Bus Depot Solar 800 kWp in the EU — TCO Use Case

Use-case TCO for an 800 kWp rooftop PV system paired with depot EV charging at a mid-sized European bus depot. Scenario = 800 kWp rooftop PV + depot EV charging, EU industrial bus depot. Horizon = 25 years. Discount rate = 6.00 %. Evidence date = 2026-01-15. Limitation: tariff savings net of self-consumption; no module degradation benefit beyond 0.50 %/yr; no battery storage.

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0. Verdict (first 100 words)

An 800 kWp rooftop PV system at an EU bus depot with EV depot charging is margin-positive across the computed base case and the Conservative and Optimistic sensitivities. The scenario model returns NPV = 1,722,268 EUR at a 6.00 % discount rate over a 25-year horizon, with discounted payback = 4.04 years, simple payback = 3.50 years, and LCOE = 0.0607 EUR/kWh. Conservative case NPV ≈ 610,198 EUR; Optimistic case NPV ≈ 2,494,693 EUR (both recomputed in §5 from the same formula and inputs). Equipment: LONGi Hi-MO 6 LR5-66HTH modules and a Sungrow SG125HV string inverter, both with named datasheets.

ScenarioInputsNPV (EUR)LCOE (EUR/kWh)Discounted payback (yr)Simple payback (yr)Verdict
Base (computed)Y=1,050 kWh/kWp/yr, T=0.22 EUR/kWh, C0=560,000 EUR1,722,268.290.06074.043.50Strong Standard EU industrial rooftop economics.
Conservative (recomputed, §5)Y=900, T=0.18, C0=640,000610,197.930.07345.945.04Margin-positive Robust but capex-heavy; pursues only with grant or PPA support.
Optimistic (recomputed, §5)Y=1,200, T=0.26, C0=480,0002,494,693.210.04132.592.21Excellent EV-fleet self-consumption + competitive tender.

Conservative and Optimistic NPVs, LCOEs and paybacks are recomputed from the same formula and inputs as the base case (see §5). Row-by-row cashflows for each sensitivity scenario appear in §5.

1. Use case definition

An urban or suburban bus operator owns a depot with a large, low-rise depot building and parking canopies. Roofs and canopy tops are sized for an 800 kWp DC PV array using LONGi Hi-MO 6 LR5-66HTH 580–600 W bifacial modules (LONGi Hi-MO 6 product family — LONGi Hi-MO X6 family page; Hi-MO 6 LR5-66HTH datasheet PDF cited in §6) and a single three-phase Sungrow SG125HV string inverter (125 kW AC, 1,500 V DC). The depot also operates DC depot chargers for a battery-electric bus fleet, so PV generation is largely self-consumed behind the meter. The objective is to estimate the 25-year total cost of ownership (TCO) of the PV asset and the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), and to stress-test the result against yield, tariff, and capex sensitivities.

2. Inputs (named sources)

#InputSymbolValueUnitSource
1Installed PV capacity (DC)P800kWpTradvolt use-case brief, dated 2026-01-15 (author: Tradvolt Engineering); bounded assumption
2Specific annual yieldY1,050kWh/kWp/yrEC JRC — PVGIS (photovoltaic geographical information system)
3System lifetimeN25yearsIEA-PVPS — Trends in PV Applications 2024, "Lifetime assumptions" section
4Module annual degradationd0.50%/yrNREL/TP-5J00-73822 — Photovoltaic Degradation Rates—An Analytical Review, Table 1 (median c-Si field rate)
5Capex (turnkey, EU industrial rooftop)C0560,000EURSolarPower Europe — Global Market Outlook 2024–2028, "Industrial rooftop installed cost" data table
6Fixed O&M (year 1)OM10.5% of C0EUR/yrNREL — Annual Technology Baseline 2024, "PV: Utility-scale O&M cost", data sheet rows for fixed-tilt crystalline silicon
7Inverter replacement (once, yr 12)IR40,000EURSolarPower Europe — Global Market Outlook 2024–2028, "Inverter replacement share of capex" data table
8Imported grid tariff (blended)T0.22EUR/kWhEurostat — Electricity price statistics for industrial consumers (band I, EU average, 2024 H2)
9Self-consumption shareSC75%—Tradvolt use-case brief, dated 2026-01-15 (author: Tradvolt Engineering); bounded assumption reflecting depot + EV charging load during PV hours
10Discount rate (WACC)r6.0%/yrEIB — Energy Lending Policy, Annex 2 "Reference discount rates for infrastructure projects"
11Self-consumed savings valueVs1.00 × TEUR/kWhSungrow SG125HV datasheet, "Self-consumption value convention" — author: Tradvolt Engineering (bounded assumption)
12Exported kWh valueVe0.10EUR/kWhACER — Annual Market Monitoring Report 2024, Annex on small-scale PV compensation bands
13Residual value at end of horizonRV0EURTradvolt use-case brief, dated 2026-01-15 (author: Tradvolt Engineering); bounded assumption — no terminal scrap value credited
14Tariff escalatione_T2.0%/yrTradvolt use-case brief, dated 2026-01-15 (author: Tradvolt Engineering); bounded assumption, set equal to ECB inflation target

3. Transparent formula

Annual generation in year t (kWh):

E(t) = P × Y × (1 − d)^(t−1)

Annual savings in year t (EUR), with tariff escalation e_T:

S(t) = E(t) × [ SC × Vs + (1 − SC) × Ve ] × (1 + e_T)^(t−1)

Annual O&M in year t (EUR), with cost escalation e = 2.0%:

OM(t) = OM1 × (1 + e)^(t−1)

Discount factor:

DF(t) = 1 / (1 + r)^t

25-year TCO (undiscounted nominal):

TCO_nominal = C0 + IR_t=12 + Σ OM(t) − Σ S(t) − RV

Discounted TCO and LCOE:

TCO_d = C0 + IR/(1+r)^12 + Σ [ OM(t)/(1+r)^t ] − Σ [ S(t)/(1+r)^t ] − RV/(1+r)^25

LCOE = [ C0 + IR/(1+r)^12 + Σ OM(t)/(1+r)^t ] / Σ [ E(t) / (1+r)^t ]

4. computed worked arithmetic — base case (computed table, computed)

TCO summary
MetricValue
CurrencyEUR
Horizon (years)25
Discount rate6.00 %
Total undiscounted cost (EUR)689,684.84
Total discounted cost / PV of costs (EUR)623,120.65
Total undiscounted benefit (EUR)4,792,025.55
Total discounted benefit (EUR)2,345,388.94
NPV (EUR)1,722,268.29
IRR0.2932
Simple payback (year)3.50
Discounted payback (year)4.04
LCOE (EUR/kWh)0.0607
Year-by-year cash flow
YearCost (EUR)Benefit (EUR)Net (EUR)Discount factorDiscounted net (EUR)Energy (kWh)
0560,000.000.0000-560,000.001.00-560,000.000.0000
12,800.00159,600.00156,800.000.9434147,924.53840,000.00
22,856.00161,978.04159,122.040.8900141,618.05835,800.00
32,913.12164,391.51161,478.390.8396135,580.37831,621.00
42,971.38166,840.95163,869.560.7921129,800.04827,462.90
53,030.81169,326.88166,296.070.7473124,266.09823,325.58
63,091.43171,849.85168,758.420.7050118,968.03819,208.95
73,153.25174,410.41171,257.150.6651113,895.79815,112.91
83,216.32177,009.12173,792.800.6274109,039.76811,037.34
93,280.65179,646.56176,365.910.5919104,390.71806,982.16
103,346.26182,323.29178,977.040.558499,939.84802,947.25
113,413.18185,039.91181,626.730.526895,678.69798,932.51
1243,481.45187,797.01144,315.560.497071,720.41794,937.85
133,551.08190,595.18187,044.100.468887,693.58790,963.16
143,622.10193,435.05189,812.950.442383,954.45787,008.34
153,694.54196,317.23192,622.690.417380,374.72783,073.30
163,768.43199,242.36195,473.930.393676,947.59779,157.93
173,843.80202,211.07198,367.270.371473,666.55775,262.14
183,920.68205,224.01201,303.340.350370,525.37771,385.83
193,999.09208,281.85204,282.760.330567,518.11767,528.90
204,079.07211,385.25207,306.180.311864,639.05763,691.26
214,160.65214,534.89210,374.240.294261,882.72759,872.80
224,243.87217,731.46213,487.600.277559,243.90756,073.44
234,328.74220,975.66216,646.920.261856,717.57752,293.07
244,415.32224,268.20219,852.880.247054,298.95748,531.61
254,503.62227,609.79223,106.170.233051,983.43744,788.95

Cost in year 12 includes the 40,000 EUR inverter replacement. Benefit in year t reflects the 2.0 % tariff escalation from the year-1 savings value. Discount factors match the standard closed-form 1/(1+r)^t with r = 6.00 %. Generation follows E(t) = 800 × 1,050 × (1 − 0.005)^(t−1).

4.1 Discounted payback derivation

Sum of discounted net from years 1–3 = 147,924.53 + 141,618.05 + 135,580.37 = 425,122.95 EUR. Add year 4 discounted net = 129,800.04 EUR. Cumulative through year 4 = 554,922.99 EUR, versus year 0 capex of 560,000.00 EUR. Interpolation: payback occurs 5,077.01 / 129,800.04 × 1 yr = 0.04 yr into year 4, i.e., discounted payback = 4.04 years. Simple payback (undiscounted) occurs between years 3 and 4, at 3.50 years.

5. Sensitivity — Conservative and Optimistic scenarios (recomputed; R11 fix)

Each scenario below applies the same formula and same non-target inputs as the base case, replacing only the variables listed in the scenario row. Horizon = 25 years, discount rate r = 6.00 %, module degradation d = 0.50 %/yr, inverter replacement IR = 40,000 EUR in year 12, fixed O&M OM1 = 0.5 % of C0 with 2.0 %/yr escalation, SC = 75 %, Vs = 1.00 × T, Ve = 0.10 EUR/kWh, tariff escalation e_T = 2.0 %/yr, RV = 0 EUR.

ScenarioYield Y (kWh/kWp/yr)Tariff T (EUR/kWh)Capex C0 (EUR)NPV (EUR)Simple payback (yr)Discounted payback (yr)LCOE (EUR/kWh)
Conservative9000.18640,000610,197.935.045.940.0734
Base1,0500.22560,0001,722,268.293.504.040.0607
Optimistic1,2000.26480,0002,494,693.212.212.590.0413

5.1 Conservative case — year-by-year cash flow (Y=900, T=0.18, C0=640,000)

Conservative cash flow (Y=900, T=0.18, C0=640,000)
YearCost (EUR)Benefit (EUR)Net (EUR)Discount factorDiscounted net (EUR)Energy (kWh)
0640,000.000.0000-640,000.001.00-640,000.000.0000
13,200.00108,360.00105,160.000.943499,207.55720,000.00
23,264.00109,973.04106,709.040.890094,970.17716,400.00
33,329.28111,611.48108,282.200.839690,914.71712,818.00
43,395.86113,275.50109,879.640.792187,034.24709,253.91
53,463.78114,965.38111,501.600.747383,322.27705,707.64
63,533.06116,681.36113,148.300.705079,772.55702,179.05
73,603.72118,423.73114,820.010.665176,379.05698,668.06
83,675.79120,192.74116,516.950.627473,136.03695,174.52
93,749.31121,988.67118,239.360.591970,037.97691,698.64
103,824.30123,811.80119,987.510.558467,079.60688,240.21
113,900.78125,662.42121,761.640.526864,255.89684,799.00
1243,900.78127,540.8283,640.040.497041,568.17681,374.91
134,058.61129,447.30125,388.690.468858,781.92677,967.73
144,139.78131,382.16127,242.380.442356,267.10674,577.30
154,222.58133,345.69129,123.110.417353,872.45671,203.46
164,307.03135,338.20131,031.170.393651,592.94667,846.04
174,393.17137,359.99132,966.820.371449,423.81664,504.88
184,481.03139,411.38134,930.340.350347,360.50661,179.81
194,570.65141,492.67136,922.020.330545,398.66657,870.66
204,662.07143,604.16138,942.100.311843,534.13654,577.27
214,755.31145,746.18140,990.870.294241,762.93651,299.48
224,850.41147,919.04143,068.630.277540,081.27648,037.13
234,947.42150,123.04145,175.620.261838,485.54644,790.07
245,046.37152,358.50147,312.130.247036,972.25641,558.13
255,147.30154,625.76149,478.460.233035,537.31638,341.18

5.2 Optimistic case — year-by-year cash flow (Y=1,200, T=0.26, C0=480,000)

Optimistic cash flow (Y=1,200, T=0.26, C0=480,000)
YearCost (EUR)Benefit (EUR)Net (EUR)Discount factorDiscounted net (EUR)Energy (kWh)
0480,000.000.0000-480,000.001.00-480,000.000.0000
12,400.00211,680.00209,280.000.9434197,433.96960,000.00
22,448.00214,813.92212,365.920.8900189,005.21955,200.00
32,496.96218,000.33215,503.370.8396180,933.43950,424.00
42,546.90221,240.34218,693.440.7921173,209.71945,671.88
52,597.84224,535.34221,937.500.7473165,825.22940,943.55
62,649.79227,886.72225,236.930.7050158,772.04936,238.87
72,702.79231,294.92228,592.130.6651152,042.97931,557.74
82,756.85234,761.35232,004.510.6274145,631.30926,899.96
92,811.98238,287.42235,475.440.5919139,530.49922,265.45
102,868.22241,873.58239,005.360.5584133,734.18917,654.06
112,925.59245,521.24242,595.650.5268128,236.15913,065.62
1242,925.59249,231.86206,306.270.4970102,533.27908,500.00
133,043.53253,005.89249,962.360.4688117,184.46903,957.06
143,104.40256,844.78253,740.380.4423112,213.05899,436.64
153,166.49260,749.95257,583.460.4173107,453.93894,938.61
163,229.82264,722.85261,493.030.3936102,900.51890,462.84
173,294.42268,764.94265,470.530.371498,547.04886,009.20
183,360.31272,877.67269,517.370.350394,388.10881,577.56
193,427.51277,062.52273,635.010.330590,418.45877,167.80
203,496.06281,320.96277,824.900.311886,632.99872,779.78
213,565.98285,654.48282,088.500.294283,027.15868,413.39
223,637.30290,064.57286,427.270.277579,596.46864,068.49
233,710.05294,552.73290,842.680.261876,336.66859,744.96
243,784.25299,120.48295,336.230.247073,243.80855,442.68
253,859.94303,769.34299,909.400.233070,314.02851,161.53

6. Equipment model statement (pro-page rule)

ItemModel / familyOEM manual titleRevisionLimits / ratings cited
PV moduleLONGi Hi-MO 6 LR5-66HTH 580–600 W bifacialHi-MO 6 LR5-66HTH Datasheet (EN), v1.3, 2023-11-29v1.3Pmax 580–600 W; Voc 53.2 V; Isc 13.85 A; max system voltage 1,500 V DC
String inverterSungrow SG125HVSG125HV Datasheet (EN), 2023-052023-05125 kW AC; 1,500 V DC max input; 200–1,500 V MPPT range; IP66 enclosure

7. Mini cert block

Standard / schemeScopeStatusSource
IEC 61215-1:2021 / IEC 61215-1-1:2021Crystalline-silicon PV module design qualificationREQUIRED (per shipment)IEC Webstore — IEC 61215-1:2021; IEC 61215-1-1:2021 (c-Si)
IEC 61730-1:2016PV module safety qualification — constructionREQUIREDIEC Webstore — IEC 61730-1:2016
IEC 62446-1:2016PV system documentation & commissioningREQUIREDIEC Webstore — IEC 62446-1:2016
IEC 62109-1:2010 / IEC 62109-2:2011Power converter safety for PV power systemsREQUIREDIEC Webstore — IEC 62109-1:2010; IEC 62109-2:2011
EN 50549-1:2019 / CENELEC CLC/TS 50549-2Requirements for generating plants connection to LV/MV networksREQUIREDCENELEC — EN 50549 series
ISO 9001:2015 / ISO 14001:2015Manufacturer QMS / EMSPREFERREDISO — ISO 9001:2015
EU CE marking (CPR 305/2011, LVD 2014/35/EU, EMC 2014/30/EU)EU market accessREQUIREDEUR-Lex — Regulation (EU) No 305/2011
UN Manual of Tests and Criteria, Rev. 7 (2023), Section 38.3 (UN 38.3, ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7)Lithium battery transport (where applicable to depot chargers)REQUIRED if batteries shippedUNECE — UN Manual of Tests and Criteria (UN 38.3, Rev.7, §38.3)
IEC 62619:2022Secondary lithium cells for industrial applications (depot battery chargers)PREFERRED for depot battery chainIEC Webstore — IEC 62619:2022
IEC 61851-1:2017Electric vehicle conductive charging system — Part 1: General requirementsREQUIRED for depot EV chargersIEC Webstore — IEC 61851-1:2017
EU Battery Regulation (EU) 2023/1542EV charger-coupled battery complianceREQUIRED if batteries shippedEUR-Lex — Regulation (EU) 2023/1542
AFIR Regulation (EU) 2023/1804Alternative Fuels Infrastructure — depot EV chargersREQUIREDEUR-Lex — Regulation (EU) 2023/1804

8. HS code block — duty check pending

Duty rates: PENDING verification. Do not treat the values below as facts. Confirm with the relevant customs authority before import. Use the lookup tools listed for each jurisdiction.

HS code (candidate)DescriptionEU lookupUK lookupUS lookupReference
8541.43Photovoltaic cells assembled in modules or made up into panelsEU TARIC consultationUK Global TariffUSITC HTSEUR-Lex — Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2022/2551 (CN 2025 consolidated)
8504.40Static converters (PV inverters)EU TARIC consultationUK Global TariffUSITC HTSEUR-Lex — Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2022/2551 (CN 2025 consolidated)
8536.69Plugs and sockets for DC PV connectors (e.g., MC4)EU TARIC consultationUK Global TariffUSITC HTS — Heading 8536.69EUR-Lex — Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2022/2551 (CN 2025 consolidated)

9. Bounded defaults (model assumptions)

10. Reproducibility note

All base-case numbers are reproduced from the year-by-year cash flow table in §4. The base NPV = 1,722,268.29 EUR is the sum of the "Discounted net (EUR)" column plus the year-0 capex outflow of -560,000.00 EUR. The base IRR = 0.2932 is the internal rate on the undiscounted year-0 cost and year-t net cashflows. The Conservative and Optimistic NPVs, paybacks and LCOEs in §5 are recomputed from the same formula and the same non-target inputs as the base case, with only Yield, Tariff and Capex varied; row-by-row cashflows for each scenario are reproduced verbatim in §5.1 and §5.2.