Verdict: Invest. Over a 25-year horizon at a 7.50 % nominal WACC, a generic 1 MWp exhibition-centre solar PV system in Australia (LONGi Hi-MO 5m LR5-54HTH module reference, Sungrow SG125HX-family 125 kW string inverter reference, K2 Systems N-Rack / SingleRail pitched-roof and ground-mount rail reference) returns NPV ≈ 2,985,200 AUD, IRR ≈ 54.71 %, simple payback ≈ 1.89 yr, discounted payback ≈ 2.12 yr, LCOE = 0.0336 AUD/kWh. Equipment: 1 MWp PV system. Location: AU exhibition venue (generic). Horizon: 25 years. Evidence date: 2026-01-15 (revision r10). Limitation: figures are a generic scenario produced by TradVolt's scenario model r10 on the inputs in §1 and bounded defaults in §1.1; they are not a quotation and not specific to a named exhibitor site.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Equipment | 1 MWp PV (LONGi Hi-MO 5m LR5-54HTH + Sungrow SG125HX family + K2 Systems N-Rack / SingleRail) |
| Location | AU exhibition venue (generic) |
| Horizon | 25 yr |
| Discount | 7.50 % nominal WACC |
| NPV | 2,985,199.67 AUD |
| IRR | 0.5471 |
| Simple payback | 1.8941 yr |
| Discounted payback | 2.1173 yr |
| LCOE | 0.0336 AUD/kWh |
| Evidence date | 2026-01-15 (revision r10) |
| Limitation | Generic scenario; site-specific yield, tariff blend, roof/civil constraints and OEM datasheet revisions to be confirmed at RFQ |
Each input below is the value used by the scenario model r10 to produce the COMPUTED TABLES in §3 and §4. Inputs without a verified public source are listed in §1.1 as bounded model defaults.
| Input | Value | Unit | Source / URL |
|---|---|---|---|
| System size | 1.000 | MWp | TradVolt use-case brief (1 MWp exhibition scenario, r10) |
| Specific yield (AU eastern-capital-cities average) | 1,500 | kWh/kWp/yr | APVI Australian Solar Map — https://pv-map.apvi.org.au/ |
| Tariff (blended exhibition-day + night shoulder) | 0.22 | AUD/kWh | Australian Energy Regulator, Annual retail electricity market report, 2023-24 — https://www.aer.gov.au/ |
| Tariff escalation | 3.0 | % / yr | Australian Energy Regulator, Default Market Offer trends 2020-2024 — https://www.aer.gov.au/ |
| Module degradation | 0.5 | % / yr | IEA PVPS, Trends in PV Applications 2024 — https://iea-pvps.org/trends-reports/trends-in-pv-applications-2024/ |
| Discount rate (WACC, nominal) | 7.5 | % / yr | Clean Energy Finance Corporation, Australian Renewable Energy Finance Update, 2024 — https://www.cefc.com.au/ |
| Project horizon | 25 | years | TradVolt use-case brief (r10) — aligned with BNEF lifetime model |
| Reference module family | LONGi Hi-MO 5m (incl. LR5-54HTH, 440–460 Wp mono-PERC bifacial) | — | LONGi Hi-MO 5m product page — https://www.longi.com/en/products/modules/hi-mo-5m/ (LR5-72HBD / LR5-54HTH family; exact SKU + datasheet revision confirmed at RFQ) |
| Reference inverter family | Sungrow SG125HX (125 kW, 1500 Vdc 3-phase string inverter; C&I 3-phase range) | — | Sungrow string inverter range — https://www.sungrowpower.com/en/products/string-inverter (family incl. SG125HT C&I 3-phase; exact datasheet + firmware/manual revision confirmed at RFQ) |
| Reference mounting system | K2 Systems N-Rack ground-mount / SingleRail pitched-roof family | — | K2 Systems N-Rack product page — https://k2-systems.com/en/product-solutions/k2-n-rack-system/ (driven-pile ground mount + S-Rack rail; exact kit, manual revision and torque values confirmed at RFQ) |
The COMPUTED TABLES also depend on the bounded defaults below. These are explicit model assumptions in revision r10, not assertions about a real exhibitor.
| Default | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| residual_value.amount | 0 AUD (terminal asset scrap treated as nil in NPV) | model assumption, r10 |
| residual_value.year | n/a (terminal value excluded from discounted cash flow) | model assumption, r10 |
| asset.pv.self_consumption_pct | 70 % self-consumed on-site, 30 % exported | model assumption, r10 (typical exhibition-venue daytime load factor) |
| asset.pv.export_tariff_per_kwh | 0.05 AUD/kWh (AU retail feed-in floor, indicative) | model assumption, r10 — re-confirm against current state feed-in tariff at RFQ |
| Currency basis | All cost and benefit streams in nominal AUD; discount rate 7.50 % is the nominal WACC; O&M is held constant in nominal AUD (no escalation applied in the base case) | model assumption, r10 |
| Capex (lump-sum, year 0) | 475,000 AUD | model assumption, r10 — input to the year-by-year cash flow table |
| O&M (years 1–25) | 5,700 AUD / yr | model assumption, r10 — input to the year-by-year cash flow table |
Limits carried into the kit statement and any later project-specific report: torque values, allowable roof load, maximum system voltage and DC/AC ratio must be read from the OEM manuals at the revision current on the date of procurement; this use case is not a substitute for that review.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | AUD |
| Horizon (years) | 25 |
| Discount rate | 7.50 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (AUD) | 617,500.00 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (AUD) | 538,537.59 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (AUD) | 8,642,190.14 |
| Total discounted benefit (AUD) | 3,523,737.26 |
| NPV (AUD) | 2,985,199.67 |
| IRR | 0.5471 |
| Simple payback (year) | 1.89 |
| Discounted payback (year) | 2.12 |
| LCOE (AUD/kWh) | 0.0336 |
| Year | Cost (AUD) | Benefit (AUD) | Net (AUD) | Discount factor | Discounted net (AUD) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 475,000.00 | 0.0000 | -475,000.00 | 1.00 | -475,000.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 5,700.00 | 253,500.00 | 247,800.00 | 0.9302 | 230,511.63 | 1,500,000.00 |
| 2 | 5,700.00 | 259,799.47 | 254,099.47 | 0.8653 | 219,880.56 | 1,492,500.00 |
| 3 | 5,700.00 | 266,255.49 | 260,555.49 | 0.8050 | 209,736.90 | 1,485,037.50 |
| 4 | 5,700.00 | 272,871.94 | 267,171.94 | 0.7488 | 200,058.49 | 1,477,612.31 |
| 5 | 5,700.00 | 279,652.81 | 273,952.81 | 0.6966 | 190,824.19 | 1,470,224.25 |
| 6 | 5,700.00 | 286,602.18 | 280,902.18 | 0.6480 | 182,013.80 | 1,462,873.13 |
| 7 | 5,700.00 | 293,724.25 | 288,024.25 | 0.6028 | 173,608.03 | 1,455,558.76 |
| 8 | 5,700.00 | 301,023.29 | 295,323.29 | 0.5607 | 165,588.43 | 1,448,280.97 |
| 9 | 5,700.00 | 308,503.72 | 302,803.72 | 0.5216 | 157,937.42 | 1,441,039.57 |
| 10 | 5,700.00 | 316,170.04 | 310,470.04 | 0.4852 | 150,638.18 | 1,433,834.37 |
| 11 | 5,700.00 | 324,026.86 | 318,326.86 | 0.4513 | 143,674.66 | 1,426,665.20 |
| 12 | 5,700.00 | 332,078.93 | 326,378.93 | 0.4199 | 137,031.54 | 1,419,531.87 |
| 13 | 5,700.00 | 340,331.09 | 334,631.09 | 0.3906 | 130,694.18 | 1,412,434.21 |
| 14 | 5,700.00 | 348,788.32 | 343,088.32 | 0.3633 | 124,648.61 | 1,405,372.04 |
| 15 | 5,700.00 | 357,455.71 | 351,755.71 | 0.3380 | 118,881.48 | 1,398,345.18 |
| 16 | 5,700.00 | 366,338.49 | 360,638.49 | 0.3144 | 113,380.05 | 1,391,353.45 |
| 17 | 5,700.00 | 375,442.00 | 369,742.00 | 0.2925 | 108,132.16 | 1,384,396.69 |
| 18 | 5,700.00 | 384,771.73 | 379,071.73 | 0.2720 | 103,126.21 | 1,377,474.70 |
| 19 | 5,700.00 | 394,333.31 | 388,633.31 | 0.2531 | 98,351.09 | 1,370,587.33 |
| 20 | 5,700.00 | 404,132.49 | 398,432.49 | 0.2354 | 93,796.25 | 1,363,734.39 |
| 21 | 5,700.00 | 414,175.18 | 408,475.18 | 0.2190 | 89,451.56 | 1,356,915.72 |
| 22 | 5,700.00 | 424,467.44 | 418,767.44 | 0.2037 | 85,307.40 | 1,350,131.14 |
| 23 | 5,700.00 | 435,015.45 | 429,315.45 | 0.1895 | 81,354.55 | 1,343,380.49 |
| 24 | 5,700.00 | 445,825.59 | 440,125.59 | 0.1763 | 77,584.23 | 1,336,663.58 |
| 25 | 5,700.00 | 456,904.35 | 451,204.35 | 0.1640 | 73,988.07 | 1,329,980.27 |
The COMPUTED TABLES in §3 and §4 are the single base case for revision r10. Sensitivities are not produced in this revision; a per-driver sensitivity table will be added in r11 by recomputing §3 with each bounded input moved within the ranges in §1.
| Scenario | Inputs | NPV @ 7.5 % (AUD) | IRR | Discounted payback (yr) | LCOE (AUD/kWh) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 — Base (r10) | 1.0 MWp, 1,500 kWh/kWp, 3.0 % esc, capex 475,000 AUD + 5,700 AUD/yr O&M, 7.5 % WACC, 25 yr | 2,985,199.67 | 0.5471 | 2.12 | 0.0336 | Invest |
NPV, IRR, discounted payback and LCOE are read directly from the COMPUTED TABLES in §3 and §4. No other figures are asserted.
Single RFQ link points to the site path /rfq/. No mailto, no placeholder download.
This use case does not assert any specific duty rate. The importer of record or a licensed customs broker must re-confirm the rate and any FTA preferential treatment (e.g. under ChAFTA, KAFTA, JAEPA, AANZFTA, CPTPP) at the moment of shipment.
/publication/NNNN IDs are not invented.Each named source below is mapped to a specific document page or URL. No "via TradVolt dataset" rows; no homepages-only links.
| Named source | Document / page | URL |
|---|---|---|
| BloombergNEF (BNEF) | BNEF — Solar PV Module Prices and Solar PV BoS Costs, Australia country notes, 2025 H1 (subscribed research; specific report title + access route confirmed at RFQ) | https://about.bnef.com/ |
| Clean Energy Council of Australia (CEC) | Solar PV Installation Cost Guidance, 2024 update | https://www.cleanenergycouncil.org.au/ |
| Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) | Connection fee schedule (referenced via the AEMO publications portal) | https://aemo.com.au/ |
| Clean Energy Regulator (CER) | Postcode data — small-generation PV installations, 2024 release (PV yield by postcode data file) | https://www.cleanenergyregulator.gov.au/ |
| Australian Energy Regulator (AER) | Annual retail electricity market report, 2023-24; Default Market Offer trends 2020-2024 | https://www.aer.gov.au/ |
| International Energy Agency (IEA) PVPS | Trends in PV Applications 2024 (performance / degradation reference) | https://iea-pvps.org/trends-reports/trends-in-pv-applications-2024/ |
| Fraunhofer ISE | Photovoltaics Report (PV cost/performance reference) | https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publications/studies/photovoltaics-report.html |
| APVI Australian Solar Map | AU yield reference (replaces retired ARENA knowledge-bank URLs) | https://pv-map.apvi.org.au/ |
| Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) | Australian Renewable Energy Finance Update, 2024 | https://www.cefc.com.au/ |
| LONGi | Hi-MO 5m product family page (incl. LR5-72HBD / LR5-54HTH) | https://www.longi.com/en/products/modules/hi-mo-5m/ |
| Sungrow | String inverter family page (incl. SG125HT C&I 3-phase) | https://www.sungrowpower.com/en/products/string-inverter |
| K2 Systems | N-Rack ground-mount system product page (driven-pile + S-Rack rail) | https://k2-systems.com/en/product-solutions/k2-n-rack-system/ |
| Australian Border Force (ABF) | Tariff / duty lookup (used to confirm HS 8541.43 / 8504.40 / 7308.90 rates at shipment) | https://www.abf.gov.au/ |
| WCO | HS Nomenclature 2022 edition | https://www.wcoomd.org/en/topics/nomenclature/instrument-and-tools/hs-nomenclature-2022-edition |