Orchard Solar 250 kWp UK — Use Case & TCO

Headline verdict: NPV = +£270,228.23 over a 25-year horizon at a 7.00% nominal discount rate (WACC); IRR = 17.20%; simple payback = 5.79 years; discounted payback = 7.63 years; LCOE = £0.1145/kWh. Equipment family: 250 kWp DC ground-mount agrivoltaic array for a UK orchard (fixed-tilt base), Huawei SUN2000-200KTL-H2 string inverter (200 kW AC, datasheet confirmed at RFQ), LONGi Hi-MO X6 (Explorer/Scientist/Guardian variants, up to 25.5% HPBC cell efficiency; product page LONGi Hi-MO X6) or equivalent Jinko Tiger Neo 3.0 (Jinko Tiger Neo 3.0) / Trina NEG19RC.20 bifacial modules — see §3 for the exact bill of materials. Location: United Kingdom (GB). Evidence date: 2026-09-22. Limitation: figures are deterministic; battery storage, agricultural revenue uplift and inverter-clipping losses are excluded from the base case. Source: Tradvolt scenario TCO model, scenario ID UC-OS250-UK-R9.

Decision snapshot
MetricValue
Horizon25 years
Discount rate (WACC, nominal)7.00%
CurrencyGBP (£)
Total capex (Year 0)£247,000.00
Total undiscounted cost (25 yr)£376,862.03
PV of costs£303,759.68
Total undiscounted benefit (25 yr)£1,273,290.48
PV of benefits£573,987.91
NPV+£270,228.23
IRR17.20%
Simple payback5.79 yr
Discounted payback7.63 yr
LCOE£0.1145 / kWh
VerdictRecommended at base assumptions

RFQ: Request quote — 250 kWp UK orchard solar

1. Scope & system definition

250 kWp DC ground-mount agrivoltaic array, fixed-tilt (single-axis tracker scenario presented for comparison only — not in base NPV), on a UK commercial orchard (top-fruit or soft-fruit). Inverter: Huawei SUN2000-200KTL-H2 (200 kW AC), DC/AC ratio ≈ 1.25. Grid-connected with export meter. Battery storage excluded from base case.

Reference product models (name as marketed; datasheets confirmed at RFQ):

2. Inputs table

InputValueUnitBasis
Installed DC capacity250kWpSite specification (model assumption)
UK specific yield (fixed-tilt, south)950kWh/kWp/yrSolar Energy UK — Solar PV Cost Update H1 2025 ground-mount yield band (cited band; see Sources)
PV tariff escalation (nominal)1.5% per yearModel assumption (bounded default for tariff escalation)
Opex escalation (nominal)2.0% per yearModel assumption (bounded default for opex.escalation_pct)
Module degradation0.5% per yearIndustry convention; module datasheet warranty band
Self-consumption share (orchard pump-house + cold-store)55% of generationModel assumption (site load profile)
Imported grid price (avoided)0.28£/kWhOfgem Default Tariff Cap — energy price cap hub Ofgem energy price cap (Jan–Mar 2026 baseline)
Export price (SEG)0.08£/kWhOfgem Smart Export Guarantee — scheme page Ofgem SEG (provider-dependent band, typically 0.05–0.10 £/kWh)
Blended benefit price (computed)0.19£/kWh0.55 × £0.28 + 0.45 × £0.08 ≈ £0.19/kWh (per scenario model)
Installed price (turnkey, fixed-tilt, base)0.85£/WpSolar Energy UK, Solar PV Cost Update H1 2025 — ground-mount band (see Sources)
Agrivoltaic canopy premium0.10£/WpFraunhofer ISE / FRAV agrivoltaic cost-premium band (model assumption, see Sources)
Grid connection (DNO, 250 kWp)9,500£ one-offNational Grid ESO / DNOs connection-charging band (see Sources)
O&M fixed-tilt (Year 1)2,750£/yr£11/kWp × 250 kWp; Solar Energy UK O&M benchmark (see Sources)
Insurance617.50£/yr0.25% × £247,000 capex; RenewableUK insurer-survey cited band (see Sources)
Inverter replacement (year 12)22,000£Model assumption (Huawei SUN2000-200KTL-H2 replacement budget)
Discount rate (WACC, nominal)7.00% per yearTradvolt reference WACC (model assumption)
Analysis horizon25yearsTradvolt convention
Residual value (terminal, year 25)0£Model assumption (bounded default residual_value.amount = 0; residual_value.year = 25)

Items labelled "model assumption" are bounded defaults documented in the Tradvolt scenario TCO model (scenario UC-OS250-UK-R9). Items labelled with a publisher are taken from the cited publication's reported band; live URLs and full document titles are in §11 Sources.

3. TCO summary (scenario model output)

TCO summary
MetricValue
CurrencyGBP
Horizon (years)25
Discount rate7.00 %
Total undiscounted cost (GBP)376,862.03
Total discounted cost / PV of costs (GBP)303,759.68
Total undiscounted benefit (GBP)1,273,290.48
Total discounted benefit (GBP)573,987.91
NPV (GBP)270,228.23
IRR0.1720
Simple payback (year)5.79
Discounted payback (year)7.63
LCOE (GBP/kWh)0.1145

4. Year-by-year cash flow (scenario model output)

Year-by-year cash flow
YearCost (GBP)Benefit (GBP)Net (GBP)Discount factorDiscounted net (GBP)Energy (kWh)
0247,000.000.0000-247,000.001.00-247,000.000.0000
13,367.5045,125.0041,757.500.934639,025.70237,500.00
23,434.8545,572.8742,138.020.873436,804.97236,312.50
33,503.5546,025.1842,521.630.816334,710.32235,130.94
43,573.6246,481.9842,908.360.762932,734.58233,955.28
53,645.0946,943.3143,298.220.713030,871.03232,785.51
63,717.9947,409.2243,691.230.666329,113.31231,621.58
73,792.3547,879.7644,087.410.622727,455.42230,463.47
83,868.2048,354.9744,486.770.582025,891.70229,311.15
93,945.5648,834.8944,889.330.543924,416.82228,164.60
104,024.4749,319.5745,295.100.508323,025.73227,023.77
114,104.9649,809.0745,704.110.475121,713.69225,888.66
1226,187.0650,303.4324,116.360.444010,707.95224,759.21
134,270.8050,802.6946,531.880.415019,309.08223,635.42
144,356.2251,306.9046,950.680.387818,208.28222,517.24
154,443.3451,816.1347,372.780.362417,170.08221,404.65
164,532.2152,330.4047,798.190.338716,190.90220,297.63
174,622.8652,849.7848,226.920.316615,267.41219,196.14
184,715.3153,374.3148,659.000.295914,396.44218,100.16
194,809.6253,904.0549,094.430.276513,575.02217,009.66
204,905.8154,439.0549,533.240.258412,800.33215,924.61
215,003.9354,979.3649,975.430.241512,069.72214,844.99
225,104.0155,525.0350,421.020.225711,380.69213,770.76
235,206.0956,076.1250,870.030.210910,730.87212,701.91
245,310.2156,632.6751,322.460.197110,118.05211,638.40
255,416.4157,194.7551,778.340.18429,540.12210,580.21

The Year 0 line is capex of £247,000 (PV modules + agrivoltaic canopy premium + DNO grid connection; see §2). The Year 12 cost spike of £26,187.06 reflects the £22,000 inverter replacement plus the baseline annual opex+insurance (~£4,187.06 in that year after 2.0%/yr opex escalation). Residual value at year 25 is set to £0 per the bounded default. Year 1 net benefit at 950 kWh/kWp × 250 kWp = 237,500 kWh × blended ~£0.19/kWh ≈ £45,125 matches the cash-flow table, and the sum of discounted nets reconciles to the computed NPV of +£270,228.23 in §3.

5. Scenarios & verdict

Scenario A — Fixed-tilt, base price (computed base case)

Capex £247,000; NPV +£270,228.23; simple payback 5.79 yr; discounted payback 7.63 yr; IRR 17.20%; LCOE £0.1145/kWh. Verdict: recommended at the computed base assumptions in §2.

Scenario B — Single-axis tracker (+13.7% yield, +23.5% installed price)

Indicative only — not the computed base case. Tracker uplift on yield is partly offset by higher capex, higher O&M (£15/kWp/yr vs £11/kWp/yr) and higher insurance. This page does not publish an computed NPV for Scenario B. The previous draft's figure of "+£262,400" cannot be reproduced from the computed cash-flow model in §4 and is therefore not asserted on this page. Procurement should request a tracker-specific re-quote via the RFQ link.

Scenario C — Low price (£0.75/Wp), low yield (850 kWh/kWp/yr)

Indicative only — not the computed base case. Lower installed price (£0.75/Wp) is credible only on volume procurement; yield 850 kWh/kWp/yr corresponds to a poorly-oriented UK site. This page does not publish an computed NPV for Scenario C. The previous draft's figure of "+£312,400" cannot be reproduced from the computed cash-flow model and is therefore not asserted on this page. Procurement should request a tracker-specific re-quote via the RFQ link.

Scenario D — High price (£1.05/Wp), low yield (850 kWh/kWp/yr)

Indicative only — not the computed base case. Combination is uneconomic under the scenario model. This page does not publish an computed NPV for Scenario D. The previous draft's figure of "−£102,200" cannot be reproduced from the computed cash-flow model and is therefore not asserted on this page. Procurement should request a tracker-specific re-quote via the RFQ link.

Scenario B / C / D sensitivity envelopes are available on request to B2B buyers via the RFQ form.

6. Key assumptions & limits

7. Product certifications

No product certifications are asserted as fact on this TCO page beyond the standards named in §1 (UL 61730-1 for module safety qualification, IEC 61215-1:2021 ed2 for module design qualification, IEC 62109-1:2010 for inverter safety). All other certifications (e.g. MCS for UK installations, IEC 61215 for module performance, IEC 62619:2022 ed2 for stationary lithium-battery safety) are site- and procurement-lot specific and must be confirmed by the EPC and by the buyer's site-specific RFQ response. Tradvolt does not represent any certification as held by any specific OEM until the corresponding certificate number and date are returned with the RFQ.

8. HS code & duty (advisory)

ComponentHS code (UK)MFN dutyLookup
PV modules / cells8541.430%UK Global Tariff lookup
Mounting structure (aluminium / steel)7610.90 / 7308.30LookupUK Global Tariff lookup
Inverter (static converter)8504.40LookupUK Global Tariff lookup
Cabling (insulated)8544.42LookupUK Global Tariff lookup

The importer must verify live duty rates against the UK Global Tariff using the codes above. Tradvolt does not assert duty rates as fact beyond the published 0% MFN on HS 8541.43 for crystalline PV cells/modules. For non-UK destinations use the appropriate national tariff lookup (e.g. USITC HTS, EU TARIC, Japan Customs tariff schedule (English), Australian Border Force current tariff, South African Revenue Service tariff, Central Board of Indirect Taxes and Customs (India), ICEGATE (India)).

9. Logistics & Incoterms reference

Default procurement basis: ICC Incoterms® 2020. Recommend FOB or CIF for GB port of entry. Wood packaging must comply with IPPC ISPM 15. Lithium batteries (if any) classified per IATA Dangerous Goods Regulations, ICAO Dangerous Goods and tested per the UN Manual of Tests and Criteria (UN 38.3, ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7). Stationary lithium battery safety per IEC 62619:2022 ed2 (IEC 62619:2022 ed2 — TC 21/SC 21A) and IEC 62485-5:2020 (IEC 62485-5:2020 — TC 21). EU battery regulation context: Regulation (EU) 2023/1542 (EUR-Lex official document page). Forwarding per FIATA standard documents.

10. Next steps

RFQ: Request quote — 250 kWp UK orchard solar

11. Sources

PublisherDocumentEdition / DateURL
RenewableUKSolar Photovoltaic Deployment in the UK (annual statistics, specific-yield band; insurance-survey band)Annual statistics, 2024–2025RenewableUK (cite publication title + year when republishing)
Solar Energy UKSolar PV Cost Update H1 2025 (ground-mount installed-price band; O&M benchmark; specific-yield band)H1 2025Solar Energy UK — Solar PV Cost Update H1 2025 (cite title + edition)
Solar Energy UKBest Practice Guidelines for Solar PV (tracker yield-uplift band)Current editionSolar Energy UK — Best Practice Guidelines
Fraunhofer ISE / Forschungsverbund Agrar- und Versorgungstechnik (FRAV)Agrivoltaics Cost Premium GuidanceCurrent editionFraunhofer ISE (cite agrivoltaic cost-premium band)
National Grid ESOConnection Charging Methodology (DNO band reference)Current statementNational Grid ESO — Connection Charging Methodology
OfgemEnergy price cap hub (Default Tariff Cap; avoided grid-import price level)Current quarter (Jan–Mar 2026 baseline)Ofgem energy price cap hub
OfgemSmart Export Guarantee (SEG) reference ratesCurrentOfgem — Smart Export Guarantee
IECIEC 62109-1:2010 — Safety of power converters for use in photovoltaic power systems, Part 1: General requirements (TC 82)2010IEC 62109-1:2010 — TC 82
IECIEC 62109-2:2011 — Part 2: Particular requirements for inverters2011IEC Webstore — cite IEC 62109-2:2011
IECIEC 61215-1:2021 ed2 — Terrestrial PV modules — Design qualification and type approval — Part 1: Test requirements (TC 82)2021 ed2IEC 61215-1:2021 ed2 — TC 82
IECIEC 62619:2022 ed2 — Safety requirements for secondary lithium cells and batteries for use in industrial applications incl. stationary/ESS (TC 21/SC 21A)2022 ed2IEC 62619:2022 ed2 — TC 21/SC 21A
IECIEC 62485-5:2020 — Safety requirements for secondary batteries and battery installations — Part 5: Safe operation of stationary lithium-ion batteries (TC 21)2020IEC 62485-5:2020 — TC 21
ULUL 61730-1 Photovoltaic (PV) Module Safety Qualification — Part 1Current editionUL 61730-1 product page
UNECEUN Manual of Tests and Criteria (UN 38.3 lithium-battery provisions), ST/SG/AC.10/11/Rev.7Rev.7UN Manual of Tests and Criteria
ICAOICAO Dangerous Goods (battery air-transport provisions)CurrentICAO Dangerous Goods
European CommissionRegulation (EU) 2023/1542 — EU Battery Regulation2023EUR-Lex — Regulation (EU) 2023/1542
HMRC / UK Border ForceUK Global Tariff (HS 8541.43, 8504.40, 7610.90, 7308.30, 8544.42)LiveUK Global Tariff lookup
European CommissionTARIC consultationLiveEU TARIC consultation
USITCHarmonized Tariff Schedule of the United StatesLiveUSITC HTS search
Japan CustomsTariff schedule (English)LiveJapan Customs tariff schedule
Australian Border ForceCurrent tariff classificationLiveABF current tariff
South African Revenue ServiceCustoms and Excise TariffLiveSARS Customs & Excise Tariff
Central Board of Indirect Taxes and Customs (India)Indian Customs tariff / ICEGATELiveCBIC India / ICEGATE
ICCIncoterms® 20202020ICC Incoterms 2020
IPPCISPM 15 (wood packaging)CurrentIPPC ISPMs
IATADangerous Goods Regulations (DGR)Annual editionIATA DGR
FIATAStandard freight-forwarding documentsCurrentFIATA
IEARenewables market data (background)AnnualIEA

OEM product pages (reference; datasheets confirmed at RFQ): LONGi Hi-MO X6 (LONGi Hi-MO X6), JinkoSolar Tiger Neo 3.0 (JinkoSolar company profile), Trina Solar (trinasolar.com/us-en), Huawei FusionSolar (solar.huawei.com/en), Sungrow string-inverter range incl. SG125HT (Sungrow string-inverter range), K2 Systems N-Rack + SingleRail 36 (N-Rack / SingleRail 36 catalogue entry).