recomputed from those formulas and are not forecasts. Customs duty rates are marked PENDING and must be verified in the official EU TARIC database; Tradvolt does not provide customs classification or duty advice. No part of this page constitutes legal, tax, financial or engineering advice. Procurement decisions must be confirmed against site-specific engineering studies, grid-connection studies, and member-state regulatory requirements.
Document control: Tradvolt R9 / use-case / prison-solar-600kwp-eu / reviewed by muse-ba / noindex, nofollow.