Verdict (base case): NPV = 2,108,409 EUR, simple payback ≈ 2.22 yr, discounted payback ≈ 2.45 yr, LCOE = 0.0469 EUR/kWh, IRR ≈ 45.76% — clearly investable. Equipment: 800 kWp monocrystalline rooftop PV at an EU hotel, no battery storage. Horizon: 25 years, discount rate 6.00% (real, after tax). Evidence-date of scenario model: 2026-01-15. Limitation: benchmark hotel in central/southern EU at 1,050 kWh/kWp/yr; site-specific yield, self-consumption ratio, DSO grid-reinforcement cost, and current anti-dumping scope on Chinese modules must be re-quoted locally.
| Decision metric | Value |
|---|---|
| NPV (EUR) | 2,108,409.50 |
| IRR | 0.4576 |
| Simple payback (yr) | 2.22 |
| Discounted payback (yr) | 2.45 |
| LCOE (EUR/kWh) | 0.0469 |
| Total undiscounted cost (EUR) | 564,346.17 |
| PV of costs (EUR) | 481,371.32 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (EUR) | 5,214,494.86 |
| PV of benefits (EUR) | 2,589,780.81 |
| Investable across tested scenarios? | Yes — NPV stays positive under qualifying tested stresses (see §7). |
Audience: B2B procurement / engineering at EU hotel groups evaluating utility-scale rooftop PV. Scope: a single 800 kWp DC rooftop array with no battery storage. Numbers below are conservative and traceable to specific, named sources cited inline.
| Parameter | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Site type | Urban / suburban EU hotel, flat or low-slope roof | Use-case definition (TradVolt) |
| Installed DC capacity | 800 kWp | Use-case definition (TradVolt) |
| Module technology assumed | Mono-c-Si (monocrystalline silicon) | Fraunhofer ISE — Photovoltaics Report (PDF) (mono-c-Si module-shipment share >95%) |
| Mounting | Ballasted / mechanically fixed flat-roof system | K2 Systems CrossRail System product page (kit family picked at RFQ) |
| Self-consumption (daytime hotel load) | ~70% of generation absorbed on-site | SolarPower Europe — Global Market Outlook for Solar Power 2024-2028, C&I self-consumption band — model assumption grounded in that report |
| Grid electricity price (baseline) | €0.28 / kWh (commercial tariff, EU average 2024) | Eurostat Data Browser — electricity prices for non-household consumers (nrg_pc_204) |
| Line item | Value | Unit | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Specific yield | 1,050 | kWh / kWp / yr | EC JRC PVGIS — SARAH2 (canonical page) — central/southern EU multi-city average |
| Module cost (CAPEX) | 0.18 | € / Wp | Fraunhofer ISE — Photovoltaics Report (PDF, cost chapter) |
| Inverter cost (CAPEX) | 0.05 | € / Wp | Fraunhofer ISE — Photovoltaics Report (PDF, cost chapter) |
| Mounting & BoS (CAPEX) | 0.12 | € / Wp | SolarPower Europe — Global Market Outlook for Solar Power 2024-2028 |
| Grid connection & soft costs | 0.13 | € / Wp | SolarPower Europe — Global Market Outlook for Solar Power 2024-2028 |
| Project contingency | 5% | % of hard CAPEX | Fraunhofer ISE — Photovoltaics Report (PDF, cost roadmap chapter) |
| Annual O&M | 1.0% | % of total CAPEX / yr | NREL — O&M Cost Benchmarks for Commercial PV (FY23, PDF) |
| Insurance | 0.25% | % of total CAPEX / yr | Fraunhofer ISE — Photovoltaics Report (PDF, cost roadmap chapter) |
| Inverter replacement reserve | 0.04 | € / Wp (one-off, year 12) | Fraunhofer ISE — Photovoltaics Report (PDF, cost roadmap chapter) |
| Module degradation | 0.5% | linear annual degradation | VDMA — International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic (ITRPV) 2023 results |
| Discount rate (WACC) | 6.0% | real, after tax | TradVolt bounded assumption for EU commercial hospitality |
| Analysis horizon | 25 | years | TradVolt convention aligned with EU FiT / PPA tenor norms |
Model assumptions (bounded defaults used by the scenario model; not externally sourced):
Indicative BOM (final BoS selected at RFQ):
Applicable standards (cite designation + edition in text; document anchors below):
Final certificate set must match the selected module and inverter model lines; the list above is anchored to the BoM at the top of this section rather than to a generic "typical minimum".
Hard capex per watt = Modules + Inverters + Mounting/BoS + Grid/Soft = 0.18 + 0.05 + 0.12 + 0.13 = 0.48 € / Wp.
Hard capex in euros = 0.48 €/Wp × 800,000 Wp = €384,000.
Contingency = 5% × €384,000 = €19,200.
Total overnight capex = 384,000 + 19,200 = €403,200, i.e. 0.504 € / Wp all-in.
Note: this excludes VAT, developer margin and any grid-reinforcement cost driven by DSO requirements; for an EU hotel those can add €0.05–0.10/Wp and must be quoted locally. See §10 RFQ anchor.
Annual generation, year 1 = 800 kWp × 1,050 kWh/kWp = 840,000 kWh/yr
On-site self-consumption (70%) = 0.70 × 840,000 = 588,000 kWh/yr
Exported to grid (30%) = 0.30 × 840,000 = 252,000 kWh/yr
Value_self = 588,000 kWh × €0.28/kWh = €164,640 / yr
EU feed-in compensation varies widely; we use a conservative €0.08/kWh (typical range €0.05–0.12/kWh for mid-2024 commercial PPAs and net-billing).
Value_export = 252,000 kWh × €0.08/kWh = €20,160 / yr
Revenue_year1 = 164,640 + 20,160 = €184,800 / yr
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Currency | EUR |
| Horizon (years) | 25 |
| Discount rate | 6.00 % |
| Total undiscounted cost (EUR) | 564,346.17 |
| Total discounted cost / PV of costs (EUR) | 481,371.32 |
| Total undiscounted benefit (EUR) | 5,214,494.86 |
| Total discounted benefit (EUR) | 2,589,780.81 |
| NPV (EUR) | 2,108,409.50 |
| IRR | 0.4576 |
| Simple payback (year) | 2.22 |
| Discounted payback (year) | 2.45 |
| LCOE (EUR/kWh) | 0.0469 |
| Year | Cost (EUR) | Benefit (EUR) | Net (EUR) | Discount factor | Discounted net (EUR) | Energy (kWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 403,200.00 | 0.0000 | -403,200.00 | 1.00 | -403,200.00 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 4,032.00 | 184,800.00 | 180,768.00 | 0.9434 | 170,535.85 | 840,000.00 |
| 2 | 4,112.64 | 186,634.14 | 182,521.50 | 0.8900 | 162,443.49 | 835,800.00 |
| 3 | 4,194.89 | 188,486.48 | 184,291.59 | 0.8396 | 154,734.77 | 831,621.00 |
| 4 | 4,278.79 | 190,357.21 | 186,078.42 | 0.7921 | 147,391.54 | 827,462.90 |
| 5 | 4,364.37 | 192,246.51 | 187,882.14 | 0.7473 | 140,396.47 | 823,325.58 |
| 6 | 4,451.65 | 194,154.55 | 189,702.90 | 0.7050 | 133,733.06 | 819,208.95 |
| 7 | 4,540.69 | 196,081.54 | 191,540.85 | 0.6651 | 127,385.61 | 815,112.91 |
| 8 | 4,631.50 | 198,027.65 | 193,396.15 | 0.6274 | 121,339.14 | 811,037.34 |
| 9 | 4,724.13 | 199,993.07 | 195,268.94 | 0.5919 | 115,579.39 | 806,982.16 |
| 10 | 4,818.61 | 201,978.00 | 197,159.39 | 0.5584 | 110,092.77 | 802,947.25 |
| 11 | 4,914.99 | 203,982.63 | 199,067.65 | 0.5268 | 104,866.35 | 798,932.51 |
| 12 | 37,013.29 | 206,007.16 | 168,993.88 | 0.4970 | 83,984.78 | 794,937.85 |
| 13 | 5,113.55 | 208,051.78 | 202,938.23 | 0.4688 | 95,145.36 | 790,963.16 |
| 14 | 5,215.82 | 210,116.70 | 204,900.88 | 0.4423 | 90,627.85 | 787,008.34 |
| 15 | 5,320.14 | 212,202.11 | 206,881.97 | 0.4173 | 86,324.62 | 783,073.30 |
| 16 | 5,426.54 | 214,308.21 | 208,881.67 | 0.3936 | 82,225.49 | 779,157.93 |
| 17 | 5,535.07 | 216,435.22 | 210,900.15 | 0.3714 | 78,320.81 | 775,262.14 |
| 18 | 5,645.77 | 218,583.34 | 212,937.57 | 0.3503 | 74,601.35 | 771,385.83 |
| 19 | 5,758.69 | 220,752.78 | 214,994.09 | 0.3305 | 71,058.34 | 767,528.90 |
| 20 | 5,873.86 | 222,943.75 | 217,069.89 | 0.3118 | 67,683.42 | 763,691.26 |
| 21 | 5,991.34 | 225,156.47 | 219,165.13 | 0.2942 | 64,468.61 | 759,872.80 |
| 22 | 6,111.17 | 227,391.15 | 221,279.98 | 0.2775 | 61,406.32 | 756,073.44 |
| 23 | 6,233.39 | 229,648.00 | 223,414.61 | 0.2618 | 58,489.33 | 752,293.07 |
| 24 | 6,358.06 | 231,927.26 | 225,569.20 | 0.2470 | 55,710.75 | 748,531.61 |
| 25 | 6,485.22 | 234,229.14 | 227,743.92 | 0.2330 | 53,064.02 | 744,788.95 |
Tables §6 and §7 are the scenario model output. Prose inputs above (horizon 25 yr, discount rate 6.00%, CAPEX €403,200, specific yield 1,050 kWh/kWp, 0.5% linear module degradation, year-12 inverter reserve €32,000) match the table inputs exactly. No further mathematical derivations are added.
The computed base-case NPV of 2,108,409 EUR and LCOE of 0.0469 EUR/kWh remain robust under single-parameter stresses previously disclosed:
Base case: NPV ≈ €2,108,409; payback ≈ 2.22 yr — clearly investable for a hotel with stable occupancy.
Low tariff (€0.20/kWh): lower revenue per kWh compresses NPV but the project stays positive under the scenario model — investable; consider raising self-consumption via HVAC heat-pump load shifting.
High tariff (€0.36/kWh): highest-conviction scenario; NPV rises materially above the base case.
Northern EU yield (850 kWh/kWp): investable, but tariff sensitivity rises.
Southern EU yield (1,300 kWh/kWp): strongest single-parameter outcome on the board.
WACC 9%: NPV still positive — the project is robust to financing-cost stress typical of mid-cap hospitality.
Suggested Harmonized System codes for an 800 kWp hotel rooftop PV system:
How to confirm duty rates and any trade-defence measures (e.g. AD/CVD on Chinese modules):
Disclaimer: TradVolt does not assert any duty rate as fact. EU tariff classification, anti-dumping scope and preferential origin treatment change frequently and must be validated against TARIC and the latest trade-defence regulations at the moment of import.
Request a firm RFQ for 800 kWp hotel rooftop PV (EU)